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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#2941 Posted : Monday, September 08, 2014 10:35:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:


Looking to go long A/U with a SL at 0.9262

Caution with aussie. Aussie broad stock index looking toppish...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mnandii
#2942 Posted : Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:04:21 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Looking to go long A/U with a SL at 0.9262

Caution with aussie. Aussie broad stock index looking toppish...

Sad

Batiutus: Not all ventures result in climax.
Lucretia: A fact well known by all women.

Will tell how my next venture goes.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2943 Posted : Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:06:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Gold looks to be bottoming though.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#2944 Posted : Tuesday, September 09, 2014 2:56:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Copper is looking very enticing for a sizable short.

Taking half of the loot from the short @3.203. SL lowered to breakeven on the remain position.

Natgas still has acres to fall. It is coming just like we saw with cable.

@all check out BSE monthly chart. Bizarre RSI reading at 93?!? d'oh! Not talking Pray
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2945 Posted : Tuesday, September 09, 2014 3:12:42 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Woshe! 160 pip gap in Gebby!



So called third waves. "Third waves are a wonder to behold", Elliott Wave Principle.

I repeat, something has gone snap somewhere.

Are we back to Bear Sterns or Lehman events...?! During GFC the pound snapped before the rest.

It'll be soon clear what's cooking when weird headlines start popping.

Have u seen this stuff about CBs and CME - http://m.wazua.co.ke/for...amp;m=594796#post594796



You are right. But this time its going to be worse. Those who can should buy 'physical' gold, silver and platinum. Never depend on figures in your bank balance.

Gebby has closed the gap down. I'm preparing the next short trigger.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2946 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2014 3:21:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
USDJPY - madness! RSI overbought readings on the monthly, weekly, daily, 4hr, 2hr, 1hr, 5min timeframes... Buying climax in the making Not talking Pray

#broken markets

Update - gone short USDJPY @106.70, lot size 0.3, objective open for now.

GBP$ has bounced at 1.6050 as expected. Keenly monitoring the gebby short which will likely run out of steam at 172.70/80.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2947 Posted : Thursday, September 11, 2014 3:41:32 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Gebby short got stopped out in asia for 303pips. Yep, the usual beast volatility. Still fancy the short side especially on GBP crosses since bulls have experienced some damage.


@mnandii - hope u didn't take the AUD$ long. Lots of weakness on its stock market. A selloff is coming.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ceinz
#2948 Posted : Thursday, September 11, 2014 9:21:53 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624
“small step for man”
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Ceinz
#2949 Posted : Thursday, September 11, 2014 11:23:38 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624


Trade idea postponed till gap closes at around 1.63.Drool
“small step for man”
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hisah
#2950 Posted : Thursday, September 11, 2014 2:10:42 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624


Trade idea postponed till gap closes at around 1.63.Drool

Once GBP$ closes that gap, next round starts. GBP weakness is plenty.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2951 Posted : Friday, September 12, 2014 12:13:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Caution with commodities esp on the long side. Methinks sizable downside is on the cards.

Shorts on copper working fine. Shorts on natgas starting to work out. Prefer natgas to oil, but oil too is taking knocks.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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tonicasert
#2952 Posted : Saturday, September 13, 2014 5:25:43 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
USDJPY seems to be on steroids! 107.30's?? Guess the party will stop after the referendum (Scottish that is)
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Ceinz
#2953 Posted : Tuesday, September 16, 2014 12:41:37 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624


Trade idea postponed till gap closes at around 1.63.Drool

Once GBP$ closes that gap, next round starts. GBP weakness is plenty.


I was lucky to get in @ 1.623, targeting 1.604
“small step for man”
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Internet
#2954 Posted : Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:22:53 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 12/16/2009
Posts: 33
Cable Forecast for today:

Pivot: 1.622

Our preference: Short positions below 1.622 with targets @ 1.614 & 1.6105 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.622 look for further upside with 1.625 & 1.6275 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

Supports and resistances:
1.6275
1.625
1.622
1.618 Last
1.614
1.6105
1.608
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hisah
#2955 Posted : Tuesday, September 16, 2014 3:15:56 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624


Trade idea postponed till gap closes at around 1.63.Drool

Once GBP$ closes that gap, next round starts. GBP weakness is plenty.


I was lucky to get in @ 1.623, targeting 1.604

Short GBPUSD @1.6205 for an open objective. Lot size 0.2.

Also took a short trade on GBPAUD @1.8009 in asia session. Lot size 0.5. TP @1.7710

I'm very tempted to short GBPJPY. If it can retest 174, I be on the short side.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2956 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 6:33:26 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
GBP$ has finally closed the gap after rallying in NY session. Now I sit tight. So tempted to short gebby, but asia has been on USDJPY bid side for weeks now. But gebby above 174 will struggle to maintain uptrend.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Internet
#2957 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 7:55:19 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 12/16/2009
Posts: 33
What will be the impact of the Scottish referendum on Cable if the vote goes for an independent country?
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Internet
#2958 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 7:57:45 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 12/16/2009
Posts: 33
Internet wrote:
What will be the impact of the Scottish referendum on Cable if the vote goes for an independent country?

Warning from my broker:
A referendum on whether Scotland should be an independent country will take place on Thursday 18 September.

The run-up to this historic vote has led to large increases in volatility on a wide range of markets including the FTSE and GBP/USD. While this volatility creates trading opportunities, we would urge all clients to monitor their exposure carefully. This is important due to the increased likelihood of large, and very sudden, price movements.

Polling closes at 10pm on Thursday 18 September and counting is expected to commence in all 32 local authority areas straight away. An official announcement is expected on Friday the 19th, once all 32 local counts have been verified by the Chief Counting Officer. However, it is very likely that regional centres will announce individual results during the early hours of Friday morning, increasing the likelihood of overnight volatility.
How to protect your positions
With the high chance of overnight volatility on a wide range of markets we offer, we would urge you to do at least one of the following:

• Monitor your positions closely overnight
• Place stops on any open positions to help reduce risk
• Deposit extra funds to account for the chance of an adverse move
• Consider reducing exposure to affected markets, or closing positions beforehand
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Ceinz
#2959 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 8:06:50 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
GBP$ has finally closed the gap after rallying in NY session. Now I sit tight. So tempted to short gebby, but asia has been on USDJPY bid side for weeks now. But gebby above 174 will struggle to maintain uptrend.


What a rally that was! My trade was stopped, am still bearish gu, though the lower timeframes look bullish.
“small step for man”
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hisah
#2960 Posted : Thursday, September 18, 2014 11:34:17 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
GBP$ has finally closed the gap after rallying in NY session. Now I sit tight. So tempted to short gebby, but asia has been on USDJPY bid side for weeks now. But gebby above 174 will struggle to maintain uptrend.


What a rally that was! My trade was stopped, am still bearish gu, though the lower timeframes look bullish.

Had to take losses on both GBPAUD and GBP$. But I too still maintain that GBP is a sell. Don't mind the upthrust. Live to fight another day.

Investors pull $27bn out of UK in one month

Quote:
The daily equity flow data pointed to “some of the largest UK equity selling on record, demonstrating investor concerns ahead of the Scottish referendum next week,” said Morgan Stanley on Friday.


Let that sink in...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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