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The stock market has Bottomed
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the deal
#241 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 9:36:37 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
hisah wrote:
@deal - Are you counting the waves... Wave 5 likely to test 3900 - 4000 around August - Sept 2012 then the cool off till 2013 after the elections.


I wish you labelled those waves for the blind to see...I'm currently loading Insurance stocks...from PAI...JUB...CFCI....if you can't beat the market buy an insurance stock!!!
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dave.kim
#242 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 1:26:08 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/25/2010
Posts: 176
the deal wrote:
hisah wrote:
@deal - Are you counting the waves... Wave 5 likely to test 3900 - 4000 around August - Sept 2012 then the cool off till 2013 after the elections.


I wish you labelled those waves for the blind to see...I'm currently loading Insurance stocks...from PAI...JUB...CFCI....if you can't beat the market buy an insurance stock!!!

And that wave 5 might be reaching point D of the ABCD correction on the 10 year chart.Once it hits 3800 i will be looking to get out of short term holdings

Rule No.1 is never lose money. Rule No.2 is never forget rule number one
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the deal
#243 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 2:17:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
dave.kim wrote:
the deal wrote:
hisah wrote:
@deal - Are you counting the waves... Wave 5 likely to test 3900 - 4000 around August - Sept 2012 then the cool off till 2013 after the elections.


I wish you labelled those waves for the blind to see...I'm currently loading Insurance stocks...from PAI...JUB...CFCI....if you can't beat the market buy an insurance stock!!!

And that wave 5 might be reaching point D of the ABCD correction on the 10 year chart.Once it hits 3800 i will be looking to get out of short term holdings


If you look at the 5 Year chart you will see a W shaped pattern which points to 4000-4500...this could be one of the biggest bull runs to happen at the NSE....
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ChessMaster
#244 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 2:32:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
All I'm seeing is foreign investors moving the market while the fundamentals of the months ahead are looking horrible. Unemployment rate, inflation and interest rates are on the rise and to add to it we're in an election year. Foreign investors manipulate local investors to think that nse is picking up and make a profit of them before the true bear run begins. At the end of the day its a fools game.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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mlennyma
#245 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 2:54:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
You empty talk,empty talk,domo domo and we have made 100% and exited.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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mwekez@ji
#246 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 3:03:20 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Election year = higher money supply = higher inflation = higher interest rates = slow economic growth = slow nse performance


And who wrote this rule??

Higher money supply is the basis of this argument and yet I am personally not aware of any printing of money by CBK specifically for the general election so its not clear where the increase in money supply comes from in your rule..


We have a 1.4T election year budget and politicians also have their huge budgets for their election.

Watch as it unfolds!
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kyt
#247 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 3:10:32 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
@guru, kindly provide the nse20 indices for 92,97,02,07. jan and dec and we compare the trend.
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
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ChessMaster
#248 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 4:40:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
Election years are also the years of car, land and other high values frauds. But don't get me wrong my portfolio is doing great just like yours and the bull run will last a while but u cant fight the fundamentals.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Aguytrying
#249 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 8:16:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
This market rally is great. it may enable me to sell shares i bought expensive and buy them later at a lower price.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#250 Posted : Saturday, May 19, 2012 8:37:52 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
ChessMaster wrote:
All I'm seeing is foreign investors moving the market while the fundamentals of the months ahead are looking horrible. Unemployment rate, inflation and interest rates are on the rise and to add to it we're in an election year. Foreign investors manipulate local investors to think that nse is picking up and make a profit of them before the true bear run begins. At the end of the day its a fools game.

Sounds like you wrote this in November last year only for you to post today!
@SufficientlyP
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