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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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Angelica _ann
#2211 Posted : Tuesday, October 25, 2016 11:54:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
snipermnoma wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
The dearth of posts is deafening. The fact that it is Kq that is attracting almost all the attention says a lot. Boring market it is. Just like global markets have been after the Brexit shock. This is somewhat surprising considering the undercurrents of the last three months. Highly misleading.

Q3 results should stir some much needed action.


Today I was asking myself how come the KQ thread is the most active, over 1 million views, 317 pages, over 6k replies. d'oh!

@Obiero the shareholder and his disgruntled employees have kept it going smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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sparkly
#2212 Posted : Tuesday, October 25, 2016 1:35:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
The dearth of posts is deafening. The fact that it is Kq that is attracting almost all the attention says a lot. Boring market it is. Just like global markets have been after the Brexit shock. This is somewhat surprising considering the undercurrents of the last three months. Highly misleading.

Q3 results should stir some much needed action.


Today I was asking myself how come the KQ thread is the most active, over 1 million views, 317 pages, over 6k replies. d'oh!

@Obiero the shareholder and his disgruntled employees have kept it going smile


Ngoja utukanwe Laughing out loudly
Life is short. Live passionately.
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hisah
#2213 Posted : Tuesday, October 25, 2016 9:23:02 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Watching paint dry as heavy losses consolidation takes a breather. The market is about to start moving soon. Bank 3Q results as well as mpesa bank H1 should get things going by next week.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, October 25, 2016 9:25 PM | Reason: Not specified
Angelica _ann
#2214 Posted : Tuesday, October 25, 2016 10:28:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
hisah wrote:
Watching paint dry as heavy losses consolidation takes a breather. The market is about to start moving soon. Bank 3Q results as well as mpesa bank H1 should get things going by next week.

Thanks for the heads up
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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lochaz-index
#2215 Posted : Tuesday, November 01, 2016 8:48:11 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
The untouchable band of blue chip stocks has been whittled down to three:safcom, eabl and BAT. Equity and Kcb fell off a cliff.

Market is still in a limbo trying to stay above 3000 points. More downside than upside expected. Any push below 3000 will shatter the investors' psyche for a while.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Aguytrying
#2216 Posted : Tuesday, November 01, 2016 9:14:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
The market is stuck in limbo. It's a good opportunity to accumulate while prices are attractive
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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hisah
#2217 Posted : Wednesday, November 02, 2016 3:01:41 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
NSE20 caught a bid at 3116 after the interest rate cap shock bidless central. I will name this event the IRC panic. Was the IRC a selling climax? Volume is the language of the market. IRC panic produced a huge vol spike as the bank stocks puked their guts out. Most bank stocks have not fallen sub the IRC lows while volume has dried up as the reaction bounce falls back testing for supply. If this is the setup, the market will start to change behaviour in coming months. So far the bounce has tested 3300. Break below 3000 psychological level will negate the above view that the market is forming a base.

My view remains that capitulation has occurred due to the IRC panic. Even if banks report bad results, the IRC panic has BOUGHT the bad news. This will be easy to spot as bad news becomes a buy looking for green shoots!

Next tough challenge is to test 3500 where the market fell off the cliff due to IRC panic. Huge gap down that needs to be filled.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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lochaz-index
#2218 Posted : Wednesday, November 02, 2016 12:38:19 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
For the next shakeout I see two possibilities: a crisis in our fiscal funding or contagion from an external event.

Either is strong enough to knock the stuffing out of the 3000 mark. If this gives way as I suspect it will, the winter will be long and devastating.

Civil mood has decidedly turned sour of late. We might be getting into the anti-establishment mojo engulfing other nations.

A relief rally is welcome but I think it will be short-lived at best. 2016 has not been exactly action packed save for the beginning of the year and the aftermath of interest capping. This pushes and extends the crisis horizon both locally and abroad to possibly include 2017 and a major part - if not all of - 2018.

This would form awesome accumulation period awaiting the real recovery and subsequent bull in 2019/2020.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, November 02, 2016 1:40 PM | Reason: Not specified
VituVingiSana
#2219 Posted : Wednesday, November 02, 2016 2:56:32 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
A scam a month.
NYS.
Afya House.
Another in the works.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Ericsson
#2220 Posted : Wednesday, November 02, 2016 2:58:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
@VVS
SGR phase 2
Ministry of Agriculture aka maize shortage
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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