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directional forecast
obiero
#1641 Posted : Tuesday, August 15, 2017 9:17:28 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,220
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
NSE20 has flown past 3850 and smashed past 4000 handle to close at 4076. That's a 46.14% bounce from 2789 low! Are bulls getting ahead of themselves before year end Think

Testing 4000 handle is encouraging as it means the bears are heading out of town, but the current rush in prices doesn't offer a nice hunting ground for now. Sidelined. A reload window will present itself later.

The market should open already

KQ ABP 4.26
Mukiri
#1642 Posted : Wednesday, August 16, 2017 6:39:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
NSE20 has flown past 3850 and smashed past 4000 handle to close at 4076. That's a 46.14% bounce from 2789 low! Are bulls getting ahead of themselves before year end Think

Testing 4000 handle is encouraging as it means the bears are heading out of town, but the current rush in prices doesn't offer a nice hunting ground for now. Sidelined. A reload window will present itself later.

Bulls have definitely overplayed their hand on this one. The resulting sell off should be equally brutal and unrelenting...that should catch most of the rally chasers unaware. The current recovery's pace is steeper than both the GFC and the 2011 bear(or any other previous bear) which leaves alot of questions unanswered seeing as the bull is not well founded. At this rate, a push towards 4200-4400 will come sooner rather than later but I smell a bull trap on this one. When everyone is buying into the peaceful elections narrative, the time to sell is imminent.

Let's see what happens after swearing in.. when all is seemingly well. Im sure there's another harvest in store

Proverbs 19:21
Mukiri
#1643 Posted : Thursday, August 17, 2017 9:55:33 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
karasinga wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KEGN:
Missed the small rally and that's fine.
The truth is we will Win some, lose some, miss some. Better to miss a winner than sustain a loss. There is always another trade on the horizon.
IMHO. These guys are distributing now. watching with great interest

Thank you @Karasinga... What about this one that seems to have elicited some excitement

Kengen please? I wonder which is a better bargain Kengen or Kenya Power

Around election time, insurance stocks seem to soar? Happened last election

Hello Mukiri. This was an oversight. My apologies. As you might be aware I try to be very prompt. Hopefully there are no other post unanswered. If any by any chance, don't hesitate to repost.
Please note I have my reservation on stocks behaviour during election period and better bargain. time to learn. Fundamental gurus can give their part. Will post my chart later.
best wishes

#1266 May 23rd.
Happened last election, has happened this election and will most probably happen next election. 100%+ in a bear isn't too bad,no?

Proverbs 19:21
hisah
#1644 Posted : Friday, August 18, 2017 11:49:54 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
NSE20 has flown past 3850 and smashed past 4000 handle to close at 4076. That's a 46.14% bounce from 2789 low! Are bulls getting ahead of themselves before year end Think

Testing 4000 handle is encouraging as it means the bears are heading out of town, but the current rush in prices doesn't offer a nice hunting ground for now. Sidelined. A reload window will present itself later.

Bulls have definitely overplayed their hand on this one. The resulting sell off should be equally brutal and unrelenting...that should catch most of the rally chasers unaware. The current recovery's pace is steeper than both the GFC and the 2011 bear(or any other previous bear) which leaves alot of questions unanswered seeing as the bull is not well founded. At this rate, a push towards 4200-4400 will come sooner rather than later but I smell a bull trap on this one. When everyone is buying into the peaceful elections narrative, the time to sell is imminent.

I would exercise caution in this market until the euphoria witnessed wears off. Support cluster is 3850 and 4000 for NSE20.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
AndyC
#1645 Posted : Tuesday, August 22, 2017 9:55:30 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/21/2015
Posts: 151
Mukiri wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KEGN:
Missed the small rally and that's fine.
The truth is we will Win some, lose some, miss some. Better to miss a winner than sustain a loss. There is always another trade on the horizon.
IMHO. These guys are distributing now. watching with great interest

Thank you @Karasinga... What about this one that seems to have elicited some excitement

Kengen please? I wonder which is a better bargain Kengen or Kenya Power

Around election time, insurance stocks seem to soar? Happened last election

Hello Mukiri. This was an oversight. My apologies. As you might be aware I try to be very prompt. Hopefully there are no other post unanswered. If any by any chance, don't hesitate to repost.
Please note I have my reservation on stocks behaviour during election period and better bargain. time to learn. Fundamental gurus can give their part. Will post my chart later.
best wishes

#1266 May 23rd.
Happened last election, has happened this election and will most probably happen next election. 100%+ in a bear isn't too bad,no?

@karasinga What is screaming"buy me?"
sparkly
#1646 Posted : Tuesday, August 22, 2017 11:26:50 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


Bounced off 7.50 as i had predicted.

Now filling the gaps between 9-10 then we will have a solid rally to 12-15.
Life is short. Live passionately.
bartum
#1647 Posted : Wednesday, August 23, 2017 4:24:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


Bounced off 7.50 as i had predicted.

Now filling the gaps between 9-10 then we will have a solid rally to 12-15.

Meaning, ndaani ndaaaaaaani mpaka
sparkly
#1648 Posted : Wednesday, August 23, 2017 6:47:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
bartum wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


Bounced off 7.50 as i had predicted.

Now filling the gaps between 9-10 then we will have a solid rally to 12-15.

Meaning, ndaani ndaaaaaaani mpaka


You can pick some between 9-9.25 and wait for the ride to 15 which is coming soon.
Life is short. Live passionately.
kayhara
#1649 Posted : Wednesday, August 23, 2017 8:04:42 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/5/2011
Posts: 1,059
sparkly wrote:
bartum wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


Bounced off 7.50 as i had predicted.

Now filling the gaps between 9-10 then we will have a solid rally to 12-15.

Meaning, ndaani ndaaaaaaani mpaka


You can pick some between 9-9.25 and wait for the ride to 15 which is coming soon.

I expect the Kipevu switch off to affect the price a bit but still loading up with an offload target at 12/-
To Each His Own
Mukiri
#1650 Posted : Monday, August 28, 2017 10:34:26 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
Mukiri wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
nashx wrote:
karasinga wrote:
nashx wrote:
Update chart on KPLC smile

If you check here, 7.7 printed... was within the expected zone but having had a simple wave 2, I wont be surprised to see around 7.6 print. If and I repeat if this happens, then expect the following to be potential sell targets
target 1 = 8.55
target 2 = 9.15
target 3 = 10.1(most ambitious)
best wishes


Thank you @karasinga for the tireless work you do here.Applause Applause Applause It seems I will have to hold on to this counter further till the day it goes back to the 13s

Target 1 achievedApplause Thank you.. Onto target 2Pray

Target 2 acheivedApplause with target 3 not being far-offsmile I bet if reviewed, 13 is attainable

And the 'most ambitious' has been attainedApplause Pre-bear 15 I have been really waiting for you

The Prezo will be welcomed with 15, I'm willing to betsmile

Proverbs 19:21
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