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directional forecast
obiero
#1881 Posted : Wednesday, November 22, 2017 8:42:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:

...Personally [color=brown] I only have one stock [/managementhich is currently on suspension, so I wait for Wednesday to join in the rally of a lifetime.. 😀

@obiero. why one stock? why not widen your fishing net.... This is a probability game my friend. no offence

Over time I have held 12 different stocks at the NSE, USE, RSE namely SCOM, KCB, HF, COOP, KNRE, KEGN, KENO, CENT, FIRE, SBU, BOK, BRLW.. For now, it's do or die with KQ

I get you now. "for now, it's do or die..." At your free time look for this pdf book- free download. " Trading in the zone by Mark douglas" It is only 143 pages. You will come across this and more;
"When I put on a trade, all I expect is that something will happen. Regardless of how good I think my edge is, I expect nothing more than for the market to move or to express itself in some way. However, there are some things that I do know for sure....."

Not doubting KQ might make us money. It has in the recent past made me smile but looking at the risk management and trading psychology ... A friend helping a friend. best wishes

Thanks for the heads up @karasinga

KQ ABP 4.26
obiero
#1882 Posted : Friday, December 01, 2017 12:58:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
@karasinga the KQ chart is required.. kindly spare time to avail it

KQ ABP 4.26
obiero
#1883 Posted : Thursday, December 07, 2017 9:42:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
@karasinga the KQ chart is required.. kindly spare time to avail it

Short term traders who came in post-consolidation, your KQ disembarking hour has arrived.. Please sell today as a correction will soon follow. Long termers, hold on..

KQ ABP 4.26
karasinga
#1884 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 12:06:15 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
Spikes
#1885 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 12:09:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.


Elaborate please. Is it below average or above as compared to other days trades volume same hour?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
karasinga
#1886 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 1:17:08 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.


Elaborate please. Is it below average or above as compared to other days trades volume same hour?

it is way above average. The last time >=10M shares were traded a move followed.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
hisah
#1887 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 4:53:20 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.


Elaborate please. Is it below average or above as compared to other days trades volume same hour?

it is way above average. The last time >=10M shares were traded a move followed.

If this vol spike breaks down 14 handle, target is 12.50 where the huge vol spike came in and produced the rally that topped out at 17 handle.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
obiero
#1888 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 4:57:03 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.


Elaborate please. Is it below average or above as compared to other days trades volume same hour?

it is way above average. The last time >=10M shares were traded a move followed.

If this vol spike breaks down 14 handle, target is 12.50 where the huge vol spike came in and produced the rally that topped out at 17 handle.

With what's happening in the crude pricing, a move down is imminent

KQ ABP 4.26
VituVingiSana
#1889 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 5:38:17 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.


Elaborate please. Is it below average or above as compared to other days trades volume same hour?

it is way above average. The last time >=10M shares were traded a move followed.

If this vol spike breaks down 14 handle, target is 12.50 where the huge vol spike came in and produced the rally that topped out at 17 handle.

With what's happening in the crude pricing, a move down is imminent

Ohana is very smart. He has reduced debt levels (as a percentage of sales and assets) to a manageable level. At the AGM, there was a discussion on stocking levels and how KK prudently manages stock levels. They don't enter hedges for forex or products.

If KK will be hurt with higher oil prices and it is a "trader" which has some price protection thanks to price controls, what will the fate of a firm that is a net consumer of fuel be?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#1890 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 11:29:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
obiero wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Karasinga your kenol kobil predictions is progressing well,what's your lowest price estimate?today I saw 14.75

best/worst case scenario(depending on how you look at it) 12.5 but first watch what happens <=14. best wishes and remember it is your money you will put at risk

thanx..the fear of losing is less in me than the excitement of winning

me like that attitude. They call it "calculated risk"... you are welcome.

We must pray for a brother.. I have not seen any time worse than now to take short positions at the NSE

something is cooking here...as at 1200hrs, 12,212,500 share have changed hands.


Elaborate please. Is it below average or above as compared to other days trades volume same hour?

it is way above average. The last time >=10M shares were traded a move followed.

If this vol spike breaks down 14 handle, target is 12.50 where the huge vol spike came in and produced the rally that topped out at 17 handle.

With what's happening in the crude pricing, a move down is imminent

Ohana is very smart. He has reduced debt levels (as a percentage of sales and assets) to a manageable level. At the AGM, there was a discussion on stocking levels and how KK prudently manages stock levels. They don't enter hedges for forex or products.

If KK will be hurt with higher oil prices and it is a "trader" which has some price protection thanks to price controls, what will the fate of a firm that is a net consumer of fuel be?


Higher cost of sales combined with fixed margins result in lower profitability.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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