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Unga FY 2015-16
VituVingiSana
#21 Posted : Saturday, December 24, 2016 4:34:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
@Ebenyo

Unga sees a tough year for consumers/FMCG.
The resolutions are typically the boiler plate stuff.

Notes:
- Expansion of the wheat mill, in phases, over 3 years start in 2017 [Eldoret]
- Completion of the silos [doubles capacity] in Eldoret in 2017
- A manager said that Unga cannot satisfy the demand for its wheat products
- New products under "Amana" [Rice has been introduced but it's a very competitive market. Unga should have done this years ago.]
- Unga will introduce smaller packets that are "pocket-friendly"
- Unga will remain a quality supplier i.e. premium pricing
- Ennsvalley is expanding and moving away from Nakumatt as the only major distributor. Chandarana has Ennsvalley manage their bakeries.
- Ennsvalley has consolidated its range of products i.e. less waste, better products, consistency
- Ennsvalley is also expanding [new machinery & larger space]
- No plans to take on additional debt immediately but debt when taken will be manageable.
- CEO said the 6% growth in GDP is not flowing down. He thinks a large part is due to SGR not spread across the economy
- Unga will expand its presence in the country using distributors. Shareholders can apply to be distributors BUT they will be treated the same as business partners
- Heavy expenses on marketing taken as an expense immediately but the payback will come in 3 years. I think he meant brand building eg Amana, Ennsvalley, etc.
- The "drop" in profits was due to a comparison vs the gains from the sale of Bullpak. Profit grew when comparing apples to apples i.e. continuing businesses.
- Unga (& CMA) is lobbying for removal of taxes on all inputs of animal feeds.
- Unga has changed the formulas for some feeds to use "tax-free" ingredients vs taxable soy bran.

- The (hot) Ugandan GM was also there. Consolidation, new products, etc. No different from Kenya. No maize (only wheat) mill in UG. They want to double sales by 2018 but a much smaller operation. Smuggling is a big problem as untaxed goods compete with Unga's products.

Bottomline: Unga sees slower growth (turnover and profits) in 2017 but barring volatile grain prices, the profits will grow modestly. The dividend will be maintained BUT it's unlikely that Unga will do a Rights Issue in 2017.

I came away confident that my investment is in good hands. Vision 2019.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Ebenyo
#22 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2016 6:36:06 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
VituVingiSana wrote:
@Ebenyo

Unga sees a tough year for consumers/FMCG.
The resolutions are typically the boiler plate stuff.

Notes:
- Expansion of the wheat mill, in phases, over 3 years start in 2017 [Eldoret]
- Completion of the silos [doubles capacity] in Eldoret in 2017
- A manager said that Unga cannot satisfy the demand for its wheat products
- New products under "Amana" [Rice has been introduced but it's a very competitive market. Unga should have done this years ago.]
- Unga will introduce smaller packets that are "pocket-friendly"
- Unga will remain a quality supplier i.e. premium pricing
- Ennsvalley is expanding and moving away from Nakumatt as the only major distributor. Chandarana has Ennsvalley manage their bakeries.
- Ennsvalley has consolidated its range of products i.e. less waste, better products, consistency
- Ennsvalley is also expanding [new machinery & larger space]
- No plans to take on additional debt immediately but debt when taken will be manageable.
- CEO said the 6% growth in GDP is not flowing down. He thinks a large part is due to SGR not spread across the economy
- Unga will expand its presence in the country using distributors. Shareholders can apply to be distributors BUT they will be treated the same as business partners
- Heavy expenses on marketing taken as an expense immediately but the payback will come in 3 years. I think he meant brand building eg Amana, Ennsvalley, etc.
- The "drop" in profits was due to a comparison vs the gains from the sale of Bullpak. Profit grew when comparing apples to apples i.e. continuing businesses.
- Unga (& CMA) is lobbying for removal of taxes on all inputs of animal feeds.
- Unga has changed the formulas for some feeds to use "tax-free" ingredients vs taxable soy bran.

- The (hot) Ugandan GM was also there. Consolidation, new products, etc. No different from Kenya. No maize (only wheat) mill in UG. They want to double sales by 2018 but a much smaller operation. Smuggling is a big problem as untaxed goods compete with Unga's products.

Bottomline: Unga sees slower growth (turnover and profits) in 2017 but barring volatile grain prices, the profits will grow modestly. The dividend will be maintained BUT it's unlikely that Unga will do a Rights Issue in 2017.

I came away confident that my investment is in good hands. Vision 2019.


@VVs,thank you for the breakdown of agm resolutions.I have been thinking too much about this counter and im now satisfied with my research.I will now complete my portfolio building with it.Let me hope for the best.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
VituVingiSana
#23 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2016 10:36:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
@Ebenyo - Resolutions are formal items that are usually ok'd by the shareholders.

What I described in detail was the Q&A session [relevant to the business] as well as what the management discussed/revealed. These are not resolutions.

At an AGM, often there are discussions AFTER the formal business is over. When many shareholders run to grab food, sit and listen. At KK's AGMs the formal business is disposed of then the "real" session begins where one learns a lot. Same at Unga where the CEO discusses the business & expectations.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mlennyma
#24 Posted : Tuesday, January 17, 2017 12:28:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Not all is bad,here comes the dividend as a consolation to the nse troubles.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
VituVingiSana
#25 Posted : Tuesday, January 17, 2017 7:16:39 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Not all is bad,here comes the dividend as a consolation to the nse troubles.
Yes! Hit my account yesterday. No complaints. I expect even better things even with a tough 2017. Delayed gratification. I liked the MD's plans for the next 3 years though the noisy AGM wasn't conducive for a proper discussion.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Elephant Man
#26 Posted : Sunday, February 05, 2017 9:10:34 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/24/2008
Posts: 112
@ VVS...

Ennsvalley no longer operational in my local Nakumatt (since 1st Feb 2017)...wonder who did the dumping (just before Valentine's!)...

Haven't visited Chandarana to see if they are the new sweetheart...

Rumour has it that Unga are close to finalising the disposal of the Ligi Ndogo property on Ngong Road...any one with any info?
VituVingiSana
#27 Posted : Sunday, February 05, 2017 10:39:14 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Elephant Man wrote:
@ VVS...

Ennsvalley no longer operational in my local Nakumatt (since 1st Feb 2017)...wonder who did the dumping (just before Valentine's!)...
I suspect No money, no honey. No point in throwing good money after bad.

Haven't visited Chandarana to see if they are the new sweetheart...

Rumour has it that Unga are close to finalising the disposal of the Ligi Ndogo property on Ngong Road...any one with any info?

Not me.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Pesa Nane
#28 Posted : Thursday, February 16, 2017 9:33:11 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Elephant Man wrote:
@ VVS...

Ennsvalley no longer operational in my local Nakumatt (since 1st Feb 2017)...wonder who did the dumping (just before Valentine's!)...

Haven't visited Chandarana to see if they are the new sweetheart...

Rumour has it that Unga are close to finalising the disposal of the Ligi Ndogo property on Ngong Road...any one with any info?


Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
obiero
#29 Posted : Friday, May 12, 2017 6:49:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,541
Location: nairobi
What next for Unga

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#30 Posted : Friday, May 12, 2017 9:56:21 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Unga has had an awful 2016-17. No maize, Nakumatt, Uchumi, Ennsvalley. It needs to take the write-offs for bad debts, staff retrenchment and Ennsvalley.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Ebenyo
#31 Posted : Friday, May 12, 2017 10:57:07 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
VituVingiSana wrote:
Unga has had an awful 2016-17. No maize, Nakumatt, Uchumi, Ennsvalley. It needs to take the write-offs for bad debts, staff retrenchment and Ennsvalley.


They actually need to do something about thin profit margin.im afraid they will sink to losses.The expenditure is very high.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
Pesa Nane
#32 Posted : Friday, May 12, 2017 11:25:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
VituVingiSana wrote:
Unga has had an awful 2016-17. No maize, Nakumatt, Uchumi, Ennsvalley. It needs to take the write-offs for bad debts, staff retrenchment and Ennsvalley.

Who made the decision to sell bullpak especially now that jwala (polythene bags) are being banned?!!
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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