@Ebenyo
Unga sees a tough year for consumers/FMCG.
The resolutions are typically the boiler plate stuff.
Notes:
- Expansion of the wheat mill, in phases, over 3 years start in 2017 [Eldoret]
- Completion of the silos [doubles capacity] in Eldoret in 2017
- A manager said that Unga cannot satisfy the demand for its wheat products
- New products under "Amana" [Rice has been introduced but it's a very competitive market. Unga should have done this years ago.]
- Unga will introduce smaller packets that are "pocket-friendly"
- Unga will remain a quality supplier i.e. premium pricing
- Ennsvalley is expanding and moving away from Nakumatt as the only major distributor. Chandarana has Ennsvalley manage their bakeries.
- Ennsvalley has consolidated its range of products i.e. less waste, better products, consistency
- Ennsvalley is also expanding [new machinery & larger space]
- No plans to take on additional debt immediately but debt when taken will be manageable.
- CEO said the 6% growth in GDP is not flowing down. He thinks a large part is due to SGR not spread across the economy
- Unga will expand its presence in the country using distributors. Shareholders can apply to be distributors BUT they will be treated the same as business partners
- Heavy expenses on marketing taken as an expense immediately but the payback will come in 3 years. I think he meant brand building eg Amana, Ennsvalley, etc.
- The "drop" in profits was due to a comparison vs the gains from the sale of Bullpak. Profit grew when comparing apples to apples i.e. continuing businesses.
- Unga (& CMA) is lobbying for removal of taxes on all inputs of animal feeds.
- Unga has changed the formulas for some feeds to use "tax-free" ingredients vs taxable soy bran.
- The (hot) Ugandan GM was also there. Consolidation, new products, etc. No different from Kenya. No maize (only wheat) mill in UG. They want to double sales by 2018 but a much smaller operation. Smuggling is a big problem as untaxed goods compete with Unga's products.
Bottomline: Unga sees slower growth (turnover and profits) in 2017 but barring volatile grain prices, the profits will grow modestly. The dividend will be maintained BUT it's unlikely that Unga will do a Rights Issue in 2017.
I came away confident that my investment is in good hands. Vision 2019.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett