Horton wrote:Ericsson wrote:Brent crude at $65.6 a barrel.It's getting rough.
Yeah but for Kenya on the whole. Our break even was 50-55$
$65 doesn't help us now [inflation, etc]... Plus I prefer lower oil prices as a consumer since "Kenya" comprises too many pigs and leeches at the top i.e. how much (& when) of the $65/bbl (of Kenya's oil) will come to VVS?
In the meantime, $65 will eat into KK's profitability BUT I also see a silver lining i.e. only the strong can finance imports of OTS cargoes [low margin, high volume, (almost) default free]...
Can KK leverage the OTS to make more trading profits?
Can KK out-muscle smaller/weaker independent retail players using its financial muscle?
Can KK expand its LPG and lubricants businesses using its outlets?
Can KK leverage on its relationships with the refiners to source cheaper refined fuel?
Can KK leverage its storage/ullage to stock up on (cheap) fuel as prices rise? [Risky strategy if prices start dropping]
I will look at the 31 Dec 2017 balance sheet closely especially the "debt" portion.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett