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Investors Lounge
hisah
#3361 Posted : Thursday, March 21, 2013 5:38:05 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
As usual Nigel Farage takes jabs at the EU. He says one must be mad to invest in the eurozone - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JMf_KwQ2Xlk

The ATM queues - http://www.businessinsid...cyprus-atm-panic-2013-3

The protest - http://www.businessinsid...t-protest-photos-2013-3

That gut feeling I have, that one that makes me walk away from the trading desk, that one I dread the most...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3362 Posted : Thursday, March 21, 2013 5:43:43 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@KK - Have a look at this... Capital flight into bitcoin... Gold is has also rebounded after the hard selloff last month fuelled by Cyprus spanner in the works.

http://www.bloomberg.com...euro-for-bitcoins-.html

Quote:
Worried your government is going to take your savings? There's an app for that.

Actually, there's an entire currency: Bitcoin, an online-only currency based on a decentralized network. It's unregulated, hard to track and increasingly common. Since Sunday, downloads of three Bitcoin-related apps have surged on Spanish charts, Bloomberg Businessweek reports.

The interest in Bitcoin coincided with news that the Cyprus government planned to tax savings accounts as part of the country's bailout program. The value of the online currency increased more than 20 percent in the past two days to $64, according to the latest price information.

The downside is it's a currency that has experienced price fluctuations, occasional hacking and account thefts, and is a favorite for black-market transactions, including almost 2 million a month in illegal online drug purchases at the Silk Road marketplace. That some Europeans are investing savings in Bitcoin isn't exactly a sign of confidence in European banking.

According to a European Central Bank report published in October, increased demand for Bitcoin "could have a negative impact on the reputation of central banks," especially if the public perceives Bitcoin's rise is due to "a central bank not doing its job properly."
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3363 Posted : Thursday, March 21, 2013 8:40:58 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
EU loses cash control over Cyprus if Russia gives money - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_36aJkQJat8

I'm waiting for the default fallout.Cyprus bondholders will get sizable hair cuts... Then we move to contagion - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uj4QrAcwVi0
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3364 Posted : Thursday, March 21, 2013 9:43:22 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Market talk - Laiki bank likely to be wound up by next week if by next tuesday no deal is passed.

For those interested in watching live the discussions - http://www.cybc.com.cy/en/index.php/tv?id=91

Tough horse trading...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
jonna
#3365 Posted : Friday, March 22, 2013 7:14:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
Money, money, money, money.

For those who are witty, do some due dilligence quickly.

GEVO.
Energy.
hisah
#3366 Posted : Friday, March 22, 2013 7:59:02 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
jonna wrote:
Money, money, money, money.

For those who are witty, do some due dilligence quickly.

GEVO.

Indeed - http://www.theflyonthewa...-suit-in-Delaware-Court

The excess selling since Sept 2012 presents a good short squeeze ground. So far its up 50% YTD, but still far from it's true value. Yep, I like this one. Thanks.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3367 Posted : Friday, March 22, 2013 8:22:12 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Btw goldman & MS stocks have been sold this week. The cyprus connection...

@cde - can you see the arabs? SWF funds are coming. Cyprus will accelerate the process... \o/

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
symbols
#3368 Posted : Friday, March 22, 2013 8:49:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
hisah
#3369 Posted : Friday, March 22, 2013 8:55:07 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Back in Jan 2013 the eurocrat Barroso said - The euro crisis is over - http://www.guardian.co.u...ver-jose-manuel-barroso

Quote:
The euro has been saved and the euro crisis is a
thing of the past, European commission
president José Manuel Barroso has declared. But his optimistic comments and the prospect of
looser rules for banks failed to lift markets,
which ended a strong run of recent gains. "I think we can say that the existential threat
against the euro has essentially been overcome,"
Barroso said in Lisbon. "In 2013 the question
won't be if the euro will, or will not, implode," he
said. Barroso has maintained an optimistic stance
throughout the crisis, but his comments were in
sharp contrast to the new year's message from
German chancellor Angela Merkel, who told TV
viewers last week that the currency zone faced
another rocky 12 months. City analysts are also deeply concerned that
austerity measures demanded by Brussels as the
price of bailout funds would lead to prolonged
recessions in periphery countries and the need
for steeper spending cuts. Cuts to essential public services in Spain, Italy,
Greece and Portugal are expected to increase
unemployment and lead to further social unrest. Protests on the streets of Madrid on Monday
highlighted the tensions inside the euro area
after banner-waving protesters blamed Brussels,
Berlin and the right of centre PP government of
Mariano Rajoy for privatisations and cuts in
healthcare spending. Elga Bartsch, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, said
she was anxious that Barroso and his colleagues
in Brussels would fail to resolve long-running
disputes over the EU's new institutions. "The euro crisis seems contained for now. But
we think it is not resolved for good. In
addressing the fundamental flaws in the euro's
institutional set-up, progress on banking union
will be key. Assuming no crisis escalation, the
euro area should re-emerge from recession and return to sub-par growth. Politics is the main
risk," she said.


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#3370 Posted : Saturday, March 23, 2013 1:19:05 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
A rightwing group has
submitted more than
106,000 signatures to the
federal authorities, seeking a vote on stopping the sale of gold
reserves held by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). It also wants gold bars stored in the US to be returned.
http://www.swissinfo.ch/...rves_.html?cid=35278920
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
hisah
#3371 Posted : Sunday, March 24, 2013 7:37:53 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
http://dealbook.nytimes....trade-halts-operations/

Somehow Intrade.com went off just a few days before the Cyprus 'surprise'. But everyone says Cyprus is just a small piece of the euro pie. If so, why does EU hang on instead of letting it default and kick it out of the euro? Is Cyprus that small? Contagion won't happen. Really?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#3372 Posted : Sunday, March 24, 2013 10:13:28 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
"When more of the people's sustenance is exacted through the form of taxation than is necessary to meet the just obligations of government and expenses of its economical administration, such exaction becomes ruthless extortion and a violation of the fundamental principles of a free government." - Grover Cleveland, December 1886

"France’s top private sector bosses could see their salaries capped under a bill being tabled by the Socialist government, in the latest high-profile move aimed at punishing the rich.

The measure came as President Francois Hollande seeks to woo back left-wing supporters who are angry at his focus on the deficit and debt reduction and failure to stem rising unemployment. Their disapproval has helped turn him into the most unpopular French president ever after 10 months in office..."

Read more:

http://business.financia...nce-private-sector-pay/

karanjakinuthia
#3373 Posted : Sunday, March 24, 2013 10:41:24 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@Hisah. Indeed, gold has rebounded off the lows around $1560 and the U.S. Dollar continues to defy the doomsday scenario by acting as a safe haven as it did in the 1930s.

Bitcoin is acting as a scrip or substitute paper money the same way the U.S. had Depression Scrips due to a shortage of paper currency in the 1930s. This was a direct result of the thousands of bank failures and hoarding of money.










Even the American Civil War of 1861 to 1865 caused a drastic shortage of coinage resulting in scrip issuance.



hisah wrote:
@KK - Have a look at this... Capital flight into bitcoin... Gold is has also rebounded after the hard selloff last month fuelled by Cyprus spanner in the works.

http://www.bloomberg.com...euro-for-bitcoins-.html


Quote:
Worried your government is going to take your savings? There's an app for that.

Actually, there's an entire currency: Bitcoin, an online-only currency based on a decentralized network. It's unregulated, hard to track and increasingly common. Since Sunday, downloads of three Bitcoin-related apps have surged on Spanish charts, Bloomberg Businessweek reports.

The interest in Bitcoin coincided with news that the Cyprus government planned to tax savings accounts as part of the country's bailout program. The value of the online currency increased more than 20 percent in the past two days to $64, according to the latest price information.

The downside is it's a currency that has experienced price fluctuations, occasional hacking and account thefts, and is a favorite for black-market transactions, including almost 2 million a month in illegal online drug purchases at the Silk Road marketplace. That some Europeans are investing savings in Bitcoin isn't exactly a sign of confidence in European banking.

According to a European Central Bank report published in October, increased demand for Bitcoin "could have a negative impact on the reputation of central banks," especially if the public perceives Bitcoin's rise is due to "a central bank not doing its job properly."

Cde Monomotapa
#3374 Posted : Sunday, March 24, 2013 11:14:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
That hurried move by the Brit Government to stuff a plane full of Euros destined to appease its troops based in Cyprus, helped recall how at the height of #Casinonomics GoZ was moved to do the following -> Zimbabwe troops 'eat elephants' http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7820885.stm
hisah
#3375 Posted : Sunday, March 24, 2013 10:06:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
BRICs summit - http://www.brics5.co.za/
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3376 Posted : Monday, March 25, 2013 5:33:21 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The dutch subprime deleveraging/unwinding continues - http://www.macrobusiness...ches-economy-for-monday/
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3377 Posted : Monday, March 25, 2013 6:22:22 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
http://www.marketwatch.c...-23?mod=wsj_share_tweet

This week the Cyprus drama will be determined - bailout or default.

My trading the news strategy
- Bailout failure will see global stocks selloff then recover in a month's time for the next rally cycle. Think Greece crisis and US downgrade past events.
- Successful bailout will see global stocks rally only to selloff hard in a few weeks time.

From the look of things a successful bailout is the likely setup. Stocks are quite high and a catalyst is needed to present a discount window.

Btw April will likely be a sellside in both cases! Market discounts must come...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3378 Posted : Monday, March 25, 2013 6:54:24 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Bullion as collateral permitted by Bank of Russia - http://www.4-traders.com...red-with-gold-16558214/

Hmmm... The Banker takes bullion in Russia... Something changing here...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3379 Posted : Monday, March 25, 2013 7:29:28 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cyprus bailout + positive headlines = Perfect trade setup for the trap - http://www.cnbc.com/id/100574390

When GS puts an overweight rating on something, shitty deals abound...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#3380 Posted : Monday, March 25, 2013 9:30:35 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Visiting, Tanzania, South
Africa and Republic of
Congo on his first trip
abroad as president
following a visit to Russia, Xi is expected to build on
expanding economic
relations that many Africans see as a healthy
counterbalance to the
influence of the West.
The agreements with
Tanzania included plans to co-develop a new port and industrial zone complex, a concessional loan for communications
infrastructure and an
interest free loan to the
Tanzanian government.
http://www.reuters.com/a...0CG0KV20130324?irpc=932
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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