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The N.S.E points to 27xx in the next round of selling
Aguytrying
#21 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 9:55:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Some of the demand volume i'm seeing today reminds of last year early jan when we had that rally. Nb: observation not prediction.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
the deal
#22 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 11:54:13 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Bellweather Safaricom takes charge from the archives http://www.contrarianinv...-the-bellweathersApplause Applause
Aguytrying
#23 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 12:19:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
the deal wrote:
Bellweather Safaricom takes charge from the archives http://www.contrarianinv...-the-bellweathersApplause Applause


well its certainly moving on its own direction, crazy demand. time will tell.

Like the " prayer and fasting"
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
youcan'tstopusnow
#24 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 12:29:39 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
No doubt boosted by the recent CCK data...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
the deal
#25 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 12:37:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
No doubt boosted by the recent CCK data...

I think the CCK data is not that material i.e it covers the period up September and Safcom's Half year runs up to September so nothing new since Safcom has already announced their half year,I expect them to be shedding more market share since that price hike smile
the deal
#26 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 12:40:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Aguytrying wrote:
the deal wrote:
Bellweather Safaricom takes charge from the archives http://www.contrarianinv...-the-bellweathersApplause Applause


well its certainly moving on its own direction, crazy demand. time will tell.

Like the " prayer and fasting"

If people are rushing to buy a stock that announce a 47% drop in profits...what about the restsmile smile
Aguytrying
#27 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 1:04:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
the deal wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
the deal wrote:
Bellweather Safaricom takes charge from the archives http://www.contrarianinv...-the-bellweathersApplause Applause


well its certainly moving on its own direction, crazy demand. time will tell.

Like the " prayer and fasting"

If people are rushing to buy a stock that announce a 47% drop in profits...what about the restsmile smile


True. however the volumes aint coming in despite the massive demand. so far 0.62M shares traded. lets see how it pans out.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
youcan'tstopusnow
#28 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 1:25:37 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Then buyers will be forced to up their bids, ama?smile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#29 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 1:28:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)
Cde Monomotapa
#30 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 1:32:09 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)

The only head wind is a tariff war on Data..apart from that, they should make money Jan-Sept '12
youcan'tstopusnow
#31 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 1:55:49 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)

The only head wind is a tariff war on Data..apart from that, they should make money Jan-Sept '12

Of course Kibaki offered them an amnesty by suspending a reduction in interconnection rates for a year. That expires in 6 months I think...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#32 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 2:16:07 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)

The only head wind is a tariff war on Data..apart from that, they should make money Jan-Sept '12

Of course Kibaki offered them an amnesty by suspending a reduction in interconnection rates for a year. That expires in 6 months I think...

Thanks for that Cde YCSUN then that's head wind no.2 let's see if CCK will be quick on implementation post-expiration. This sector is too fluid for my blood Sad
youcan'tstopusnow
#33 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 2:22:09 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)

The only head wind is a tariff war on Data..apart from that, they should make money Jan-Sept '12

Of course Kibaki offered them an amnesty by suspending a reduction in interconnection rates for a year. That expires in 6 months I think...

Thanks for that Cde YCSUN then that's head wind no.2 let's see if CCK will be quick on implementation post-expiration. This sector is too fluid for my blood Sad

DECADE OF THE BANKS!!!
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
the deal
#34 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 2:44:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Mr Market moves ahead of events/news.
Cde Monomotapa
#35 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 2:48:51 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)

The only head wind is a tariff war on Data..apart from that, they should make money Jan-Sept '12

Of course Kibaki offered them an amnesty by suspending a reduction in interconnection rates for a year. That expires in 6 months I think...

Thanks for that Cde YCSUN then that's head wind no.2 let's see if CCK will be quick on implementation post-expiration. This sector is too fluid for my blood Sad

DECADE OF THE BANKS!!!

hehe, right on...it is always advisable that when it's bed time, one sleeps with both eyes closed smile
youcan'tstopusnow
#36 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 3:00:17 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
SCANGROUP and COOP pushing 44 Million and 21 Million in turnover respectively accounting for just over half of total turnover...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
QW25081985
#37 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 3:24:41 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Safcom has to be amongst the best Inflation Reversal plays on the NSE currently smile especially Voice in the sense that the Tariffs were revised upwards and inflation is expected to continue easing...the money will be made in that divergence ;-)

The only head wind is a tariff war on Data..apart from that, they should make money Jan-Sept '12

Of course Kibaki offered them an amnesty by suspending a reduction in interconnection rates for a year. That expires in 6 months I think...

Thanks for that Cde YCSUN then that's head wind no.2 let's see if CCK will be quick on implementation post-expiration. This sector is too fluid for my blood Sad

DECADE OF THE BANKS!!!

hehe, right on...it is always advisable that when it's bed time, one sleeps with both eyes closed smile


lol. Applause Applause Applause
QW25081985
#38 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 5:01:11 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
SCANGROUP and COOP pushing 44 Million and 21 Million in turnover respectively accounting for just over half of total turnover...


some body will be buying co-op at 9 bob and also someone will be drying sick he/she bought at 12.00 .
QW25081985
#39 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 5:03:51 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
the deal wrote:
@qw The chart you have drawn above shows a full cycle..it has the impulse wave (2010 rally) and its correction (2011 bear run)...I think we are at the bottom...2011 capitulation can not be followed by more capitulation...WE ARE AT THE BOTTOM...take that to the banksmile Applause


you have a valid point . None of the anticipated movements ( bull rally or bear sell-off ) have been confirmed yet. but before i call the market a bull market i need to see some convincing volume ..
i believe whats happening now as we stagnate at the 32xx resistance is distribution before the fall
youcan'tstopusnow
#40 Posted : Monday, January 09, 2012 5:22:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
NSE lost 24.41points to close at 3,200.46
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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