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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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mlennyma wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
That kq and Hf holding in your signature bwana, is it for you or your grand children? I'm 52% up YTD on HF. Hopefully you have been able to get similar returns. To answer the question, it's a mixture of both current and generational. My stock holdings are always loose change to me, money I don't want to lose but can afford to, if shit hits the fan
KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,804 Location: NAIROBI
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obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast
KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,342 Location: Nairobi
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obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast I have to side with @Obiero on this. His estimates, at times, have been accurate!  @Obiero, keep posting them. @Ericsson, we can post ours too. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,804 Location: NAIROBI
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VituVingiSana wrote:obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast I have to side with @Obiero on this. His estimates, at times, have been accurate! @Obiero, keep posting them. @Ericsson, we can post ours too. Sawa @vvs. Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/2/2010 Posts: 1,089
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obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast Stanbic is in today. Please update.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/2/2010 Posts: 1,089
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My 2 cents wrote:obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast Stanbic is in today. Please update. Stanbic HY PAT 6.7B
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/28/2015 Posts: 1,247
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My 2 cents wrote:My 2 cents wrote:obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake. Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6 Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc. Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here. Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast Stanbic is in today. Please update. Stanbic HY PAT 6.7B month Pbt ,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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H1 2023 PBT projected - actual EQTY 34.1 KCB 32.2 COOP 18 ABSA 9.6 SCBK 9.3 NCBA 8.8 I&M 7.1 STBC 6.6 - 9.7 DTB 5.2 HF 0.19
KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,342 Location: Nairobi
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obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
@obiero - Stanbic was a rare miss for you. 50%! Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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VituVingiSana wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
@obiero - Stanbic was a rare miss for you. 50%! The new sheriff is doing good things there
KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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H1 2023 PBT projected - actual EQTY 34.1 - 35.2 KCB 32.2 COOP 18 ABSA 9.6 SCBK 9.3 NCBA 8.8 I&M 7.1 STBC 6.6 - 9.7 DTB 5.2 HF 0.19
KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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H1 2023 PBT projected - actual EQTY 34.1 - 35.2 KCB 32.2 COOP 18 - 16.4 ABSA 9.6 SCBK 9.3 NCBA 8.8 I&M 7.1 STBC 6.6 - 9.7 DTB 5.2 HF 0.19
KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,194 Location: nairobi
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obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
So equity might dethrone Safaricom "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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mlennyma wrote:obiero wrote:H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
So equity might dethrone Safaricom 88.3B FY 2023 for SCOM is a sizable way off assuming a doubling run rate the best EQBL may get will be circa 70B, but by next year it's not impossible
KQ ABP 4.26
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