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NBK quarter one 2013 profit before tax up slim 3pc
muganda
#11 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 1:22:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Well said mwekeza@ji. I had some anticipation when I saw Mr. Ahmed Munir appointed as MD, on the heels of Mr. Mohammed Hassan's earlier appointment as chair of the board. They have a deserved reputation for performance!

But NBK has reminded me instead of Warren Buffett's quip - Turnarounds seldom turn.

dunkang
#12 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 1:31:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
Is it that other banks are 'cooking' their results, or there is a big problem at NBK?

I had thought the KANU era bad loans had been struck off the books, or what is eating this bank?
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

mwekez@ji
#13 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 1:59:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
muganda wrote:
Well said mwekeza@ji. I had some anticipation when I saw Mr. Ahmed Munir appointed as MD, on the heels of Mr. Mohammed Hassan's earlier appointment as chair of the board. They have a deserved reputation for performance!

But NBK has reminded me instead of Warren Buffett's quip - Turnarounds seldom turn.


the deal
#14 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 2:24:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
The declining lending rates & yields in the money markets compressed their NIM...but things should improve going forward if only those NPL's will not come & haunt them...I'm expecting huge impairement charges in the P&L across the banking sector going forward....I think thats whats tempering optimism towards banks despite stellar Q1 earnings.
mwekez@ji
#15 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 2:32:16 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
dunkang wrote:
Is it that other banks are 'cooking' their results, or there is a big problem at NBK?

I had thought the KANU era bad loans had been struck off the books, or what is eating this bank?


By and large, other banks are okay ... hati yangu ... iko shida nbk inayohitaji suluhisho ya dharura
selah
#16 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 2:46:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
Most banks have recorded an Increase in NPL with some having some huge exposures.....eg Equity bank...NBK has tried, especially when you look at NPL they are all covered, no exposures....The bank has no debt...Other banks have had to borrow huge amount to shore up liquidity....IMHO This bank is destined for greatness If it were not for the upcoming right Issue, where I think the prices might fall drastically,I would buy this stock today.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
Cde Monomotapa
#17 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2013 6:30:01 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
mwekez@ji wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Something interesting on the cashflow statement.


That a result of the increase in deposits. Too bad this management does not know how to utilize them

I find that interesting that a bank would consider customer deposits in the cashflow statement making me presume it is probably a bond sale?
vastcapital
#18 Posted : Tuesday, May 21, 2013 8:14:25 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 10/10/2010
Posts: 51
Location: Nairobi
selah wrote:
Most banks have recorded an Increase in NPL with some having some huge exposures.....eg Equity bank...NBK has tried, especially when you look at NPL they are all covered, no exposures....The bank has no debt...Other banks have had to borrow huge amount to shore up liquidity....IMHO This bank is destined for greatness If it were not for the upcoming right Issue, where I think the prices might fall drastically,I would buy this stock today.


@selah, well put. from where i sit its a transforming entity and save for the rights issue which will definately supress the price it remains a buy. The reduction in loans is a strategic move meant to reduce NBKs reliance on the personal unsecured loans which constitute about 70% of its loan bk. The increase in HTM is too minimal and could be explained outstanding government debts which are always converted to HTM debt atleast for NBK. there is talk of rebrading which is set for this week and i bet Munir will take the opportunity to outline his strategy.
Aguytrying
#19 Posted : Tuesday, May 21, 2013 10:54:21 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
The bank's not doing well at the moment.
But id classify this as
"u cant buy whats popular and succeed".
I think once the rights issue is done and dusted, this company is already down, the only way now can be up(or out)
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
mwekez@ji
#20 Posted : Tuesday, May 21, 2013 11:36:08 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Something interesting on the cashflow statement.


That a result of the increase in deposits. Too bad this management does not know how to utilize them

I find that interesting that a bank would consider customer deposits in the cashflow statement making me presume it is probably a bond sale?


comrade cde, banks main operation is financial intermediation hence the increase in customer deposits was reflected as so in the cashflow statement. In addition, check the Balance Sheet and note the increase in customer deposits and net purchase of bonds (not bond sale). ... So far, Munir has displayed signs of running without a strategy. I wait to see his long overdue strategic plan during the coming rebranding
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