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Law Capping interest rates
lochaz-index
#2641 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 12:49:27 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
smile

Chief!



Viva!! ✊

Now, on this semblance of a rate cap review is that at the onset most savings accounts were made into transactional accounts to create spread, lower cost of funds.

With this 0-14% band is still to watch the yield curve especially 91, 182, 364 day T-bills. Whether it will translate to Real economy private sector lending, maybe with 91 day T-bills at 4%, is a wait and see. Otherwise, it will just lower the cost of funding bloat & graft (GoK).

True. Plus now that the deposits will be on chase, expect smaller banks to fall by the way side via high interest expense


Contrarily, sector liqudity is at a record high circa 50% (prudential mininimum 20%). Thus, and with lending capped at 14%, liquidity will be rebalanced and savers will deposit with smaller, agile banks (lower overhead expenses; fintech) offering higher rates on savings than larger banks.

Agreed. Some breathing room for the smaller banks. Average rate of return on savings will drop competitively and aid overall liquidity of the economy. I was afraid KE was boxing itself into an illiquid cul de sac with all those senseless regulations.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
lochaz-index
#2642 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 12:54:33 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
FRM2011 wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:

Finance bill finally on the floor of the house. There are numerous amendments on the bill. Lets see how this goes.


Junet Mohamed passionately pushing for an extension of the VAT deadline to 2020. This would put on hold plans to charge VAT on petroleum products w.e.f 1st Sept 2018.

PS: The speaker has ruled that the rate cap amendment cannot be discussed until treasury gives its input.


Update from parliament;

1. MPs have debated and voted to retain rate capping on loans but removed the rate on savings. Worth noting the speaker had ruled the amendment cannot be discussed.

2. MPs have rejected the treasury's proposal to introduce a mandatory contribution to the national housing fund.

3. MPs have rejected the VAT on petroleum and extended the deadline to 1st Sept 2020.

The logic behind the proposal to establish the national housing fund was baffling.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
KulaRaha
#2643 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 12:57:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
smile

Chief!



Viva!! ✊

Now, on this semblance of a rate cap review is that at the onset most savings accounts were made into transactional accounts to create spread, lower cost of funds.

With this 0-14% band is still to watch the yield curve especially 91, 182, 364 day T-bills. Whether it will translate to Real economy private sector lending, maybe with 91 day T-bills at 4%, is a wait and see. Otherwise, it will just lower the cost of funding bloat & graft (GoK).

True. Plus now that the deposits will be on chase, expect smaller banks to fall by the way side via high interest expense


Contrarily, sector liqudity is at a record high circa 50% (prudential mininimum 20%). Thus, and with lending capped at 14%, liquidity will be rebalanced and savers will deposit with smaller, agile banks (lower overhead expenses; fintech) offering higher rates on savings than larger banks.


In Kenya, agile = risky. Lets see if folks still have appetite after the Chase/Imperial dramas. I doubt.


We're talking listed banks here. DTB, NIC.


A quick look at Cost of funds would show the difference would be nominal. I suspect depositors will get smaller returns industrywide if the floor is removed.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Obi 1 Kanobi
#2644 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 2:03:57 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
Overall, parliament did well, took decisions for their own benefits but ultimately also covered Wanjiku.

The removal of floor rate for deposits is inconsequential as banks effective cost of funds is already less than 3%.

Hope the bankers and govt will read the signs and let this go. Govt should instead cut costs and wastage while bankers can innovate and develop new business models aligned to the rate cap reality.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
dunkang
#2645 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 2:10:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
lochaz-index wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:

Finance bill finally on the floor of the house. There are numerous amendments on the bill. Lets see how this goes.


Junet Mohamed passionately pushing for an extension of the VAT deadline to 2020. This would put on hold plans to charge VAT on petroleum products w.e.f 1st Sept 2018.

PS: The speaker has ruled that the rate cap amendment cannot be discussed until treasury gives its input.


Update from parliament;

1. MPs have debated and voted to retain rate capping on loans but removed the rate on savings. Worth noting the speaker had ruled the amendment cannot be discussed.

2. MPs have rejected the treasury's proposal to introduce a mandatory contribution to the national housing fund.

3. MPs have rejected the VAT on petroleum and extended the deadline to 1st Sept 2020.

The logic behind the proposal to establish the national housing fund was baffling.

Someone thought of creating a looting basket. A fund like NHIF and NSSF.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

wukan
#2646 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 2:18:03 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
wukan wrote:
Like we said interest rates capping is not happening this year now linked to KBRR

Quote:
“Section 33B of the Banking Act is amended by deleting subsection (1) and substituting therefore the following new subsection,” read part of the Joseph Limo-led committee’s report tabled yesterday in Parliament. “A bank or financial institution shall set the maximum interest rate chargeable for a credit facility in Kenya at no more than four per cent above the base rate set and published by the KBRR.” The committee had resisted the Government’s and International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) aggressive push for the removal of the interest rate cap. This is a major to blow to banks that have been lobbying for the removal of the rate cap, arguing that credit available to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) has shrunk.
Read more at: https://www.standardmedi...mps-retain-law-on-rates


And there you have it.
KBRR was previously what was being used plus a factor K that banks were at free will to set it.
Now K has been set at 4% maximum.
Next you will see KBRR rise to 12%.
KBRR is also set by the banks.


That was part of the discussion that KBRR is really a banker's tool so they plan to introduce further amendments on the floor on tuesday. I think only the cap on interest on deposits will go and the loan cap will be tied to CBR


They actually went through with thisd'oh! d'oh! The flaws in this approach will be apparent later.
Wakanyugi
#2647 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 5:09:27 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,635
wukan wrote:
wukan wrote:
[quote=Ericsson][quote=wukan]Like we said interest rates capping is not happening this year now linked to KBRR

Quote:
“Section 33B of the Banking Act is amended by deleting subsection (1) and substituting therefore the following new subsection,” read part of the Joseph Limo-led committee’s report tabled yesterday in Parliament. “A bank or financial institution shall set the maximum interest rate chargeable for a credit facility in Kenya at no more than four per cent above the base rate set and published by the KBRR.” The committee had resisted the Government’s and International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) aggressive push for the removal of the interest rate cap. This is a major to blow to banks that have been lobbying for the removal of the rate cap, arguing that credit available to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) has shrunk.
Read more at: https://www.standardmedi...mps-retain-law-on-rates


And there you have it.
KBRR was previously what was being used plus a factor K that banks were at free will to set it.
Now K has been set at 4% maximum.
Next you will see KBRR rise to 12%.
KBRR is also set by the banks.


Not quite. KBBR, like CBR is based on known variables such as the moving average on 91 day treasury bond rates, the CBR rate itself etc. It also requires banks to be more transparent in communicating the cost of loans, which is good for Wanjiku.

The main problem I see is that KBBR was binned some months back and has to be brought back. In the meantime, I don't know what that means for implementing the amended law. You can also expect Banks will have a keen interest in how it is reconstituted. They were caught napping when the Cap was introduced and it has cost them. It will not happen again.

"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
Ericsson
#2648 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 5:34:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
Wakanyugi wrote:
wukan wrote:
wukan wrote:
[quote=Ericsson][quote=wukan]Like we said interest rates capping is not happening this year now linked to KBRR

Quote:
“Section 33B of the Banking Act is amended by deleting subsection (1) and substituting therefore the following new subsection,” read part of the Joseph Limo-led committee’s report tabled yesterday in Parliament. “A bank or financial institution shall set the maximum interest rate chargeable for a credit facility in Kenya at no more than four per cent above the base rate set and published by the KBRR.” The committee had resisted the Government’s and International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) aggressive push for the removal of the interest rate cap. This is a major to blow to banks that have been lobbying for the removal of the rate cap, arguing that credit available to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) has shrunk.
Read more at: https://www.standardmedi...mps-retain-law-on-rates


And there you have it.
KBRR was previously what was being used plus a factor K that banks were at free will to set it.
Now K has been set at 4% maximum.
Next you will see KBRR rise to 12%.
KBRR is also set by the banks.


Not quite. KBBR, like CBR is based on known variables such as the moving average on 91 day treasury bond rates, the CBR rate itself etc. It also requires banks to be more transparent in communicating the cost of loans, which is good for Wanjiku.

The main problem I see is that KBBR was binned some months back and has to be brought back. In the meantime, I don't know what that means for implementing the amended law. You can also expect Banks will have a keen interest in how it is reconstituted. They were caught napping when the Cap was introduced and it has cost them. It will not happen again.


Banks have won,Wanjiku has won.
Bank interest margin has widened while wanjiku gets cheap loans
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Horton
#2649 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 5:36:32 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
Wakanyugi wrote:
wukan wrote:
wukan wrote:
[quote=Ericsson][quote=wukan]Like we said interest rates capping is not happening this year now linked to KBRR

Quote:
“Section 33B of the Banking Act is amended by deleting subsection (1) and substituting therefore the following new subsection,” read part of the Joseph Limo-led committee’s report tabled yesterday in Parliament. “A bank or financial institution shall set the maximum interest rate chargeable for a credit facility in Kenya at no more than four per cent above the base rate set and published by the KBRR.” The committee had resisted the Government’s and International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) aggressive push for the removal of the interest rate cap. This is a major to blow to banks that have been lobbying for the removal of the rate cap, arguing that credit available to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) has shrunk.
Read more at: https://www.standardmedi...mps-retain-law-on-rates


And there you have it.
KBRR was previously what was being used plus a factor K that banks were at free will to set it.
Now K has been set at 4% maximum.
Next you will see KBRR rise to 12%.
KBRR is also set by the banks.


Not quite. KBBR, like CBR is based on known variables such as the moving average on 91 day treasury bond rates, the CBR rate itself etc. It also requires banks to be more transparent in communicating the cost of loans, which is good for Wanjiku.

The main problem I see is that KBBR was binned some months back and has to be brought back. In the meantime, I don't know what that means for implementing the amended law. You can also expect Banks will have a keen interest in how it is reconstituted. They were caught napping when the Cap was introduced and it has cost them. It will not happen again.


Banks have won,Wanjiku has won.
Bank interest margin has widened while wanjiku gets cheap loans


Investors have also won, speculators maybe not so much.

These price corrections were great!
obiero
#2650 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2018 10:59:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
smile

Chief!



Viva!! ✊

Now, on this semblance of a rate cap review is that at the onset most savings accounts were made into transactional accounts to create spread, lower cost of funds.

With this 0-14% band is still to watch the yield curve especially 91, 182, 364 day T-bills. Whether it will translate to Real economy private sector lending, maybe with 91 day T-bills at 4%, is a wait and see. Otherwise, it will just lower the cost of funding bloat & graft (GoK).

True. Plus now that the deposits will be on chase, expect smaller banks to fall by the way side via high interest expense


Contrarily, sector liqudity is at a record high circa 50% (prudential mininimum 20%). Thus, and with lending capped at 14%, liquidity will be rebalanced and savers will deposit with smaller, agile banks (lower overhead expenses; fintech) offering higher rates on savings than larger banks.


In Kenya, agile = risky. Lets see if folks still have appetite after the Chase/Imperial dramas. I doubt.


We're talking listed banks here. DTB, NIC.

Being listed counts for something but not everything.. Look at HF.. Even NIC lost deposits

KQ ABP 4.26
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