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Safaricom HY2013 Profit before tax up 113%
Mukiri
#161 Posted : Monday, November 26, 2012 11:56:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
This counter has too many hatersSad People down on their knees day and night!

The next 2 to 3 days will be crucial. Thing is, somebody somewhere knows something. I wouldn't be surprised if there is a fall in price but an increase in purchases.

Proverbs 19:21
mwekez@ji
#162 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 5:25:05 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
FACT: Safaricom biggest loser as CCK cuts termination rate Thats the reason they were opposing it!
hisah
#163 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 7:14:19 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Facts
- MTR slashed by 34% - no more price wars to come as confirmed by the rest. Yu mobile considering call rates hike.
- Mpesa tariffs hiked.
- Roaming tariffs to be hiked soon.
- Safaricom to fully control mpesa in 18 - 24 months time.
- Special trade agreement between KE & Ethiopia signed last week - banks not part of the deal. EABL & Safcom immediately see shares demand.
- Mpesa to offer microfinance lending finally - mpesa bank - a candy stick this, one year later it will be clear.
- Treasury thinking of introducing mobile money excise duty.
- The share price has plunged hard on two occassions - Sept 2008 & Aug 2010 - both were announcements of shocking call rate cuts by the competition - price wars.

After checking all the facts my biggest concern is mobile money duty. That will negatively impact mpesa momentum as well as the other telcos mobile money i.e. the entire mobile money field, which the banks are now part of...

My price range still remains 4.50 - 5.20 till March 2013 unless that duty is effected.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mlennyma
#164 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 8:10:36 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Can safcom start writing refund cheques to other operators from its 1H Profit,then come next financial year announce profit dip.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
obiero
#165 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 8:20:24 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,239
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Can safcom start writing refund cheques to other operators from its 1H Profit,then come next financial year announce profit dip.

haha. that is a possibility. i find it strange that people are salivating over Ethiopia while Safaricom has to incur massive greenfield operational costs were it to consider entering that market

Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#166 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 9:58:02 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Can safcom start writing refund cheques to other operators from its 1H Profit,then come next financial year announce profit dip.

haha. that is a possibility. i find it strange that people are salivating over Ethiopia while Safaricom has to incur massive greenfield operational costs were it to consider entering that market

In the meantime, I have my bids sub 5!
Thanks to the MTR,i have an opportunity to make my 3rd buy sell trade in "Thanksgiving November" Applause Laughing out loudly
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#167 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 10:14:05 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Panic button has gone off!
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#168 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 10:20:13 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Panic button has gone off!

Day low of 4.90. No panic yet. If it closes @4 for the week, then panic central it is.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
dunkang
#169 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 10:34:45 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
Mukiri wrote:
This counter has too many hatersSad People down on their knees day and night!

The next 2 to 3 days will be crucial. Thing is, somebody somewhere knows something. I wouldn't be surprised if there is a fall in price but an increase in purchases.


u were right. Very very right. This happens every monday morning, guys looking for entry point
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

Bettertry
#170 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 11:26:30 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/19/2010
Posts: 237
Location: Republic of Graham & Doddsville
I won't try to spent time predicting Mr Market's mood swings on this counter. But the MTR cut was bound to happen... only qns was WHEN will it happen??? But for the green elephant shareholder I guess 2 qns should b straining for an answer as a result of this action:-

1. Did the firm solely, or at least to a large extent, heavily rely on revenues from MTR and how much of it formed part of its revenues???

2. Has the firm also lost its shine of being innovative & creative???
We Will Either Find a Way or Create One - HANNIBAL
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