wazua Sun, Mar 22, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

179 Pages«<146147148149150>»
POTUS TRUMP
masukuma
#1471 Posted : Wednesday, October 21, 2020 12:58:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
madollar wrote:
quicksand wrote:
masukuma wrote:
madollar wrote:
Bado shocker ya 2016 is still resonating


Exactly! everyone is watching out for it...
1) could it be from wrong polling data? The pollsters that got stung are very particular on their processes now. They will not just rinse and repeat what they did in 2016 and hope it works. Could it be that pollsters have even become more conservative so as not to miss anything and all their corrections could mean that the error is actually on the Biden side? that the real gap is much larger? We shall see!
2) Candidates? They are not letting up... every single ballot counts! They are not complacent in their
3) Hedging against last-minute surprises...both at a political level (October surprises) and on Voter's everyday surprises (broken car on election day, you get Covid and cannot go out to vote) - asking them to vote early.


Lets see! its 15 days to election day.

You could be onto something here. Not only did pollsters call Trump 2016 wrong, but Brexit as well. That is serious egg-on-face that must have hurt reputation and business as I am sure many customers must have asked "why should we hire you when you get things so wrong?"
If they call it wrong this time no one will ever take polling seriously ever again. The 'one chance' to error will be expended.


May be its just jitters or a strategy to ensure no voter complacency by the biden campaign but they have to rely on some form of data to know where to campaign and where to spend money on ADs

Trump is campaigning aggressively in this last days at the so called toss up states his internal pollsters must be telling him something but what

Trump has a shot - I am sure he would rather trade places with Biden at the moment but it doesn't mean that his position is irredeemable... he has a few good punches left in him. Let's see what he delivers as part of the debate tonight.
I saw Bloomberg spending $100M in Florida. That is a lot of cash to spend on one state!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
madollar
#1472 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2020 3:02:37 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
masukuma wrote:
madollar wrote:
quicksand wrote:
masukuma wrote:
madollar wrote:
Bado shocker ya 2016 is still resonating


Exactly! everyone is watching out for it...
1) could it be from wrong polling data? The pollsters that got stung are very particular on their processes now. They will not just rinse and repeat what they did in 2016 and hope it works. Could it be that pollsters have even become more conservative so as not to miss anything and all their corrections could mean that the error is actually on the Biden side? that the real gap is much larger? We shall see!
2) Candidates? They are not letting up... every single ballot counts! They are not complacent in their
3) Hedging against last-minute surprises...both at a political level (October surprises) and on Voter's everyday surprises (broken car on election day, you get Covid and cannot go out to vote) - asking them to vote early.


Lets see! its 15 days to election day.

You could be onto something here. Not only did pollsters call Trump 2016 wrong, but Brexit as well. That is serious egg-on-face that must have hurt reputation and business as I am sure many customers must have asked "why should we hire you when you get things so wrong?"
If they call it wrong this time no one will ever take polling seriously ever again. The 'one chance' to error will be expended.


May be its just jitters or a strategy to ensure no voter complacency by the biden campaign but they have to rely on some form of data to know where to campaign and where to spend money on ADs

Trump is campaigning aggressively in this last days at the so called toss up states his internal pollsters must be telling him something but what

Trump has a shot - I am sure he would rather trade places with Biden at the moment but it doesn't mean that his position is irredeemable... he has a few good punches left in him. Let's see what he delivers as part of the debate tonight.
I saw Bloomberg spending $100M in Florida. That is a lot of cash to spend on one state!


Obama is not also taking chances
mkenyan
#1473 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2020 7:17:27 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/1/2009
Posts: 1,885
masukuma wrote:
madollar wrote:
quicksand wrote:
masukuma wrote:
madollar wrote:
Bado shocker ya 2016 is still resonating


Exactly! everyone is watching out for it...
1) could it be from wrong polling data? The pollsters that got stung are very particular on their processes now. They will not just rinse and repeat what they did in 2016 and hope it works. Could it be that pollsters have even become more conservative so as not to miss anything and all their corrections could mean that the error is actually on the Biden side? that the real gap is much larger? We shall see!
2) Candidates? They are not letting up... every single ballot counts! They are not complacent in their
3) Hedging against last-minute surprises...both at a political level (October surprises) and on Voter's everyday surprises (broken car on election day, you get Covid and cannot go out to vote) - asking them to vote early.


Lets see! its 15 days to election day.

You could be onto something here. Not only did pollsters call Trump 2016 wrong, but Brexit as well. That is serious egg-on-face that must have hurt reputation and business as I am sure many customers must have asked "why should we hire you when you get things so wrong?"
If they call it wrong this time no one will ever take polling seriously ever again. The 'one chance' to error will be expended.


May be its just jitters or a strategy to ensure no voter complacency by the biden campaign but they have to rely on some form of data to know where to campaign and where to spend money on ADs

Trump is campaigning aggressively in this last days at the so called toss up states his internal pollsters must be telling him something but what

Trump has a shot - I am sure he would rather trade places with Biden at the moment but it doesn't mean that his position is irredeemable... he has a few good punches left in him. Let's see what he delivers as part of the debate tonight.
I saw Bloomberg spending $100M in Florida. That is a lot of cash to spend on one state!

word
murchr
#1474 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2020 7:19:09 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Michigan

Pennsylvania

Florida

North Carolina.

Wisconsin

Ohio - Will farmers turn up for Trump?

Determinants of how it all goes down
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
KulaRaha
#1475 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2020 8:43:24 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Trump will win....let us revisit after the elections. White America cannot let such a great leader go!
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
masukuma
#1476 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:31:42 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
Michigan

Pennsylvania

Florida

North Carolina.

Wisconsin

Ohio - Will farmers turn up for Trump?

Determinants of how it all goes down



Yeap! I predict a narrow win for Biden... 280-270 (mahali hapo).

Ohio - will go with Trump again
Florida - will probably go with Trump BUT... i am thinking the margins there will be thin! less than 100,000 votes.
North Carolina - Come on guys...Trump!
Georgia - Come on guys... Trump!


Wisconsin - Biden
Pennsylvania - Biden
Michigan - Biden

why? no vote wasters like the Greens, Libertarians and lazy urban voters this time around.

Next stop... Supreme Court!


I know it doesn't matter but the Overall Popular Vote will be 7M+ for Biden... but it won't matter.
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
murchr
#1477 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2020 6:33:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
masukuma wrote:
murchr wrote:
Michigan

Pennsylvania

Florida

North Carolina.

Wisconsin

Ohio - Will farmers turn up for Trump?

Determinants of how it all goes down



Yeap! I predict a narrow win for Biden... 280-270 (mahali hapo).

Ohio - will go with Trump again
Florida - will probably go with Trump BUT... i am thinking the margins there will be thin! less than 100,000 votes.
North Carolina - Come on guys...Trump!
Georgia - Come on guys... Trump!


Wisconsin - Biden
Pennsylvania - Biden
Michigan - Biden

why? no vote wasters like the Greens, Libertarians and lazy urban voters this time around.

Next stop... Supreme Court!


I know it doesn't matter but the Overall Popular Vote will be 7M+ for Biden... but it won't matter.



Waa...Ma vegges jamani, I see NC going blue even Trump is out there today


"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
masukuma
#1478 Posted : Friday, October 23, 2020 11:22:12 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
masukuma wrote:
murchr wrote:
Michigan

Pennsylvania

Florida

North Carolina.

Wisconsin

Ohio - Will farmers turn up for Trump?

Determinants of how it all goes down



Yeap! I predict a narrow win for Biden... 280-270 (mahali hapo).

Ohio - will go with Trump again
Florida - will probably go with Trump BUT... i am thinking the margins there will be thin! less than 100,000 votes.
North Carolina - Come on guys...Trump!
Georgia - Come on guys... Trump!


Wisconsin - Biden
Pennsylvania - Biden
Michigan - Biden

why? no vote wasters like the Greens, Libertarians and lazy urban voters this time around.

Next stop... Supreme Court!


I know it doesn't matter but the Overall Popular Vote will be 7M+ for Biden... but it won't matter.



Waa...Ma vegges jamani, I see NC going blue even Trump is out there today




Do I want NC going blue? Yes! Will it go blue? I don't think so!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
madollar
#1479 Posted : Saturday, October 24, 2020 3:07:23 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
masukuma wrote:
murchr wrote:
masukuma wrote:
murchr wrote:
Michigan

Pennsylvania

Florida

North Carolina.

Wisconsin

Ohio - Will farmers turn up for Trump?

Determinants of how it all goes down



Yeap! I predict a narrow win for Biden... 280-270 (mahali hapo).

Ohio - will go with Trump again
Florida - will probably go with Trump BUT... i am thinking the margins there will be thin! less than 100,000 votes.
North Carolina - Come on guys...Trump!
Georgia - Come on guys... Trump!


Wisconsin - Biden
Pennsylvania - Biden
Michigan - Biden

why? no vote wasters like the Greens, Libertarians and lazy urban voters this time around.

Next stop... Supreme Court!


I know it doesn't matter but the Overall Popular Vote will be 7M+ for Biden... but it won't matter.



Waa...Ma vegges jamani, I see NC going blue even Trump is out there today




Do I want NC going blue? Yes! Will it go blue? I don't think so!


Infotrack yao says it could go blue



but how will turnout be in this rural states

masukuma
#1480 Posted : Saturday, October 24, 2020 10:20:36 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
madollar wrote:
masukuma wrote:
murchr wrote:
masukuma wrote:
murchr wrote:
Michigan

Pennsylvania

Florida

North Carolina.

Wisconsin

Ohio - Will farmers turn up for Trump?

Determinants of how it all goes down



Yeap! I predict a narrow win for Biden... 280-270 (mahali hapo).

Ohio - will go with Trump again
Florida - will probably go with Trump BUT... i am thinking the margins there will be thin! less than 100,000 votes.
North Carolina - Come on guys...Trump!
Georgia - Come on guys... Trump!


Wisconsin - Biden
Pennsylvania - Biden
Michigan - Biden

why? no vote wasters like the Greens, Libertarians and lazy urban voters this time around.

Next stop... Supreme Court!


I know it doesn't matter but the Overall Popular Vote will be 7M+ for Biden... but it won't matter.



Waa...Ma vegges jamani, I see NC going blue even Trump is out there today




Do I want NC going blue? Yes! Will it go blue? I don't think so!


Infotrack yao says it could go blue



but how will turnout be in this rural states




Do you know that of the last 6 American Elections only 1 has been won by a Republican who also won the Popular Vote? since 1992! Since the 90s!!! That was Bush in 2004... The voter suppression game that is being played is off the charts!! Are people motivated enough to queue for 8-11 hours in city polling centers? rural and suburb populations get to vote in less than 20 minutes; Game Chafu!
By the way - voting day in the US is not a public holiday so you need to take time off to go vote. If you are living from mouth to hand - that's not a practical step to take.





All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
179 Pages«<146147148149150>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.