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Are Synovate's polls losing credibility?
thuks
#11 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 7:07:02 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 10/8/2008
Posts: 1,575
Magigi wrote:
...so how come whatever they 'prophesy' always, always comes to pass?


Some are complaining because the prediction is not according to their likes. However, people should know this is only predictive, just like the weather men's prediction never comes to pass
I care!
KenyanLyrics
#12 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 9:30:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2010
Posts: 906
Location: Nairobi
Magigi wrote:
...so how come whatever they 'prophesy' always, always comes to pass?

Social proof principle. Synovate polls are used to plant the seed
kyt
#13 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 10:01:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
KenyanLyrics wrote:
Magigi wrote:
...so how come whatever they 'prophesy' always, always comes to pass?

Social proof principle. Synovate polls are used to plant the seed

i beg to differ there is no seed planted on me. My guy people lie, numbers dont.
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
KenyanLyrics
#14 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 10:33:50 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2010
Posts: 906
Location: Nairobi
Look, these polls are used to reel in undecided voters(who are always the swing vote). In times of doubt, people look to what other people are doing for validation(Social Proof principle). Might not work on you, but it works on a ton of other people. That is the only reason why many of these cooked polls seem like the truth in the end, but if you look closely at the poll itself and the method behind it, you can easily see through the propaganda. Don't be so naive to think that political data as powerful as this is not manipulated.
Sober
#15 Posted : Monday, November 15, 2010 9:02:23 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
Njore wrote:
Surely, I do not need to have even done elementary statistics to know that the polls released by Synovate on Saturday were a complete sham. They cannot fool Kenyans that the ODM's star is rising when we all know very well that the party is seriously divided down the middle. The current storm arising from the differences betweem RAO and Samoie has threated the party's stability like never before.



why were they released on a weekend? just a concern.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
Djinn
#16 Posted : Monday, November 15, 2010 9:14:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/13/2008
Posts: 1,565
KenyanLyrics wrote:
Synovate are a big sham. Their methodology involves use of the very archaic diary method, and on top of this, their panels are very small(usually around 1000 people).
There's always glaring errors in their reports, e.g in their digital analysis report, they claimed that there are more Facebook users than e-mail users(yet you need e-mail to use Facebook)


pls provide details of this report - a link perhaps. I also am weary of some of these polls which most times seek to mould opinions rather than measure them...
Elder
#17 Posted : Monday, November 15, 2010 9:38:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/7/2010
Posts: 2,148
Location: elderville
KenyanLyrics wrote:
Synovate are a big sham. Their methodology involves use of the very archaic diary method, and on top of this, their panels are very small(usually around 1000 people).
There's always glaring errors in their reports, e.g in their digital analysis report, they claimed that there are more Facebook users than e-mail users(yet you need e-mail to use Facebook)


What is the archaic diary method that say they use? Are you referring to the diary method of media tracking? And what to you is the acceptable sample size for polling?
He who can express in words the ardour of his love, has but little love to express. - Petrach, Son. (That men by various ways arrive at the same end. - Montaigne, The Essays of.)
Intelligentsia
#18 Posted : Monday, November 15, 2010 9:54:56 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/1/2009
Posts: 2,436
the devil is always in the timing of when the results are released.
Like deflecting attention, in this case from the divide in ODM.

Sober
#19 Posted : Monday, November 15, 2010 10:09:06 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
2012 is very far. remember what catapulted MK to the helm was when MO1 insisted on UK and the 'rainbow guys' walked out. that was only 5 months to elections. we are two years away.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
keraka
#20 Posted : Monday, November 15, 2010 10:29:16 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/24/2010
Posts: 637
Location: Nairobi
Truth is sycophants and bigots will always dispute opinion polls when their favourite candidate read tribal lord is not doing favourably in the polls.Truth is the opinion looks objective though not accurate.I expected Bill Ruto to score above 70% in RV.
Then kenyans have a a way of behaving and acting differently.For instance a gud no. of kiuks will tell u how they admire RAOS charisma whatever it is but silently they swear never to vote for him.
The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.
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