Wazua
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Madness at the NSE
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,346 Location: Nairobi
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LevelUpLegal wrote:wukan wrote:Ericsson wrote:https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/markets/capital/Foreign-net-inflows-back-NSE/4259442-5008914-f3mi62/index.html
Mini bull run coming Reliable sources indicate CS Treasury is on the ropes, a few more blows he will on the floor. CBK gov will struggle for term 2. Get rid of those 2 and yeah a bull run will come Look at this genius, kazi kwetu mawakili. Wish I was defending the bunch. I would have given each one in this forum a million bob. hehehe @wukan was on the ball. When did he post it? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,804 Location: NAIROBI
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VituVingiSana wrote:LevelUpLegal wrote:wukan wrote:Ericsson wrote:https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/markets/capital/Foreign-net-inflows-back-NSE/4259442-5008914-f3mi62/index.html
Mini bull run coming Reliable sources indicate CS Treasury is on the ropes, a few more blows he will on the floor. CBK gov will struggle for term 2. Get rid of those 2 and yeah a bull run will come Look at this genius, kazi kwetu mawakili. Wish I was defending the bunch. I would have given each one in this forum a million bob. hehehe @wukan was on the ball. When did he post it? Cosmetic dressing.No corruption fighting here. Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/13/2015 Posts: 1,653
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Ericsson wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:LevelUpLegal wrote:wukan wrote:Ericsson wrote:https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/markets/capital/Foreign-net-inflows-back-NSE/4259442-5008914-f3mi62/index.html
Mini bull run coming Reliable sources indicate CS Treasury is on the ropes, a few more blows he will on the floor. CBK gov will struggle for term 2. Get rid of those 2 and yeah a bull run will come Look at this genius, kazi kwetu mawakili. Wish I was defending the bunch. I would have given each one in this forum a million bob. hehehe @wukan was on the ball. When did he post it? Cosmetic dressing.No corruption fighting here. Yup no corruption here but more like HR and KT were just shitty negotiators. They just couldn't walk away from a bad deal. It's like they were 'captured' by international banksters and junk bond traders. I can smell some US indictments. Next treasury CS should be a lawyer someone with a backbone to walk away from bad deals and who can renegotiate debt. I would go with Githae lawyer, good experience as finance minister, international exposure as diplomat
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/10/2014 Posts: 992 Location: Kenya
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Kenya shilling on a freefall. 107 at the counter
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Rank: Member Joined: 3/8/2018 Posts: 507 Location: Nairobi
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Man the market has been boring of late. Low trading volumes. Anyway...prices seemed to have plateaued and selling pressure nearing exhaustion. Will spend H2 averaging down on some counters where the bleeding has been extensive in readiness for the next dividend season. Current paper losses on entire portfolio stand at 40%. (Not accounting for dividends earned. Those ones were promptly spent on life's vanities  ) Tupatane FY 2019.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,804 Location: NAIROBI
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rwitre wrote:Man the market has been boring of late. Low trading volumes. Anyway...prices seemed to have plateaued and selling pressure nearing exhaustion. Will spend H2 averaging down on some counters where the bleeding has been extensive in readiness for the next dividend season. Current paper losses on entire portfolio stand at 40%. (Not accounting for dividends earned. Those ones were promptly spent on life's vanities  ) Tupatane FY 2019. Expect more bleeding Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Member Joined: 3/8/2018 Posts: 507 Location: Nairobi
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Emerging Markets to benefit from Fed cutting rates Some good news on the horizonQuote:
With the big Fed meeting this week, there continues to be some debate about whether they will cut by 25 basis points or 50.
But the direction matters more than the magnitude.
It signals the end of the Fed’s “policy damage” to emerging markets.
Higher U.S. rates have meant a stronger dollar. And with the economy moving north, the dollar moving north and rates moving north, global capital has moved toward the U.S. — and away from riskier emerging markets.
It's not that the U.S. economy can't handle a 2.5% Fed Funds rate, it's that the EM world can't handle it (in the current post-financial crisis economic environment).
As the Dallas Fed put it last year: “Emerging economies have suffered a general decline in forecast GDP growth … The tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies, both through rate hikes and other policy actions such as forward guidance, results in capital outflows from emerging economies with low reserves relative to their foreign debt.”
This official direction change from the Fed should weaken the dollar. Moreover, a key piece in the continuation of the global economic recovery will likely be a weaker dollar.
It will drive a more balanced U.S. and global economy, and it will reflect strength in emerging markets (i.e. capital flows to emerging markets).
Kenya is ranked third most attractive financial market in Africa after South Africa and Botswana, so stands to benefit from the capital flight. Stronger fiscal policy in Kenya with the changes at Treasury, on-going clamp down on the corrupt (its psychological impact on investors having more trust in the forward direction of the economy, not whether or not the cases will actually be successfully prosecuted), will be a boost for the NSE. Blue chips are heavily discounted. The tide will turn. Start taking up positions.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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rwitre wrote:Emerging Markets to benefit from Fed cutting rates Some good news on the horizonQuote:
With the big Fed meeting this week, there continues to be some debate about whether they will cut by 25 basis points or 50.
But the direction matters more than the magnitude.
It signals the end of the Fed’s “policy damage” to emerging markets.
Higher U.S. rates have meant a stronger dollar. And with the economy moving north, the dollar moving north and rates moving north, global capital has moved toward the U.S. — and away from riskier emerging markets.
It's not that the U.S. economy can't handle a 2.5% Fed Funds rate, it's that the EM world can't handle it (in the current post-financial crisis economic environment).
As the Dallas Fed put it last year: “Emerging economies have suffered a general decline in forecast GDP growth … The tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies, both through rate hikes and other policy actions such as forward guidance, results in capital outflows from emerging economies with low reserves relative to their foreign debt.”
This official direction change from the Fed should weaken the dollar. Moreover, a key piece in the continuation of the global economic recovery will likely be a weaker dollar.
It will drive a more balanced U.S. and global economy, and it will reflect strength in emerging markets (i.e. capital flows to emerging markets).
Kenya is ranked third most attractive financial market in Africa after South Africa and Botswana, so stands to benefit from the capital flight. Stronger fiscal policy in Kenya with the changes at Treasury, on-going clamp down on the corrupt (its psychological impact on investors having more trust in the forward direction of the economy, not whether or not the cases will actually be successfully prosecuted), will be a boost for the NSE. Blue chips are heavily discounted. The tide will turn. Start taking up positions. Powell crashed the USD. "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,804 Location: NAIROBI
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murchr wrote:rwitre wrote:Emerging Markets to benefit from Fed cutting rates Some good news on the horizonQuote:
With the big Fed meeting this week, there continues to be some debate about whether they will cut by 25 basis points or 50.
But the direction matters more than the magnitude.
It signals the end of the Fed’s “policy damage” to emerging markets.
Higher U.S. rates have meant a stronger dollar. And with the economy moving north, the dollar moving north and rates moving north, global capital has moved toward the U.S. — and away from riskier emerging markets.
It's not that the U.S. economy can't handle a 2.5% Fed Funds rate, it's that the EM world can't handle it (in the current post-financial crisis economic environment).
As the Dallas Fed put it last year: “Emerging economies have suffered a general decline in forecast GDP growth … The tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies, both through rate hikes and other policy actions such as forward guidance, results in capital outflows from emerging economies with low reserves relative to their foreign debt.”
This official direction change from the Fed should weaken the dollar. Moreover, a key piece in the continuation of the global economic recovery will likely be a weaker dollar.
It will drive a more balanced U.S. and global economy, and it will reflect strength in emerging markets (i.e. capital flows to emerging markets).
Kenya is ranked third most attractive financial market in Africa after South Africa and Botswana, so stands to benefit from the capital flight. Stronger fiscal policy in Kenya with the changes at Treasury, on-going clamp down on the corrupt (its psychological impact on investors having more trust in the forward direction of the economy, not whether or not the cases will actually be successfully prosecuted), will be a boost for the NSE. Blue chips are heavily discounted. The tide will turn. Start taking up positions. Powell crashed the USD. The USD is still strong.Pound and Euro are weakening Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/17/2009 Posts: 1,627
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Ericsson wrote:rwitre wrote:Man the market has been boring of late. Low trading volumes. Anyway...prices seemed to have plateaued and selling pressure nearing exhaustion. Will spend H2 averaging down on some counters where the bleeding has been extensive in readiness for the next dividend season. Current paper losses on entire portfolio stand at 40%. (Not accounting for dividends earned. Those ones were promptly spent on life's vanities  ) Tupatane FY 2019. Expect more bleeding NSE 20 down to 2587
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