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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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murchr wrote:Gas prices in the US http://www.bloomberg.com...ne-prices-increase.html
Ambani Says U.S. Will Be Energy Independent in 5-7 Years Mukesh Ambani, the billionaire chairman of Reliance Industries Ltd., said that the U.S.’s development of shale oil and gas will make the country energy independent as early as 2018. Shale is oil of last resort. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_shale_economicsUncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Looking at the US Fed, ECB and BoJ inflated balance sheets there's only one phrase that can fit this expansion 'printing orgy!' When that inflation will finally explode, solid assets and not paper assets will be the sole refuge... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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I hope this oil thing has topped out.   $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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http://dealbreaker.com/2...-losing-a-lot-of-money/
Deutsche Bank is redefining biz class rules. It improved its balance sheet by losing a lot of money   Since GFC going to an econ, financial or biz school is plain BS. What you learn there is completely incompatible with the financial biz world... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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While the japs savings are getting properly screwed by the ongoing BoJ yen smackdown, guess who made $1B betting against the yen... drums roll... before the winner is revealed here is a sneak profile of the winner. On a particular 'black wednesday' back in the 90s, this winner took on the BoE and made billions by smashing the GBP (pound) as the ERM crisis reached fever pitch levels... After reading that profile summary I'm sure you now know the winner. http://www.bloomberg.com...ovember-on-yen-bet.html
Markets are ALWAYS manipulated. Learn to spot it and trade in harmony with the manipulators (oh, sorry, the enablers) aka enablators... Money never sleeps and so does fraud... Now that the yen cat is out of the bag, this is no longer a worthwhile trade... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/13/2006 Posts: 551 Location: Nairobi
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China is progressively reclaiming past glories, one of which was being the largest economy in the world during the 19th Century under the Qing Dynasty (1644 to 1912). In the recent past, the Sovereign Debt Crisis of 1931 resulted in Great Britain being overtaken by the United States of America as the largest economy. By 1944, the inception of Bretton Woods, the latter had 76% of the world's gold reserves. The Second World War proved a boon to America since it supplied the ammunition, food and most importantly, the homeland was unscathed in the conflict.  "Gold imports into mainland China from Hong Kong surged 94 percent to an all-time high last year as rising incomes in the world’s second-largest economy underpinned increased demand and helped the metal to post a 12th annual gain. Mainland China imported 834,502 kilograms (834.5 metric tons), including scrap and coins, compared with about 431,215 kilograms in 2011, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data from Hong Kong’s Census and Statistics Department. Imports in December rose to a monthly record of 114,405 kilograms, according to data from the department yesterday. China was expected to displace India as the world’s biggest gold consumer last year, according to a forecast in November from the producer-funded World Gold Council. Rising consumption in the country may help to offset concern that the metal’s bull run may be coming to an end as the global economy recovers. Spot gold is little changed so far this year, while the Standard & Poor’s GSCI Index of raw materials has risen 4.4 percent...." Read more: www.bloomberg.com/news/2...all-time-high-in-12.htmlChina is now the world's largest trading nation, eclipsing the United States and Germany. "China surpassed the U.S. to become the world’s biggest trading nation last year as measured by the sum of exports and imports of goods, official figures from both countries show. U.S. exports and imports of goods last year totaled $3.82 trillion, the U.S. Commerce Department said last week. China’s customs administration reported last month that the country’s trade in goods in 2012 amounted to $3.87 trillion...." Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com...est-trading-nation.html
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Interesting debate by P.Schiff about the current yen debasement by BoJ - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N2wLJnUKOQ$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/17/2011 Posts: 207 Location: humu humu
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Deutsche Bank is redefining biz class rules. It improved its balance sheet by ..... going to an econ, financial or biz school is plain BS. What you learn there is completely incompatible with the financial biz world...[/quote]
The outgoingECB chairman said finacial and economic models failed him..I thing more emphasis in biz and econs school shud be.. on teaching economic history
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Fourteen Arrested for Market Manipulation Schemes That Caused Thousands of Investors to Lose More Than $30 Million - http://1.usa.gov/ZdLVB8 A classical case of market manipulation... And this other case on insider trading - http://on.mktw.net/Z3DIeV
Quote: The SEC found suspicious the fact that defendants bought 2,533 out-of-the-money June $65 calls just a day before the deal was announced, after never having traded Heinz previously in the account. The account identifies the Zurich account as being at GS&Co. — a name Goldman Sachs uses for its options broker.
The nearly $90,000 investment surged in value by more than 1,700%.
The June $65 calls were not actively traded before the deal was announced. On Feb. 12, for instance, only 14 calls were purchased. Yep, market manipulation at its best. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Market manipulation explained - http://read.bi/Ylfwne
Wyckoff wrote:The large operator does not, as a rule, go into a campaign unless he sees in prospect a movement of from 10 to 50 points. Livermore once told me he never touched anything unless there were at least 10 points in it according to his calculations.
His 1931 book, "The Richard D. Wyckoff Method of Trading and Investing in Stocks – A Course of Instruction in Stock Market Science and Technique," is out of print and somewhat difficult to find these days (not impossible), but even in 2013, hedge fund managers still swear by it.
One of the key takeaways from the book is that if you want to succeed, you have to learn to recognize the professionals and understand what they are doing. That's what those who follow Wyckoff do — they watch the large operators.
Wyckoff walks us through the process of how a large operator will manipulate a stock up or down — so that next time one sees it unfolding on the screen before his or her own eyes, he or she can react accordingly.
The preparation of an important move in the market takes a considerable time. A large operator or investor acting singly cannot often, in a single day's session, buy 25,000 to 100,000 shares of stock without putting the price up too much. Instead, he takes days, weeks or months in which to accumulate his line in one or many stocks.
That last statement has Kengen, AK and now CFCI all over it. Last year it was KK, EABL, BAT, KCB and mpesa bank... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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hisah wrote:Market manipulation explained - http://read.bi/Ylfwne
Wyckoff wrote:The large operator does not, as a rule, go into a campaign unless he sees in prospect a movement of from 10 to 50 points. Livermore once told me he never touched anything unless there were at least 10 points in it according to his calculations.
His 1931 book, "The Richard D. Wyckoff Method of Trading and Investing in Stocks – A Course of Instruction in Stock Market Science and Technique," is out of print and somewhat difficult to find these days (not impossible), but even in 2013, hedge fund managers still swear by it.
One of the key takeaways from the book is that if you want to succeed, you have to learn to recognize the professionals and understand what they are doing. That's what those who follow Wyckoff do — they watch the large operators.
Wyckoff walks us through the process of how a large operator will manipulate a stock up or down — so that next time one sees it unfolding on the screen before his or her own eyes, he or she can react accordingly.
The preparation of an important move in the market takes a considerable time. A large operator or investor acting singly cannot often, in a single day's session, buy 25,000 to 100,000 shares of stock without putting the price up too much. Instead, he takes days, weeks or months in which to accumulate his line in one or many stocks.
That last statement has Kengen, AK and now CFCI all over it. Last year it was KK, EABL, BAT, KCB and mpesa bank...  Great book.Just starting it right now. I've actually been trading on supply and demand and it seems I might get more insights from him. Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Europe's recession deepened in 4th quarter as economy shrank 0.6%Quote: Europe's recession deepened at the end of last year as its economy shrank at an annual rate of 0.6% in the final three months, its sharpest contraction since the financial crisis.
The data for the Eurozone released Thursday was worse than analysts had expected, reflecting steeper-than-expected contractions for three of the region's largest economies: Germany, France and Italy. http://www.washingtonpos...948929030e64_story.html
In other news Wazua's fav investor, Warren Buffet is buying Heinz...mmh seems theirs money in tomato's  and the billionaire Michael Dell is buying back his company http://journalstar.com/a...-8b18-3079b3b75939.html
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Diluted aka deliberately watered down whiskey - http://www.forbes.com/si...s-incensed-over-choice/
This will go down as a classical case study on how to destroy your own brand. What in the world were the execs at Beam thinking To put things in perspective, just think what would happen if say, EABL says the demand for tusker is too much to supply so they'll dilute some in order to meet demand?!? update - http://blogs.courier-jou...ng-down-whiskey-in-2004/$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Reader's Digest files for bankruptcy again - http://www.bloomberg.com...o-cut-465-mln-debt.html
This was such a good mag back in the 90s... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Bankruptcy requests spike to 2yr high in HongKong - http://www.bloomberg.com...most-two-year-high.html
Back to 2009 levels... Global econ recovery indeed. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Norway too wants to join the currency devaluation funky party - http://www.bloomberg.com...l-krone-olsen-says.html Fx traders are spoilt for choice this year. Easy money everywhere $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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I agree,this year looks like its going to be an interesting one. Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/13/2006 Posts: 551 Location: Nairobi
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@Hisah. Thank you, the white paper was interesting. You are right, the IMF is not trusted by emerging nations making the UN a better backer for the One World Currency. We have to wait for the Sovereign Debt Crisis to land on the shores of the United States to set off the clock to the fall of the U.S. Dollar as the world's reserve currency. It took 13 years from the 1931 Debt Crisis to Bretton Woods, the conference which cemented the U.S. Dollar as the reserve currency of choice, stealing the thunder from the British Pound. [quote=hisah]Flagging @kk, cde, ceinz, chessmaster This is a report by OMFIF (Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum) report about the escalating currency war and what solution they think is feasible to the crumbling financial hegemony, which is USD based - http://www.omfif.org/downloads/Gold, the renminbi and the multi-currency reserve system.pdf The mention gold, renminbi (yuan) and a multi-currency reserve system. I don't like their idea of fronting that IMF based reserve system. It'll be the same con game and this is why BRICs are refusing to cooperate. Still waiting for the day when the USD hegemony will shutter into pieces due to this BRIC wall... Related reading: http://www.24hgold.com/e...ntributor=Jim+Willie+CB http://www.247bull.com/c...o-the-collapse-part-ii/[/quote]
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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kaifastus wrote:
The outgoingECB chairman said finacial and economic models failed him..I thing more emphasis in biz and econs school shud be.. on teaching economic history
True...
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