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Kenya Shilling Strong?
Mainat
#21 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 6:20:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Ksh will stay weak. Note that


tea farmers will get more $ but for less tea
Most nrks are based in UK/US,both experiencing unemplyoment and low house prices
Capital inflows (into NSE and wider economy) are still low.




www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Mwekahazina
#22 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 7:22:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2008
Posts: 21
What if Max Keiser and Mark Faber predictions (both renowned economists) come true,again? Will the shilling strengthen further???!!! Would you hold Kes,USD or EURO??

http://www.prisonplanet....l-in-5-to-10-years.html

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kishindo
#23 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 8:00:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/11/2008
Posts: 121
so if i have Usd 2000 that i intend to use in late November,would you advise me to cash it now or wait...advise please............

less is more for Architects only!!
Less is more....for Architects only!!
Wendz
#24 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 8:36:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/19/2008
Posts: 4,268
@Mainat

In your post below,are you suggesting that the shilling is not strengthening? Lets say weak is relative but i dont think the shilling is weak if you compare it with the previous tradings of the year. it's today trading at 74.5 to a dollar or so which is the highest it has hit this year i believe. The last time it traded on this range was before October last year. Infact it has risen by almost 2 dollars since mid august!



Experience is what you get when you don't get what you want.
jerry
#25 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 11:59:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
2 dollars or 20 cents?

Crocodile tears: If you can't assist me when I'm alive en you attend my funeral.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
Wendz
#26 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 12:12:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/19/2008
Posts: 4,268
sorry. 20cts. Thanks @jerry

Experience is what you get when you don't get what you want.
mukiha
#27 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 12:44:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
@kishindo;

suppose you can run around the forex bureax in town and get one that will buy at 75 from you....sh150k in total.

Now put that KES in a money-market unit trust for one month and get say 9%pa. In November you will probably have sh151,125.

To make the same but speculating on the forex rate,the USD will have to climb to at least sh75.5625.

So,do you think that is a reasonable expectation; that it will rise to sh75.5625?

Behind the gardens...Behind the wall...Under the tree (Including: Red...Dark Blue...Yellow)
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
Kaigangio
#28 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 3:48:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/27/2007
Posts: 2,768
I am still trying to figure out the reasons behind the shilling is gaining strength especially now when the agricultural activities have been badly battered by the drought and i am finding none....there has been no major changes in the fundamentals...the dollar has simply lost in the international money market just as the shilling lost against the rand....

NEVER TALK OF A RHINO IF THERE IS NO TREE NEAREBY - ZULU PROVERB
...besides, the presence of a safe alone does not signify that there is money inside...
jerry
#29 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 5:51:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
I still hold my theory that Obama has printed some dollars! No proof though,so it remains a theory.

Crocodile tears: If you can't assist me when I'm alive en you attend my funeral.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
solloh
#30 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 6:56:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/21/2007
Posts: 20
@ Jerry
It is true the federal reserve is printing money .ALOT! Only thing is that it goes by the name quantitative easing. They are using this newly created money to buy up toxic agency (mainly mortgage) debt from the chinese and other central banks on condition that they buy treasuries ( US govt debt) thus creating the impression that these central banks are buying treasuries. Smart fellas.

Invest with alpha not leveraged beta
Mwekahazina
#31 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 7:45:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2008
Posts: 21
@Solloh - I hope more people see through this fog. Debt monetization is an issue that will won't go away. Read Prof. Paul Krugman's articles in the NY Times in 2005 and 2009. Quote,his 2009,August 28 blog '...Which brings me to a question a number of people have raised: maybe we can pay the interest,but what about repaying the principal?' http://krugman.blogs.nyt...-burden-of-debt/?apage=2
VituVingiSana
#32 Posted : Thursday, September 24, 2009 8:13:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
Kenya remains a net importer... and unless it rains... the KES is on a one way trip down... A country that imports massive amounts of food (without any other significant exports is f****d). Kenya is not Singapore or UAE or UK...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Mainat
#33 Posted : Monday, September 28, 2009 8:15:00 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Sillingi closed at 75.90 today...

www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
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