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Kenya airways Right Issue
Maumau
#181 Posted : Monday, April 02, 2012 4:39:54 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/11/2009
Posts: 22
@qw The brokers have the book. The full IM is also at:

http://rightsissue.kenya...e_IM_Final_29032012.pdf

mwekez@ji
#182 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 8:34:06 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
236 pages and they can’t give a financial forecast!!! Damn!!! How are we supposed to analyse the profitability of KQ as they apply the rights money and borrowed fund!!!
mwekez@ji
#183 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 8:40:05 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
VituVingiSana wrote:
"...according to Clark, who says he’s sticking with a no-hedging strategy rather than risking a losing bet.

“You think you’re going to win, but in the long term you always lose,” Clark said yesterday at the Gulf carrier’s head office near Dubai International Airport. “When we enter into derivatives, betting whatever it may be with counterparties who actually control the price of fuel in the first place, you have to ask yourself, ‘Is that smart?’”


http://www.bloomberg.com...il-in-fuel-squeeze.html

Well, compare KQ vs Emirates!

KQ has made net losses since they started hedging. These hedges are sold by financial institutions that in turn buy/sell the same hedges... It's the fox guarding the hen-house.

Citi will get a good deal. KQ's NAV is much higher than 14/-. Even after the Rights, the NAV will be above 14/- [and a lot of it in cash].

Furthermore, Citibank will INSIST in being the main bank for KQ's Rights Issue thus earning fees, commissions & arbitrage income.

Citi will also get a DISCOUNT on the Rights Issue. Yes, suckers, Citi will pay less than 14/-.


Suckers, they have not fully underwritten the rights issue. They have only underwritten 30,000,000 shares worth KES 420,000,000 and they are getting KES 47,645,075 in underwriting fees. (from section 6.5 of IM). That’s basically a discount of 11.34% (12.40 per share). Indeed, they’ve paid less than 14 bob. Smart guyz.
mwekez@ji
#184 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 8:42:31 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Incase of an undersubscription, applications from KLM and the GoK will be scaled back to result in them holding 26 per cent and 23 per cent of the enlarged share capital following the Rights Issue respectively. (from section 6.4 of IM). So if there is an undersubscription, KQ will be getting less than the anticipated KES10B from these 2 parties. Clearly, KQ has a tough time in raising the required money in this rights issue.
mwekez@ji
#185 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 8:44:27 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
kiongozi2012 wrote:
Now IFC has joined in KQ Rights Issue with a plan to take up rights worth $25 million (SH2 billion) that's ten per cent of the Rights. when people like IFC come in, you begin to realize that this KQ thing is serious. Plus news is that they are forking out $80million in debt to finance aircraft deposit payments. i am certainly taking up my rights.


I think IFC is just positioning themselves as lender of KQ by taking the 10% rights shares. Those shares will earn them a position in top 10 shareholders list. Not bad, IFC and KQ need each other in project mawingu.
Maumau
#186 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 11:57:46 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/11/2009
Posts: 22
@mwekez@ji, I agree with you. They have not even given projected figures for the year ended March 2012. I think the results will be really bad. About the future, they should have done some projections at least for the next two or three years. By then, they will have received all 20 Embraers ordered, three B777s and at least one Dreamliner. They also say they will be flying to all major African cities by 2013. Why couldn't they make projections of what these developments will mean in terms of revenues and profit?

A second concern of mine is that the CEO does not own a single share in the company. What does he know about the share that we dont?
murenj
#187 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 12:41:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/22/2008
Posts: 851
Location: nairobi
I have not seen the rights trading on the market. Or am i looking at the wrong place?
ProverB
#188 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 2:56:11 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
murenj wrote:
I have not seen the rights trading on the market. Or am i looking at the wrong place?


Considering its agreed that the share is worth less than the quoted Kshs14.. and rights can only trade at premium.. who'd want to buy?
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
QW25091985
#189 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 3:50:42 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/24/2012
Posts: 1,675
Location: In Da Hood
Woi . mimi nina nunua tu !
mlennyma
#190 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2012 4:02:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
You can be able to sell a monkey provided you dont show pple its face.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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