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198 Pages«<167168169170171>»
Realities of Forex Investment
hisah
#3361 Posted : Sunday, February 14, 2016 4:19:26 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Caution, the more the euro and yen rally the crazier their CBs will get. In order to survive the huge deflation storm they'll have to devalue vs USD. Dodge that storm and let US take the hit. A number of EU members are having elections with anti-EU opponents likely to take charge. The trouble with the euro 2.0 will be really ugly next year. In Japan the 10 year govt bond is now on negative interest rates! Soon the market will boycott this situation and refuse to buy (no bid). What do you think will happen to the stock markets, which are now selling off? They will catch a strong bid! You don't want to miss that event... New all time highs will be registered across equity markets as capital ejects from the deadly govt debt tailspin.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3362 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2016 1:45:37 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
alutacontinua
#3363 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2016 8:14:07 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
hisah wrote:
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.


Have to hand it to you Hisah....great call on this. Sentiment has def shifted to the downside. We def could see stops under 1.11 and 1.1068 taken out tomorrow which could open up the floor for a move further down. Been a really sluggish week within that nasty range.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#3364 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2016 2:56:58 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.


Have to hand it to you Hisah....great call on this. Sentiment has def shifted to the downside. We def could see stops under 1.11 and 1.1068 taken out tomorrow which could open up the floor for a move further down. Been a really sluggish week within that nasty range.



As mentioned stops under 1.1068 have been cleared which should see the euro begin its slide.....

ION anyone affected by the technical issues on EUREX T7 system today???? Price feed on DAX stalled for about an hour during the morning bullish run....Anyone trading it should have had a series of mini heart attacks Laughing out loudly
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3365 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2016 6:08:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.


Have to hand it to you Hisah....great call on this. Sentiment has def shifted to the downside. We def could see stops under 1.11 and 1.1068 taken out tomorrow which could open up the floor for a move further down. Been a really sluggish week within that nasty range.



As mentioned stops under 1.1068 have been cleared which should see the euro begin its slide.....

ION anyone affected by the technical issues on EUREX T7 system today???? Price feed on DAX stalled for about an hour during the morning bullish run....Anyone trading it should have had a series of mini heart attacks Laughing out loudly

No issues noted. Yes the EUR$ was going to run stops below .1100 since it showed weakness last week.

Meanwhile GBP$ is attempting to form a 4hr hammer candle after getting support at 1.4050. Caution on shorting cable.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3366 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2016 5:57:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Jap bonds

2,5,10yr bond yields all negative!!? 30yr also sub 1% and also poised to break below 0%. This is beyond the definition of madness! They're wiping out pension funds and savers while it has a huge aging population burden. This is political kamikaze!

This is simple, the govt bonds will collapse! Capital in jap will run riot very soon by dumping any govt holdings (public) and flood in private holdings.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3367 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2016 5:45:10 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
GBP$ failed to close the hammer candle on the 4hr on Monday thus opening up the possibility testing the temp support at 1.4050. Today in Asia session it has broken below 1.40 handle. GFC low lies at 1.35. That's the last line of defence. Break below will unleash a crazy slide!

Crazy that GBP has been on a selling turbo since June 2014 when I spotted it in the futures!

1.35 handle had better hold! Soros GBP flashback Sept 16 1992??!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3368 Posted : Tuesday, March 08, 2016 9:01:36 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3369 Posted : Wednesday, March 09, 2016 11:38:31 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

Memories!!!That was a Great call!
The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.


Sitting on my hands till i see the sub GFCs 1.35 printsmile
@SufficientlyP
Aguytrying
#3370 Posted : Wednesday, March 09, 2016 9:04:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

Memories!!!That was a Great call!
The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.


Sitting on my hands till i see the sub GFCs 1.35 printsmile


I'm floating seriously. What is cable?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#3371 Posted : Wednesday, March 09, 2016 9:27:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

Memories!!!That was a Great call!
The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.


Sitting on my hands till i see the sub GFCs 1.35 printsmile


I'm floating seriously. What is cable?

This symbol £.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#3372 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 9:24:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

Memories!!!That was a Great call!
The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.


Sitting on my hands till i see the sub GFCs 1.35 printsmile


I'm floating seriously. What is cable?

This symbol £.


Thanks chief
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#3373 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 3:48:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
ECB cuts rate to 0.00% while Deposit rate cut to -0.40%. Negative interest rate (NIR) madness continues Sick

Euro sold. Cable sold.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
alutacontinua
#3374 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 4:21:09 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
hisah wrote:
ECB cuts rate to 0.00% while Deposit rate cut to -0.40%. Negative interest rate (NIR) madness continues Sick

Euro sold. Cable sold.


QE expanded to 80B and 4 new LTROs....Draghi is not playing around. Equities really loving the news green across the board. Press Conference up next.....
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3375 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 5:19:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Perfect u-turn from the news selloff.

Short taken on EUR$ @1.1065, lot size 0.5, SL @.1103, TP @1.0895. High risk, but can't ignore the stop run on both sides (longs and shorts) that have been clean out in this round trip pre US open. I expect NY to sell the euro.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3376 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 6:00:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Draghi and Kuroda must be wondering how comes this NIR stuff doesnt have the intended effect on their currenciesd'oh!
For the E$, the unbelievable comeback just reminded me of the amzing comeback it made just last Friday after the 242K NFP print. Many stops were swept awaySad
I'm on the short side at current 1030levels. Will bail out after European close as thats when i expect some USD bounce.
@SufficientlyP
alutacontinua
#3377 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 6:09:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Banksters must be having a field day.....borrowing at 0% and all that liquidity they now have at their disposal smdh the fact that they can pay it back at the deposit rate which is negative is just unreal.

You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3378 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2016 7:02:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Draghi and Kuroda must be wondering how comes this NIR stuff doesnt have the intended effect on their currenciesd'oh!
For the E$, the unbelievable comeback just reminded me of the amzing comeback it made just last Friday after the 242K NFP print. Many stops were swept awaySad
I'm on the short side at current 1030levels. Will bail out after European close as thats when i expect some USD bounce.

XAU surges as i'm stopped out on the E$ trade.
I expect the gold surge to continue for as long as the Euro continues to confound everyone.
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#3379 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2016 7:28:58 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Berserk markets. Stopped on the €$ short as the euro rallied in NY session and stretched above 1.12 handle!? ECB's bazooka experiencing unexpected reaction. What next, they buy stocks like BoJ? CBs are fast running out of their demigod powers!

I still expect the € to fall badly over time. FOMC will knock some sense back in the market next week.

If this NIR nonsense doesn't stop, gold is bound to stage a maniac parabolic vs all fiat paper as confidence evaporates from the monetary system.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#3380 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2016 7:45:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
hisah wrote:
Berserk markets. Stopped on the €$ short as the euro rallied in NY session and stretched above 1.12 handle!? ECB's bazooka experiencing unexpected reaction. What next, they buy stocks like BoJ? CBs are fast running out of their demigod powers!

I still expect the € to fall badly over time. FOMC will knock some sense back in the market next week.

If this NIR nonsense doesn't stop, gold is bound to stage a maniac parabolic vs all fiat paper as confidence evaporates from the monetary system.


What more is the Fed to do when 2 CBs have done 1/2 the work? (less BoE). ECB & BoJ playing whose low is higher than the other. Interesting.
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