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directional forecast
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obiero
#1731 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 12:33:09 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
KK Drool

Wachana nayo

KQ ABP 4.26
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Spikes
#1732 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 4:08:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
Tomorrow we tumble like a thief tripping along Moi Avenue or Uhuru Highway

discounts not yet looks like the journey will be very long


Hata mimi niko na perception kama yako...Withdrawal from presidential race is just a drop in the ocean for now! But if RAO demand for fresh election within 3months persists then his move elevates to a complex scenario.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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obiero
#1733 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 6:46:40 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
Spikes wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
Tomorrow we tumble like a thief tripping along Moi Avenue or Uhuru Highway

discounts not yet looks like the journey will be very long


Hata mimi niko na perception kama yako...Withdrawal from presidential race is just a drop in the ocean for now! But if RAO demand for fresh election within 3months persists then his move elevates to a complex scenario.

Wait for the market to open, utakula maneno yako bila kopo la maji. Free fall in red

KQ ABP 4.26
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Spikes
#1734 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 7:41:01 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
Tomorrow we tumble like a thief tripping along Moi Avenue or Uhuru Highway

discounts not yet looks like the journey will be very long


Hata mimi niko na perception kama yako...Withdrawal from presidential race is just a drop in the ocean for now! But if RAO demand for fresh election within 3months persists then his move elevates to a complex scenario.

Wait for the market to open, utakula maneno yako bila kopo la maji. Free fall in red


How deep will it be or how long will it persist or at what level will the market stabilize after the fall? Are we likely to see 1000points wiped out from nse20 in a couple of days to sub 3000?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Fyatu
#1735 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 10:50:05 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/20/2011
Posts: 1,820
Location: Nakuru
Another testament that some of the so called elders of wazua know nothing and should never be taken seriously(Elders bandia)...we were told that today there will be blood in the streets
Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Spikes
#1736 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 10:53:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Fyatu wrote:
Another testament that some of the so called elders of wazua know nothing and should never be taken seriously(Elders bandia)...we were told that today there will be blood in the streets


The elders lost credibility long time ago.

http://wazua.co.ke/forum...s&t=35813#post808966
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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obiero
#1737 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 11:48:40 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
Spikes wrote:
[quote=Fyatu]Another testament that some of the so called elders of wazua know nothing and should never be taken seriously(Elders bandia)...we were told that today there will be blood in the streets


The elders lost credibility long time ago.

http://wazua.co.ke/forum...&t=35813#post808966[/quote]

I agree. It's clear that majority of the stocks are rising today and that the neutral counters are few. The NSE is booming. Some of the so called Elders need to learn that the NSE is mature and separate from politics. The economy is immune to political risk.. Tano tena! https://www.nse.co.ke/market-statistics.html

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hisah
#1738 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 1:10:31 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
FTSE KE NSE15 index weekly chart hints a big move is coming. Calm before the storm. Downside favoured.

Bears with the upper-hand. Early year bulls might cancel out with late year bears to close 2017 with a flat. Chances are the bear will finish the rout in 2018 for the next cycle to kick in.

An unexpected but welcome consequence of the supreme court ruling is that it may not be possible for KE to raise another eurobond in this cycle...that window may slam shut at any point with the political scene still in a limbo. Possible fiscal crisis in 2018 just as it had promised from way back.


There is a small upside coming which is your get out of jail ticket if you are a trader. In cartoon language the move in the NSE 20 index from 2789-4118 is what we call the intervening wave (w-x). That intervening wave makes way for the second zigzag(x-y). The second zigzag will burn you to recognition if you don't know what you are doing.

A small upside is possible but I don't expect any meaningful bull charge for the near and medium term. From a fundies point of view, as long as the govt is busy cannibalizing the private sector from all probable angles (funding and regulatory/policy wise) there will be nothing to write home about. In addition, the govt will be fighting for its own survival in that time frame.

If as an investor you are easily frazzled, there is no harm in sitting this phase out. My rudimentary calculations suggest that a dip below 3450 level won't be kind to the bulls.

As expected FTSE KE NSE15 index slips below the election ruling panic selloff low. Yesterday the index closed with an upthrust bar, which now confirms that the weekly upthrust bar formed during the election ruling reaction was indeed a turning point. Bears are back!

FTSE KE NSE15 slips below 200 handle intraday. Sad
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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obiero
#1739 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 1:51:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
FTSE KE NSE15 index weekly chart hints a big move is coming. Calm before the storm. Downside favoured.

Bears with the upper-hand. Early year bulls might cancel out with late year bears to close 2017 with a flat. Chances are the bear will finish the rout in 2018 for the next cycle to kick in.

An unexpected but welcome consequence of the supreme court ruling is that it may not be possible for KE to raise another eurobond in this cycle...that window may slam shut at any point with the political scene still in a limbo. Possible fiscal crisis in 2018 just as it had promised from way back.


There is a small upside coming which is your get out of jail ticket if you are a trader. In cartoon language the move in the NSE 20 index from 2789-4118 is what we call the intervening wave (w-x). That intervening wave makes way for the second zigzag(x-y). The second zigzag will burn you to recognition if you don't know what you are doing.

A small upside is possible but I don't expect any meaningful bull charge for the near and medium term. From a fundies point of view, as long as the govt is busy cannibalizing the private sector from all probable angles (funding and regulatory/policy wise) there will be nothing to write home about. In addition, the govt will be fighting for its own survival in that time frame.

If as an investor you are easily frazzled, there is no harm in sitting this phase out. My rudimentary calculations suggest that a dip below 3450 level won't be kind to the bulls.

As expected FTSE KE NSE15 index slips below the election ruling panic selloff low. Yesterday the index closed with an upthrust bar, which now confirms that the weekly upthrust bar formed during the election ruling reaction was indeed a turning point. Bears are back!

FTSE KE NSE15 slips below 200 handle intraday. Sad

The worst is yet to come.. Please school @fyatu @spikes on the all share and the nse 20

KQ ABP 4.26
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the deal
#1740 Posted : Wednesday, October 11, 2017 6:38:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Double top reversal ....the bear is on a prowl... let it maul its victims for a nice entry once RAO makes up his mind Applause Applause Applause
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