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198 Pages«<168169170171172>»
Realities of Forex Investment
alutacontinua
#3381 Posted : Thursday, March 17, 2016 4:23:24 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Yet again rumors of BOJ intervention after 110.97 (Low of the year) gave way....quick 100 pip rally to prevent another huge sell off.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3382 Posted : Thursday, March 17, 2016 4:51:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
alutacontinua wrote:
Yet again rumors of BOJ intervention after 110.97 (Low of the year) gave way....quick 100 pip rally to prevent another huge sell off.

Thanks for tip. I hope this pair moves lower toward 104 - 105 zone for the next relaunch to the upside.

I can see the beast is offering nice opportunities at the moment.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3383 Posted : Thursday, March 17, 2016 6:00:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause
@SufficientlyP
lochaz-index
#3384 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 10:14:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause


These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here.

Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences?


Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term.

NIRP is beckoning.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3385 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 11:00:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
lochaz-index wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause


These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here.

Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences?


Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term.

NIRP is beckoning.

That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at
18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while.
@Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor KurodaSad
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3386 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 11:01:58 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 6.46 vs USDsmile
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#3387 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 12:22:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 1.46 vs USDsmile

Unsustainable. The Chings are better off letting CNY devalue to rescue their export trade balance. Besides their debt market (real estate and commodity finance) can't support a strong CNY. Very messy at the moment.

The race to the bottom is still on with the USD likely to finish last before lights out. The bulb will blow when euro$ and £/$ crash past the 1.00 handle! Only then will a new reserve currency coming into play to reset the expected extremely chaotic global debt market.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3388 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 12:49:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 6.46 vs USDsmile

Unsustainable. The Chings are better off letting CNY devalue to rescue their export trade balance. Besides their debt market (real estate and commodity finance) can't support a strong CNY. Very messy at the moment.

The race to the bottom is still on with the USD likely to finish last before lights out. The bulb will blow when euro$ and £/$ crash past the 1.00 handle! Only then will a new reserve currency coming into play to reset the expected extremely chaotic global debt market.


They are now looking to cut their reliance on exports and focus on their 1billion plus population hence the clamour for a strong CNY. They will also gain on their USD denominated loans.
Kuroda is still looking to devalue the Yen further, just like Draghi, to little success, so as to lift his export figure. Lets see how this plays out.
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3389 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 7:53:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
USDJPY back up to 112Applause Applause Applause Thank you Kuroda.
Waiting for it down there again at the 111.30 levels where there seems to be some support.
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3390 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 8:04:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3391 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 8:06:45 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Chings are a happy lot with CNH at 6.49.
Wait until the Fed strikes!
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3392 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 8:21:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns

Waiting for campaign proper between Yes and No camps. Reminds me of the Scotland's referendum back in 2013!!
@SufficientlyP
lochaz-index
#3393 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 9:25:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns

Waiting for campaign proper between Yes and No camps. Reminds me of the Scotland's referendum back in 2013!!

June-July period looks like a horror show from afar.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
lochaz-index
#3394 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 9:49:19 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause


These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here.

Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences?


Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term.

NIRP is beckoning.

That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at
18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while.
@Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor KurodaSad

To rephrase the highlighted words in the caption above, I meant that the market is soon going to start calling the Fed's bluff or better yet, start shorting the Fed's decisions aka act in reverse. This should not take long given the current state of affairs.

Dow @18,000 by November...that will be quite the feat if they manage it. They can manipulate the short-term gyrations all they want but once the bear comes to play they will be helpless just like the rest of us.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3395 Posted : Wednesday, March 23, 2016 9:19:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
lochaz-index wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause


These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here.

Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences?


Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term.

NIRP is beckoning.

That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at
18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while.
@Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor KurodaSad

To rephrase the highlighted words in the caption above, I meant that the market is soon going to start calling the Fed's bluff or better yet, start shorting the Fed's decisions aka act in reverse. This should not take long given the current state of affairs.

Dow @18,000 by November...that will be quite the feat if they manage it. They can manipulate the short-term gyrations all they want but once the bear comes to play they will be helpless just like the rest of us.


I get you @Lochaz, they will have it rough as the market is still bullish USD vs a FED that wants a weak dollar. Lets see how this plays out!
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3396 Posted : Thursday, March 31, 2016 4:58:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
EUR$ rises above 1.14 just after sweet Chicago PMI of 53.6 vs expected 50.7.
Very well calculated move by the big hands.
Draghi must wonder whats not happeningsmile
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3397 Posted : Thursday, March 31, 2016 5:02:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Waiting for the NFP print tomorrow to see the big hands suck in mainstreet.
@SufficientlyP
alutacontinua
#3398 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2016 7:15:17 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
USDJPY approaching the 11.03.2016 & 17.03.2016 lows which is where BOJ supposedly intervened.....it will def be interesting to see if they will unleash another round of sell orders to weaken the Yen. Might just be safe to watch from the sidelines......
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3399 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2016 9:43:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
alutacontinua wrote:
USDJPY approaching the 11.03.2016 & 17.03.2016 lows which is where BOJ supposedly intervened.....it will def be interesting to see if they will unleash another round of sell orders to weaken the Yen. Might just be safe to watch from the sidelines......

Loses the 110.5 handle
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3400 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2016 9:48:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
USDJPY approaching the 11.03.2016 & 17.03.2016 lows which is where BOJ supposedly intervened.....it will def be interesting to see if they will unleash another round of sell orders to weaken the Yen. Might just be safe to watch from the sidelines......

Loses the 110.5 handle

Queuing at 109.510 as i believe Kuroda will definitely come in at these levels to push the Yen lower to 110.
@SufficientlyP
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