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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Wow! Such 'steely' strength by EA ccys. Unsustainable such strength. The euro will recover all these losses. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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FOREX My expectations for next week: $JPY should rise strongly. GBPJPY should drop strongly. EURGBP should drop strongly. AUD$ should drop strongly (thrust from a triangle). GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly. Best. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/7/2009 Posts: 1,032 Location: Sea of Transquility
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mnandii wrote:
$JPY should rise strongly.
GBPJPY should drop strongly.
GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly.
$JPY should rise strongly. (Means Yen is weakening) GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly. (Means you expect the pound to pull back (strengthen)) If the above two hold, then GBPJPY should rise and not drop. “small step for man”
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/7/2009 Posts: 1,032 Location: Sea of Transquility
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Ceinz wrote:hisah wrote:
Daily close dojis on $CHF, $JPY and $ index (DXY) at overbought levels warn of a looming correction on the $ strength.
True dat, and already now the Benjamin's hinting to loosing strength. If this plays out then USDCHF & UJ will be nice short candidates. This seems to be working, took some shorts on USDCHF @ 0.9900. If it pulls back, I intend to add shorts @ c. 0.985 and target 0.92's “small step for man”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Ceinz wrote:mnandii wrote:
$JPY should rise strongly.
GBPJPY should drop strongly.
GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly.
$JPY should rise strongly. (Means Yen is weakening) GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly. (Means you expect the pound to pull back (strengthen)) If the above two hold, then GBPJPY should rise and not drop. Am long $JPY at 119.80 SL 119.27; Long GBPJPY at 179.13 SL 178.81; Long GBP$ at 1.4923 SL 1.4910. Have a good start to the week guys. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Gold Chart. A significant drop to $961 coming soon. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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mnandii wrote:Gold Chart. A significant drop to $961 coming soon. As stated earlier in above post and chart, I expect gold to fall strongly in a third wave. Below is the 15 min chart. Wave 'i' appears to be in place. Next week I expect a correction to 1213.83 levels before the sharp drop starts. We will review if gold exceeds 1220.15. Gdday NB: Basically, if we go short gold next week we put our SL at 1220.15. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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EURUSD 30 min chart. A move above 1.1048 is expected in the coming week before a fall in a corrective process. The pattern is called contracting leading diagonal. NB: Since wave '3' is shorter than wave '1', we don't expect wave '5' to be longer than wave '3' hence the red line. The rule is wave three can NEVER be shorter than BOTH wave one and wave five. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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$JPY. A five wave move comprising wave [A] is complete. Next, we expect a three wave corrective process i.e a very large drop in the pair. Detailed analytics coming. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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mnandii wrote:EURUSD 30 min chart. A move above 1.1048 is expected in the coming week before a fall in a corrective process. The pattern is called contracting leading diagonal. NB: Since wave '3' is shorter than wave '1', we don't expect wave '5' to be longer than wave '3' hence the red line. The rule is wave three can NEVER be shorter than BOTH wave one and wave five. NB: For E$ you shld be able to buy at 1.0858 with a SL at 1.0800 and aim for 200 pips. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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mnandii wrote:$JPY. A five wave move comprising wave [A] is complete. Next, we expect a three wave corrective process i.e a very large drop in the pair. Detailed analytics coming. Quite a rare pattern this. The (i)(ii)(iii)(iv)(v) wave pattern is called an expanding leading diagonal. It suggests a very prolonged third wave down for $JPY. However, first the corrective process. Wave [i] is complete at 118.30 level. We expect a three wave move (a) (b) (c) and as suggested by wave (a) it is likely to be an expanded flat (another evidence for a prolonged drop in $JPY). So, be on the lookout to take advantage of the (c) wave up (shld reach 121.20s). When (c) completes you turn bear and ride the third wave down (an Elliottician's dream)! Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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GBPJPY. A 400 pip move above 181 expected coming week. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/7/2009 Posts: 1,032 Location: Sea of Transquility
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I hereby reverse my earlier sentiments on USD weakening, looking at the charts seems like the dollar strength will still continue. In the coming weeks I will be long the dollar against Pound, CHF, YEN etc “small step for man”
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/7/2009 Posts: 1,032 Location: Sea of Transquility
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Ceinz wrote:I hereby reverse my earlier sentiments on USD weakening, looking at the charts seems like the dollar strength will still continue. In the coming weeks I will be long the dollar against Pound, CHF, YEN etc Quite some volatily in the past two weeks, but atleast a prediction I made last week but one holding ground, still carrying on with this plan. “small step for man”
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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mnandii wrote:mnandii wrote:Gold Chart. A significant drop to $961 coming soon. As stated earlier in above post and chart, I expect gold to fall strongly in a third wave. Below is the 15 min chart. Wave 'i' appears to be in place. Next week I expect a correction to 1213.83 levels before the sharp drop starts. We will review if gold exceeds 1220.15. Gdday NB: Basically, if we go short gold next week we put our SL at 1220.15. The gold decent resumes. I expect 1100 handle to be tested and broken in coming weeks. Before heading to 1000 level. Very weak and bearish and as long as shanghai and hang seng and BSE are embarking on a rally phase, gold will continue weakening as asia piles into equities.$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/7/2009 Posts: 1,032 Location: Sea of Transquility
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CHF/JPY Looks set to soar, now at 125s, Should kiss 130 by close of next week (500 Pips). “small step for man”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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I am looking for gold to fall sharply below $1161 within today and tomorrow. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Also a fall in AUD$ below 0.7740. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/7/2009 Posts: 1,032 Location: Sea of Transquility
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Ceinz wrote:CHF/JPY Looks set to soar, now at 125s, Should kiss 130 by close of next week (500 Pips). Now @ 130s still got miles to cover to the north. “small step for man”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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GBPJPY bought at 181.20. Targeting 200 pips about. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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