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Ndegwa family to raise NIC stake from 25% to 35% after under subscription
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/23/2008 Posts: 3,017
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VituVingiSana wrote:It seems to me that this move is the beginning of a slow but deliberate move/campaign by the ndegwas to get additional shares DESPITE an over-subscription. Will the CMA stop it?
In 2007, NIC gave a preferred allocation to the ndegwas who then profited by selling the 'New Shares' on the NSE.
Read the IM. The Board (which is controlled by the ndegwas) will allocate the Untaken Rights as they see fit. There is no indication on how the shares will be allocated! 100% discretion of the Board. Why would they want to publicly own more than 25%. There is no motivation to hold an additional 10% for one year. This is simply an exercise whose aim is to ensure the bank has a certain decired core capital that supports growth going forward. They are not speculators, they are more interested in the bank than in the shares. "The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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Taking up their rights is not unfair. Totally within their right to take up the rights and participate in the pro-rata allocation of the untaken rights. There is no need for them however to take an extra allocation, knowing that the offer will be oversubscribed. What is unfair is the fact that the Ndegwas will draw their rights cheque AFTER the determination of the subscription levels and the Board has an unfair advantage of determining the allocation criteria. For instance if i have 1,000 shares i get 250 rights. I decide to take up the rights and apply for an extra 250 shares. My payment accompanies the application and i have to wait for the allocations. Ndegwas take up their rights and apply for 10 times their entitlement (just an example). They provide a bank guarantee. They determine the allocation criteria, get themselves a pro-rata allocation based on their large application! If i was CBK i would not allow them to exceed 25% while Wanjikus are allocated shares in batches of 10s and 20s. The fairest system would be to give people who apply for less than say 2,000 additional shares a full allocation and pro-rata thereafter. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/6/2010 Posts: 289
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so the Ndegwas have already paid for their rights,i doubt,other shareholders have already paid,my take let the wanjikus get their full allocation since we r headed for an over subscription.
these guys will make a kill sell by 2013 when the share will be trading at ksh 56 imagine the capital gain.
truly said....Githae do something
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,129 Location: Nairobi
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sparkly wrote:Taking up their rights is not unfair. Totally within their right to take up the rights and participate in the pro-rata allocation of the untaken rights.
There is no need for them however to take an extra allocation, knowing that the offer will be oversubscribed.
What is unfair is the fact that the Ndegwas will draw their rights cheque AFTER the determination of the subscription levels and the Board has an unfair advantage of determining the allocation criteria.
For instance if i have 1,000 shares i get 250 rights. I decide to take up the rights and apply for an extra 250 shares. My payment accompanies the application and i have to wait for the allocations.
Ndegwas take up their rights and apply for 10 times their entitlement (just an example). They provide a bank guarantee. They determine the allocation criteria, get themselves a pro-rata allocation based on their large application!
If i was CBK i would not allow them to exceed 25% while Wanjikus are allocated shares in batches of 10s and 20s. The fairest system would be to give people who apply for less than say 2,000 additional shares a full allocation and pro-rata thereafter. BTW, read the IM, they do not even need a Bank Guarantee! All they need is a Letter of Undertaking which is 'free' (no fees unlike a Bank Guarantee) for QIIs & ICEA is considered a QII. As you said, what stops them from applying for Additional Shares after all the other applications are in & their form is backdatedGreedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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gesowan wrote:these guys will make a kill sell by 2013 when the share will be trading at ksh 56 imagine the capital gain.
truly said....Githae do something Instead of crying about it! Call your broker and join the party... These guys might get an additional 10% @ 21bob and at the same time securing the 2billion capital for their company's expansion! Capitalism at work! Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/6/2010 Posts: 289
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when Guru speaks we listen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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guru267 wrote:gesowan wrote:these guys will make a kill sell by 2013 when the share will be trading at ksh 56 imagine the capital gain.
truly said....Githae do something Instead of crying about it! Call your broker and join the party...These guys might get an additional 10% @ 21bob and at the same time securing the 2billion capital for their company's expansion! Capitalism at work! Ditto....I wonder why people keep wailing instead of joining the sisal dance. "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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murchr wrote:guru267 wrote:gesowan wrote:these guys will make a kill sell by 2013 when the share will be trading at ksh 56 imagine the capital gain.
truly said....Githae do something Instead of crying about it! Call your broker and join the party...These guys might get an additional 10% @ 21bob and at the same time securing the 2billion capital for their company's expansion! Capitalism at work! Ditto....I wonder why people keep wailing instead of joining the sisal dance. Two reasons why we will discuss it: 1. Its a listed company so all shareholders should have a say or at least bit** if things aren't right in their eyes. 2. Its a bank and therefore a PIE, public interest entity and the reason why the CBK guidelines apply to the Ndegwas. I have no problem as long as the allocation criteria will be 'fair' to the minorities before they engage in their little adventure of exceeding 25%. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/9/2009 Posts: 6,592 Location: Nairobi
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sparkly wrote:murchr wrote:guru267 wrote:gesowan wrote:these guys will make a kill sell by 2013 when the share will be trading at ksh 56 imagine the capital gain.
truly said....Githae do something Instead of crying about it! Call your broker and join the party...These guys might get an additional 10% @ 21bob and at the same time securing the 2billion capital for their company's expansion! Capitalism at work! Ditto....I wonder why people keep wailing instead of joining the sisal dance. Two reasons why we will discuss it: 1. Its a listed company so all shareholders should have a say or at least bit** if things aren't right in their eyes. 2. Its a bank and therefore a PIE, public interest entity and the reason why the CBK guidelines apply to the Ndegwas. I have no problem as long as the allocation criteria will be 'fair' to the minorities before they engage in their little adventure of exceeding 25%. This issue will be over subscribed so I doubt this Ndegwa issue will arise. BBI will solve it :)
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,129 Location: Nairobi
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2012 wrote:sparkly wrote:murchr wrote:guru267 wrote:gesowan wrote:these guys will make a kill sell by 2013 when the share will be trading at ksh 56 imagine the capital gain.
truly said....Githae do something Instead of crying about it! Call your broker and join the party...These guys might get an additional 10% @ 21bob and at the same time securing the 2billion capital for their company's expansion! Capitalism at work! Ditto....I wonder why people keep wailing instead of joining the sisal dance. Two reasons why we will discuss it: 1. Its a listed company so all shareholders should have a say or at least bit** if things aren't right in their eyes. 2. Its a bank and therefore a PIE, public interest entity and the reason why the CBK guidelines apply to the Ndegwas. I have no problem as long as the allocation criteria will be 'fair' to the minorities before they engage in their little adventure of exceeding 25%. This issue will be over subscribed so I doubt the issue will arise. The 2007 Rights Issue was oversubscribed yet miraculously the ndegwas went from 25% to 28% thanks to an 'never seen before' allocation policy. The allocation policy - which was announced AFTER the allocation was a fait accompli - was rigged in favor of the ndegwas.Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Mates, window for calling your brokers for the rights closed on Friday, September 14th. We now await Thursday, October 11th for Announcement of Offer Results
#Hunt for the shares in secondary market. But ofcourse secondary market doesnt have the discount the rights issue applicants are dancing to :d/
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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2012 wrote: This issue will be over subscribed so I doubt this Ndegwa issue will arise. There can be an oversubscription without without all rights being taken up! This arrives as a result of some shareholders neither selling or taking up the rights... For example DTB rights issue was 86% oversubscirbed but 25% of the rights were not taken up... This resulted in the guys who applied for addtional shares getting the remaining 25% on a pro rata basis Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Member Joined: 2/13/2011 Posts: 284 Location: Nairobi
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The Ndegwa's stating or and taking up their rights will result to less shares being traded and hence supply levels will be low. if we assume that demand remains constant, then the share price will definately hike as a result of the short supply. if u combine this with the company and market fundamentals which will increase the demand for the company, then this share is a gud bet. However, this anomaly will only hold for the period before the Ndegwa's offload the extra 10%.
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/6/2010 Posts: 289
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Gadaffi wrote:The Ndegwa's stating or and taking up their rights will result to less shares being traded and hence supply levels will be low. if we assume that demand remains constant, then the share price will definately hike as a result of the short supply. if u combine this with the company and market fundamentals which will increase the demand for the company, then this share is a gud bet. However, this anomaly will only hold for the period before the Ndegwa's offload the extra 10%. yes and make a kill to pay for the next rights issue
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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gesowan wrote:Gadaffi wrote:The Ndegwa's stating or and taking up their rights will result to less shares being traded and hence supply levels will be low. if we assume that demand remains constant, then the share price will definately hike as a result of the short supply. if u combine this with the company and market fundamentals which will increase the demand for the company, then this share is a gud bet. However, this anomaly will only hold for the period before the Ndegwa's offload the extra 10%. yes and make a kill to pay for the next rights issue Capitalism!! Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,129 Location: Nairobi
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Gadaffi wrote:The Ndegwa's stating or and taking up their rights will result to less shares being traded and hence supply levels will be low. if we assume that demand remains constant, then the share price will definately hike as a result of the short supply. if u combine this with the company and market fundamentals which will increase the demand for the company, then this share is a gud bet. However, this anomaly will only hold for the period before the Ndegwa's offload the extra 10%. Ndegwas will start selling immediately. Locks in their profits. Makes sure the 10% is old within 1 year. Plans the next Rights Issue. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Whats the dilution post rights and bonus? I fear it is great The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/20/2012 Posts: 3,855 Location: Othumo
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VituVingiSana wrote:Gadaffi wrote:The Ndegwa's stating or and taking up their rights will result to less shares being traded and hence supply levels will be low. if we assume that demand remains constant, then the share price will definately hike as a result of the short supply. if u combine this with the company and market fundamentals which will increase the demand for the company, then this share is a gud bet. However, this anomaly will only hold for the period before the Ndegwa's offload the extra 10%. Ndegwas will start selling immediately. Locks in their profits. Makes sure the 10% is old within 1 year. Plans the next Rights Issue. Those who are supporting what the Ndegwa's are doing, i have no wonders for you, it is pure and straingt conmanship. Why cant they wait for the apllications and allotment process and get the outcome and if need be call for a special AGM to amended the process for more allocations the way CIC did after their last rights. Thieves
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/20/2012 Posts: 3,855 Location: Othumo
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Aguytrying wrote:Whats the dilution post rights and bonus? I fear it is great 10% = 1 share for every 10 held! This share might just come to the levels of NBK, KQ and HFCK levels Thieves
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Rank: Member Joined: 2/13/2011 Posts: 284 Location: Nairobi
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King G wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Gadaffi wrote:The Ndegwa's stating or and taking up their rights will result to less shares being traded and hence supply levels will be low. if we assume that demand remains constant, then the share price will definately hike as a result of the short supply. if u combine this with the company and market fundamentals which will increase the demand for the company, then this share is a gud bet. However, this anomaly will only hold for the period before the Ndegwa's offload the extra 10%. Ndegwas will start selling immediately. Locks in their profits. Makes sure the 10% is old within 1 year. Plans the next Rights Issue. Those who are supporting what the Ndegwa's are doing, i have no wonders for you, it is pure and straingt conmanship. Why cant they wait for the apllications and allotment process and get the outcome and if need be call for a special AGM to amended the process for more allocations the way CIC did after their last rights. u can call it conmanship bt that is how pple mk money in th stock market n that is why it is th stock market. Look at a situation wea th stock market ws effecient n there were no imperfections in th economy, a share price wld hardly fluctuate, there wld b NO motivation 2 invest in th stock exchange!!!
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Ndegwa family to raise NIC stake from 25% to 35% after under subscription
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