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Rank: Member Joined: 3/23/2011 Posts: 304
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Yet again rumors of BOJ intervention after 110.97 (Low of the year) gave way....quick 100 pip rally to prevent another huge sell off. You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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alutacontinua wrote:Yet again rumors of BOJ intervention after 110.97 (Low of the year) gave way....quick 100 pip rally to prevent another huge sell off. Thanks for tip. I hope this pair moves lower toward 104 - 105 zone for the next relaunch to the upside.
I can see the beast is offering nice opportunities at the moment. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statements @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote: These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here. Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences? Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term. NIRP is beckoning. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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lochaz-index wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote: These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here. Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences? Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term. NIRP is beckoning. That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at 18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while. @Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor Kuroda @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 6.46 vs USD @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 1.46 vs USD Unsustainable. The Chings are better off letting CNY devalue to rescue their export trade balance. Besides their debt market (real estate and commodity finance) can't support a strong CNY. Very messy at the moment.
The race to the bottom is still on with the USD likely to finish last before lights out. The bulb will blow when euro$ and £/$ crash past the 1.00 handle! Only then will a new reserve currency coming into play to reset the expected extremely chaotic global debt market.$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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hisah wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 6.46 vs USD Unsustainable. The Chings are better off letting CNY devalue to rescue their export trade balance. Besides their debt market (real estate and commodity finance) can't support a strong CNY. Very messy at the moment.
The race to the bottom is still on with the USD likely to finish last before lights out. The bulb will blow when euro$ and £/$ crash past the 1.00 handle! Only then will a new reserve currency coming into play to reset the expected extremely chaotic global debt market. They are now looking to cut their reliance on exports and focus on their 1billion plus population hence the clamour for a strong CNY. They will also gain on their USD denominated loans. Kuroda is still looking to devalue the Yen further, just like Draghi, to little success, so as to lift his export figure. Lets see how this plays out. @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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USDJPY back up to 112 Thank you Kuroda. Waiting for it down there again at the 111.30 levels where there seems to be some support. @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Chings are a happy lot with CNH at 6.49. Wait until the Fed strikes! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns Waiting for campaign proper between Yes and No camps. Reminds me of the Scotland's referendum back in 2013!! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns Waiting for campaign proper between Yes and No camps. Reminds me of the Scotland's referendum back in 2013!! June-July period looks like a horror show from afar. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:lochaz-index wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote: These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here. Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences? Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term. NIRP is beckoning. That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at 18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while. @Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor Kuroda To rephrase the highlighted words in the caption above, I meant that the market is soon going to start calling the Fed's bluff or better yet, start shorting the Fed's decisions aka act in reverse. This should not take long given the current state of affairs. Dow @18,000 by November...that will be quite the feat if they manage it. They can manipulate the short-term gyrations all they want but once the bear comes to play they will be helpless just like the rest of us. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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lochaz-index wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:lochaz-index wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote: These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here. Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences? Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term. NIRP is beckoning. That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at 18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while. @Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor Kuroda To rephrase the highlighted words in the caption above, I meant that the market is soon going to start calling the Fed's bluff or better yet, start shorting the Fed's decisions aka act in reverse. This should not take long given the current state of affairs. Dow @18,000 by November...that will be quite the feat if they manage it. They can manipulate the short-term gyrations all they want but once the bear comes to play they will be helpless just like the rest of us. I get you @Lochaz, they will have it rough as the market is still bullish USD vs a FED that wants a weak dollar. Lets see how this plays out! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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EUR$ rises above 1.14 just after sweet Chicago PMI of 53.6 vs expected 50.7. Very well calculated move by the big hands. Draghi must wonder whats not happening @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Waiting for the NFP print tomorrow to see the big hands suck in mainstreet. @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Member Joined: 3/23/2011 Posts: 304
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USDJPY approaching the 11.03.2016 & 17.03.2016 lows which is where BOJ supposedly intervened.....it will def be interesting to see if they will unleash another round of sell orders to weaken the Yen. Might just be safe to watch from the sidelines...... You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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alutacontinua wrote:USDJPY approaching the 11.03.2016 & 17.03.2016 lows which is where BOJ supposedly intervened.....it will def be interesting to see if they will unleash another round of sell orders to weaken the Yen. Might just be safe to watch from the sidelines...... Loses the 110.5 handle @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:alutacontinua wrote:USDJPY approaching the 11.03.2016 & 17.03.2016 lows which is where BOJ supposedly intervened.....it will def be interesting to see if they will unleash another round of sell orders to weaken the Yen. Might just be safe to watch from the sidelines...... Loses the 110.5 handle Queuing at 109.510 as i believe Kuroda will definitely come in at these levels to push the Yen lower to 110. @SufficientlyP
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