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hisah
#2471 Posted : Thursday, June 14, 2012 4:33:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Spanish 10yr bond yields posting fresh 2012 highs - 6.83%. Higher than 2011 and approaching the 7% red alert level. Italian 10yr bond also leaping above 6%. And all this is before the Spartans decide if they want Hellena to remain married or divorce the euro by June 17th...

18bps points from the dreaded 7% yield rate for Spain. Italy keeping up...

www.distressedvolatility...-yield-hits-7-after.html

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#2472 Posted : Thursday, June 14, 2012 7:31:47 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Debt is the soft underbelly of Western Civilisation. Please look at the infographic below:

http://demonocracy.info/...ld_debt/world_debt.html

The targets for the bond vigilantes are lined up like fish in a barrel. It reminds me of the movie "Final Destination" where the audience knows all the characters who will die but are not privy to the order of extinction. Once attention turns to a particular character, well, its time to say goodbye. The markets are similar, sorting out one debt laden state at a time.

The true nightmare scenario isn't southern Europe but when, not if, Japan and the United States begin to teeter. Japan alone could bring the house down as it is the second largest holder of U.S. debt at $1.038 trillion. Trouble at home in the debt markets could result in repatriation of capital causing a rise in U.S. interest rates and a marked decline in demand at a time when bond holders are heading for the hills.

Implosions of this nature can be contained but the politicians are too busy bickering to listen to reason. Elvis Presley once sang "A little less conversation, a little more action please".
hisah
#2473 Posted : Saturday, June 16, 2012 2:02:31 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Tomorrow spartans go to the polls to decide if hellena will stay married to the euro. It'll be interesting.

Trivia - If spartans vote a euro exit does that mean they also get suspended from the ongoing euro cup tournament....
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2474 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2012 10:19:19 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Egypts election is a powderkeg - muslim brotherhood say they're the winners while military silent stages a coup without bloodshed. Bizarre scenario this one as it is unknown what is what...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2475 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2012 3:00:29 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Spanish 10yr bond yield at multi year highs - well above 7%. Indeed greece elections winner is pro euro... Markets defensive again... When will this circus end? Too too boring.

http://in.reuters.com/ar...o-idINL5E8HI8RP20120618

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2476 Posted : Tuesday, June 19, 2012 9:32:44 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
AfDB to launch AGF which will be based in KE. Been waiting to see who will make a move to boost SMEs in EA. So AfDB finally sees the huge opportunity smile

http://bit.ly/Lb3ift

Next comes the small cap market. SMEs OTC will be a good ground for outsize gains if one knows how to pick winner penny stocks. Now can NSE state when the SME market is coming online. I can hardly wait for the parabolics smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#2477 Posted : Wednesday, June 20, 2012 10:49:22 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
In times of economic stress, capital will first seek safety then profit. When capital is openly threatened with seizure, confiscation or the 75% income tax rate for the rich that France promises, it flees or goes underground. Stephen Grover Cleveland (March 18, 1837 – June 24, 1908), the 22nd and 24th President of the United States addressing Congress during his Annual Message to Congress:

"At times like the present, when the evils of unsound finance threaten us, the speculator may anticipate a harvest gathered from the misfortune of others, the capitalist may protect himself by hoarding or may even find profit in the fluctuations of values; but the wage earner - the first to be injured by a depreciated currency - is practically defenseless. He relies for work upon the ventures of confident and contented capital. This failing him, his condition is without alleviation, for he can neither prey on the misfortunes of others nor hoard his labour." Stephen Grover Cleveland (March 18, 1837 – June 24, 1908), the 22nd and 24th President of the United States addressing Congress during his Annual Message to Congress.


"PARIS — As if it’s not enough that England and France are battling for Europe’s soccer championship this week — now their leaders are sniping over taxes, too.

While their teams face decisive matches in Ukraine, British Prime Minister David Cameron ignited a stir while in Mexico at the G-20 summit with a swipe at new French President Francois Hollande’s plan to raise taxes on the wealthy and large corporations to help France tackle its deficit and pay for new public spending intended to lift growth...."

Read more:

http://www.washingtonpos...9/gJQAyGqmnV_story.html


"An Italian man attempting to cross the Swiss border has had 50 kg (110 lb) of gold seized by police. The gold, worth around £1.6m (€2m), was found in a hidden compartment in his car. The businessman and his daughter, who was also in the car, have both been charged with smuggling.

The incident underlines a growing trend of Italians who are seeking to move wealth to Switzerland - funds that Italy is trying to have the Swiss authorities tax retroactively. Exports to Switzerland from the financially stricken country rose 35% year-on-year in February, with the Italian statistics office admitting it was mostly due to “sales of non-monetary gold”....."

Read more:

http://uk.news.yahoo.com...-of-gold-in-his-car.html
hisah
#2478 Posted : Thursday, June 21, 2012 12:02:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Spatalian CDS rates keep rising... Sovereign default insurance getting expensive by the day.


Spanish 5yr CDS rate - this one is already rocketing to new record highs.



Italian 5yr CDS rate - soon to test record highs and surpass them as the euro drama accelerates...


Quote:
Ultimately, investors fear that the eurozone’s No. 4 economy behind Germany, France and Italy could need a bailout of the entire nation. Many believe that would be too big to handle because Spain’s economy is bigger than those of Greece, Ireland and Portugal together.

Objective met. Now consolidation before the next leg up.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2479 Posted : Thursday, June 21, 2012 12:19:03 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Very glad to see brent taking it in the chin. Hope it breaks below $100. Who needs expensive oil with a limping global economy taking large knocks for a sinking eurozone...



Btw does this mean the persian faceoff has run out of steam?

Stated on May 5th. Brent below $100 handle. Wish I had shorted it, but that persian war cry kept me off.

This is good for importing nations, but with KES slipping badly this month, not good for fuel prices.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2480 Posted : Thursday, June 21, 2012 1:54:06 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Microinsurance in KE - www.cnn.com/2012/06/18/b...surance-kenya/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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