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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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#2171 Posted : Friday, September 16, 2016 12:20:27 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
All signs point to an action packed Q4 both locally and internationally.

Locally:
1. Our CB has been awfully quiet on the interest caps. Meaning they can't figure out how to navigate smoothly out of our current situation.
2. Much as the cbr is the presumed base rate it will lead to a disconnect in the money markets.
3. Govt is being egged on to float a second eurobond.
4. Weak banks will be culled in due time. Q4 results should be telling. Big picture will be clear at FY 2017.
5. Failure to float the eurobond means huge domestic borrowing.

Those issues should determine whether the 3000 mark holds to close out the year or it fails to dyke the waves.

As far as the international scene is concerned, it may close the year in the same fashion it opened it.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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mnandii
#2172 Posted : Saturday, September 17, 2016 10:59:01 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
winmak wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
A Socionomic View of Accidents
At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous.

The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety.

The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents.

.................................................

In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents.

Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market.

Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. smile


Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015


Light aircraft crashes in Ngong

link


Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi

Sad

link


Think socioeconomics is really panning out


Light aircraft are not flown by teams d'oh!


SOCIONOMICS!

All aircrafts depend on teamwork e.g the engineers, pilots, control tower etc. They have to coordinate for successful flying.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2173 Posted : Saturday, September 17, 2016 11:01:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Markets are at key junctures. Capitalize on that -- or step out of the way.

www.elliottwave.com

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2174 Posted : Saturday, September 17, 2016 11:33:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


How to Win Against the Dangerous “Herding Impulse”

link
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2175 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2016 12:57:49 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
winmak wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
A Socionomic View of Accidents
At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous.

The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety.

The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents.

.................................................

In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents.

Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market.

Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. smile


Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015


Light aircraft crashes in Ngong

link


Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi

Sad

link


Think socioeconomics is really panning out


Light aircraft are not flown by teams d'oh!


SOCIONOMICS!

All aircrafts depend on teamwork e.g the engineers, pilots, control tower etc. They have to coordinate for successful flying.


KQ bird strike, tyre burst disrupt multiple flights

link
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Ericsson
#2176 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2016 1:59:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
Safaricom AND EABL are the only counters not obeying the bear run and effects of interest rates cap.
Kenya re follows the two.

The other counters its a blood bath
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Ericsson
#2177 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2016 2:02:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
With stock market nearly 50% down this year and yields on government securities falling, real estate growth nearly grinding to a halt coz of low sales and poor rental yields I wonder what type of results pension schemes will report next year.
Avenues of investment have all being killed
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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hisah
#2178 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2016 2:31:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ericsson wrote:
With stock market nearly 50% down this year and yields on government securities falling, real estate growth nearly grinding to a halt coz of low sales and poor rental yields I wonder what type of results pension schemes will report next year.
Avenues of investment have all being killed

Where are you getting the 50% drawdown from? Which index?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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instinct
#2179 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2016 3:15:44 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
Ericsson wrote:
With stock market nearly 50% down this year and yields on government securities falling, real estate growth nearly grinding to a halt coz of low sales and poor rental yields I wonder what type of results pension schemes will report next year.
Avenues of investment have all being killed



This is the point we start thinking hard and come up with investment ideas that that ate out of the ordinary, like rearing beef cattle for export, or manufacturing cars...
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Angelica _ann
#2180 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2016 3:28:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
instinct wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
With stock market nearly 50% down this year and yields on government securities falling, real estate growth nearly grinding to a halt coz of low sales and poor rental yields I wonder what type of results pension schemes will report next year.
Avenues of investment have all being killed



This is the point we start thinking hard and come up with investment ideas that that ate out of the ordinary, like rearing beef cattle for export, or manufacturing cars...

Guys need to start using factors of production effectively for the economy to grow, otherwise we will be doomed as a country.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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