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Realities of Forex Investment
hisah
#3121 Posted : Saturday, March 21, 2015 8:16:07 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Wow! Such 'steely' strength by EA ccys. Unsustainable such strength. The euro will recover all these losses.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#3122 Posted : Saturday, March 21, 2015 12:01:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
FOREX

My expectations for next week:

$JPY should rise strongly.

GBPJPY should drop strongly.

EURGBP should drop strongly.

AUD$ should drop strongly (thrust from a triangle).

GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly.

Best.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ceinz
#3123 Posted : Saturday, March 21, 2015 1:02:52 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
mnandii wrote:


$JPY should rise strongly.

GBPJPY should drop strongly.

GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly.



Shame on you

$JPY should rise strongly. (Means Yen is weakening)
GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly. (Means you expect the pound to pull back (strengthen))

If the above two hold, then

GBPJPY should rise and not drop.

“small step for man”
Ceinz
#3124 Posted : Saturday, March 21, 2015 1:14:13 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:


Daily close dojis on $CHF, $JPY and $ index (DXY) at overbought levels warn of a looming correction on the $ strength.


True dat, and already now the Benjamin's hinting to loosing strength. If this plays out then USDCHF & UJ will be nice short candidates.Drool


This seems to be working, took some shorts on USDCHF @ 0.9900. If it pulls back, I intend to add shorts @ c. 0.985 and target 0.92's
“small step for man”
mnandii
#3125 Posted : Monday, March 23, 2015 7:39:46 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Ceinz wrote:
mnandii wrote:


$JPY should rise strongly.

GBPJPY should drop strongly.

GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly.



Shame on you

$JPY should rise strongly. (Means Yen is weakening)
GBP$ should rise to about 1.5400 level before turning down strongly. (Means you expect the pound to pull back (strengthen))

If the above two hold, then

GBPJPY should rise and not drop.



Am long $JPY at 119.80 SL 119.27; Long GBPJPY at 179.13 SL 178.81; Long GBP$ at 1.4923 SL 1.4910. Have a good start to the week guys.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3126 Posted : Friday, March 27, 2015 7:11:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Gold Chart. A significant drop to $961 coming soon.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3127 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2015 9:31:21 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
Gold Chart. A significant drop to $961 coming soon.




As stated earlier in above post and chart, I expect gold to fall strongly in a third wave. Below is the 15 min chart. Wave 'i' appears to be in place. Next week I expect a correction to 1213.83 levels before the sharp drop starts. We will review if gold exceeds 1220.15. Gdday

NB: Basically, if we go short gold next week we put our SL at 1220.15.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3128 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2015 10:07:48 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


EURUSD 30 min chart. A move above 1.1048 is expected in the coming week before a fall in a corrective process. The pattern is called contracting leading diagonal. NB: Since wave '3' is shorter than wave '1', we don't expect wave '5' to be longer than wave '3' hence the red line. The rule is wave three can NEVER be shorter than BOTH wave one and wave five.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3129 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2015 10:21:59 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


$JPY. A five wave move comprising wave [A] is complete. Next, we expect a three wave corrective process i.e a very large drop in the pair. Detailed analytics coming.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3130 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2015 10:33:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:


EURUSD 30 min chart. A move above 1.1048 is expected in the coming week before a fall in a corrective process. The pattern is called contracting leading diagonal. NB: Since wave '3' is shorter than wave '1', we don't expect wave '5' to be longer than wave '3' hence the red line. The rule is wave three can NEVER be shorter than BOTH wave one and wave five.




NB: For E$ you shld be able to buy at 1.0858 with a SL at 1.0800 and aim for 200 pips.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3131 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2015 10:45:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:


$JPY. A five wave move comprising wave [A] is complete. Next, we expect a three wave corrective process i.e a very large drop in the pair. Detailed analytics coming.




Quite a rare pattern this. The (i)(ii)(iii)(iv)(v) wave pattern is called an expanding leading diagonal. It suggests a very prolonged third wave down for $JPY. However, first the corrective process.

Wave [i] is complete at 118.30 level. We expect a three wave move (a) (b) (c) and as suggested by wave (a) it is likely to be an expanded flat (another evidence for a prolonged drop in $JPY).

So, be on the lookout to take advantage of the (c) wave up (shld reach 121.20s). When (c) completes you turn bear and ride the third wave down (an Elliottician's dream)!
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3132 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2015 5:50:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


GBPJPY. A 400 pip move above 181 expected coming week.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ceinz
#3133 Posted : Wednesday, April 01, 2015 6:46:28 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
I hereby reverse my earlier sentiments on USD weakening, looking at the charts seems like the dollar strength will still continue. In the coming weeks I will be long the dollar against Pound, CHF, YEN etc
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#3134 Posted : Sunday, April 12, 2015 10:28:40 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
I hereby reverse my earlier sentiments on USD weakening, looking at the charts seems like the dollar strength will still continue. In the coming weeks I will be long the dollar against Pound, CHF, YEN etc


Quite some volatily in the past two weeks, but atleast a prediction I made last week but one holding ground, still carrying on with this plan.
“small step for man”
hisah
#3135 Posted : Tuesday, April 14, 2015 3:33:06 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Gold Chart. A significant drop to $961 coming soon.




As stated earlier in above post and chart, I expect gold to fall strongly in a third wave. Below is the 15 min chart. Wave 'i' appears to be in place. Next week I expect a correction to 1213.83 levels before the sharp drop starts. We will review if gold exceeds 1220.15. Gdday

NB: Basically, if we go short gold next week we put our SL at 1220.15.



The gold decent resumes. I expect 1100 handle to be tested and broken in coming weeks. Before heading to 1000 level. Very weak and bearish and as long as shanghai and hang seng and BSE are embarking on a rally phase, gold will continue weakening as asia piles into equities.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#3136 Posted : Wednesday, April 22, 2015 10:01:21 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
CHF/JPY Looks set to soar, now at 125s, Should kiss 130 by close of next week (500 Pips).
“small step for man”
mnandii
#3137 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:10:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
I am looking for gold to fall sharply below $1161 within today and tomorrow.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3138 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:13:18 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Also a fall in AUD$ below 0.7740.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ceinz
#3139 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 10:06:55 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
CHF/JPY Looks set to soar, now at 125s, Should kiss 130 by close of next week (500 Pips).


Now @ 130s still got miles to cover to the north.
“small step for man”
mnandii
#3140 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 2:49:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPJPY bought at 181.20. Targeting 200 pips about.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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