As we head into 2Q 2019, what next?
I am out of KK. Cash ni ndani but it needs to be deployed starting Monday.
I am willing to hold/wait for 5 years for a pay-off.
Banks look good. Should I add more to what I have?
Equity
I&M [Core]
NIC
Stanbic
Manufacturing is suffering but is it a chance to get in?
BOC? [I don't have any]
FTG [small holding]
ARM [dead and suspended]
Unga [Core. Will Seaboard be back? When? Higher price?]
Cables? [Zero]
Insurance?
Britam [none]
KenRe [Core. Politics?]
Services/Commerce
TPS? [I have some. Nairobi Serena will look and feel very different once it is complete]
C&G [I have some]
Longhorn [Taken off lately. Education is huge business]
Centum
Safaricom? [Expensive but what a performer]
Agrics
Williamson/Kapchorua [Some but the land issue is worrying]
Kakuzi [None but the land issue is worrying]
What I have no interest in owning given the drama, politics, prospects or lack of faith in their financials:
KQ [Negative NAV? Little prospect for a profit for 5 years without JKIA]
NBV
Kurwitu [No idea what it does]
Orchards
Sameer
Eveready
HAFR [Real estate is hurting]
Eagaads [Politics + Drama]
Mumias [Run into the ground]
Olympia [Run by a thief]
Uchumi [Dying]
Transcentury [Dying?]
*There are other firms that might be interesting but given the politics and Kenya's debt situation, I want to be cautious.
Firms need to handle their debt carefully. Don't expand too fast using debt.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett