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Thinking Outside The box (Overseas Investment Series)
young
#131 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 10:19:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Crude oil futures prices were up early Friday despite a downward revision in U.S. first quarter gross domestic product, which casts doubt on the pace of economic recovery.

The Commerce Department said final revisions show U.S. first-quarter GDP rose 2.7%, while analysts expected the government to maintain the previous estimate of 3% growth.

Traders noted that gasoline futures were making the largest of the modest gains, likely reflecting a typical surge in demand ahead of the July 4 holiday weekend. Travel and leisure group AAA said the number of Americans driving over the holiday weekend was expected to rise by 17.7% from a year earlier, but still lag the 2008 level.

Light, sweet crude oil for August delivery was up 99 cents at $77.49 a barrel, after trading in a range of $75.90 to $77.58 a barrel. The contract broke above the 200-day moving average above $77, spurring the move higher. North Sea Brent crude for August on the ICE was up 70 cents at $77.17 a barrel.

Traders said the market was also watching for developments in storm activity in the Caribbean region, as a strong hurricane season is expected in the U.S. Gulf this summer.

Tony Rosado, a broker at GA Global Markets in New York, said the gasoline futures contract is most vulnerable to big moves from any storm-related refinery outages, since it is relatively less over-supplied than the heating oil and crude oil market, during the peak demand season.

Still, inventories of crude and petroleum products remain above five-year averages amid sluggish demand.

July-delivery reformulated gasoline blendstock futures were up 3.6 cents at $2.1295 a gallon, while July heating oil was up 2.3 cents at $2.0802 a gallon
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#132 Posted : Monday, June 28, 2010 5:53:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


Hong Kong shares ended higher Monday, led by local property firms following Sino Land's strong property sales over the weekend, while oil companies gained because of higher oil prices.

The blue-chip Hang Seng Index rose 35.89 points, or 0.2%, to 20,726.68 after trading between 20,687.27 and 20,862.38.

Market volume fell to HK$45.04 billion from HK$51.46 billion Friday.

Analysts said the market is unlikely to maintain its upward momentum ahead of Agricultural Bank of China's upcoming initial public offering as investors are worried the offering could put pressure on liquidity in the market.

Mark To, head of research at Wing Fung Financial, said he expects the index to remain in a 20,500-21,000 range this week.

'We need to be patient, as further upside will likely be limited after the index's recent rally,' he said. The benchmark index gained 2% last week.

Agricultural Bank of China, the last of China's four big state banks to go public, aims to raise as much as US$13.08 billion in the Hong Kong portion of its upcoming IPO before listing in mid-July.

The Hang Seng Property Index jumped 0.5% to 26,460.42 Monday after a report in the Standard on Monday cited an unnamed Sino Land employee as saying the developer sold nearly HK$3 billion worth of apartments at The Hermitage project on Saturday.

Sino Land rose 2.2% to HK$14.68, Sun Hung Kai Properties jumped 1.3% to HK$112.70 and New World Development ended up 1.9% at HK$13.10.

Normua analyst Paul Louie said he expects the government's auction of a prime site on The Peak in July to give a further boost to property developers.

'We reiterate our positive view on the housing market and continue to expect overall home prices to rise by 20% in 2010 and 2011 combined,' Louie said.

Oil companies gained because of strong crude prices. Cnooc advanced 2.5% to HK$13.84 and PetroChina rose 0.2% to HK$8.93.

Nymex crude oil for August delivery was up 3.0% at US$78.86 in offshore trading Friday in New York as a tropical storm moved toward Gulf of Mexico oil facilities. At 0830 GMT Monday, crude oil for August delivery was down US$0.24 at US$78.62.

Bucking the blue-chip index's rise, Chinese thermal coal companies fell after China's National Development and Reform Commission on Friday asked the country's major coal companies to keep prices stable in a bid to curb inflation as the country enters the peak electricity consumption season of summer.

China Coal dropped 6.4% to HK$10.50, Shenhua ended down 2.9% at HK$29.85 and Yanzhou Coal fell 7.2% to HK$15.74.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch lowered the three coal companies' target price by 12%-15% Monday because coal prices will likely be lower next year.

'We take a cautious stance on the near-term outlook for coal. We see increasing policy risk that the government could begin to intervene in the coal spot market should the spot price continue to rise this summer,' the bank said. -By Yvonne Lee, Dow Jones Newswires; 852-2802-7002; yvonne.lee@dowjones.com

The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#133 Posted : Thursday, July 01, 2010 2:06:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria

Depressed by the weakness seen in US stock market as well as A share market, local market opened lower today and once fell below 20,000, but bargain hunting interest emerged which helped to narrow the loss. The Hang Seng Index closed 120 points lower at 20,129 while H share index lost 70 points to 11,466. Market half day turnover reduced to HK$55.5bn. Since market talks saying that mainland will launch three network emerged into one network, China Telecom sector bucked the trend with all three telecom stocks rose mildly. For other companies, since Wednesday is the last trading day for half year end, selective domestic consumption plays performed well. Of which, Xtep(1368.HK) and Yurun(1068.HK) added 1.7% and 4.7% each.






The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#134 Posted : Thursday, July 01, 2010 7:25:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is planning to launch yuan-denominated stocks possibly later this year, the Century Weekly reported on its website Thursday, citing exchange Chairman Ronald Arculli.

Arculli didn't disclose more details on the products.

He also said the planned trial program under which Chinese financial institutions will set up yuan-denominated funds in Hong Kong for investment in China's A-share market will broaden the channel for offshore yuan deposits to be drawn back into the mainland's capital markets.

Local media have called the planned yuan funds 'little QFII' as the funds will offer offshore capital a way to invest in China's capital markets, aside from the existing Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor mechanism, under which the China Securities Regulatory Commission grants foreign investors the right to invest in the country's markets.

CSRC Vice Chairman Yao Gang said Saturday the CSRC is considering launching yuan-denominated products in Hong Kong as a larger amount of the currency has been circulating offshore since China started expanding its cross-border yuan-settlement program.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#135 Posted : Friday, July 02, 2010 9:49:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


Hong Kong shares ended at their lowest level in more than two weeks Friday following weaker-than-expected economic data from the U.S. and China, while Chalco fell sharply after it shelved an Australian project and cut the spot price of alumina.

The Hang Seng Index fell 223.67 points, or 1.1%, to 19,905.32 after hitting an intraday high of 20,161.99 in the morning. Over the week, the index fell 3.8%.

Market volume rose slightly to HK$57.86 billion from HK$55.55 billion Wednesday. Hong Kong's financial markets were closed Thursday for a public holiday.

Analysts said they expect the market to remain volatile next week because of concerns about slowing global economic growth. They said the benchmark index will likely trade between 19,000 and 21,000 this month.

'The latest economic indicators show there's a deceleration of growth in both the global and Chinese economies; economies are still growing but at slower rates,' said Wallace Lo, a fund manager at VisionGain Capital Ltd. However, he said a double-dip recession isn't likely.

In recent data to worry the market, China's official purchasing managers index, issued Thursday, fell to 52.1 in June from 53.9 in May, the second straight month of decline, while another PMI index of China, released by HSBC and Markit, fell for a third straight month to 50.4 in June from 52.7 in May.

Data issued by the U.S. overnight also showed pending home sales plunged 30% in May, while data from the Labor Department showed that the number of workers filing initial claims for jobless benefits unexpectedly rose by 13,000 to 472,000 in the week ended June 26.

Banking heavyweight HSBC fell 1.3% to HK$71.70 after concerns over the global economic recovery intensified after the U.S. home sales and jobless figures, traders said.

Concerns over fundraising plans by Bank of China pushed Chinese lenders lower. China Construction Bank slid 2.2% to HK$6.20 and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China ended down 1.7% at HK$5.6. Bank of China's shares were suspended from trading Friday.

Bank of China is looking to raise funds on the Hong Kong and Shanghai stock markets, a person familiar with the situation told Dow Jones Newswires, an unexpected move aimed at shoring up its capital base after an explosion in lending last year.

'China banks' fund-raising activities will continue to weigh on the equities market,' said Peter So, managing director at CCB International Securities. 'It's hard to see a substantial rebound in the near term as there are no positive leads to support buying interest.'

Chalco dropped 3.2% to HK$5.83 after the aluminum and alumina producer said it had shelved a plan to invest US$2.5 billion in a bauxite and alumina project in Queensland, Australia, due to soaring costs and deteriorating market conditions, and it cut its alumina spot price by 7% to CNY2,650 a metric ton.

Export-related firms also fell, with container shipping firm Cosco Pacific dropping 2.6% to HK$9.07 and fashion retailer Esprit ending down 1.1% at HK$42.00.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#136 Posted : Tuesday, July 06, 2010 7:43:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


Hong Kong shares ended higher Tuesday, driven by bargain-hunting in Chinese property developers and metals companies after the benchmark index fell for four consecutive sessions and ended at a more than three-week low Monday.

The Hang Seng Index rose 241.92 points, or 1.2%, to 20,084.12 after trading between 19,777.83 and 20,084.12 during the session.

Market volume totaled HK$46.51 billion, up from HK$39.94 billion Monday.

Analysts said some companies have fallen to attractive levels, but investors remain worried about slowing economic activity in China, which could delay the global economic recovery. They expect the index to trade between 19,500-20,500 the rest of this week.

Blue-chip property developer China Resources Land rose 3.5% to HK$14.86 after falling 7.0% over the past four sessions, and China Overseas rose 3.0% to HK$14.92 after losing 1.9% Monday.

'The recent losses (in property stocks) were overdone. I don't expect further tightening measures by the Chinese government targeting the property sector in the near term amid the economic slowdown,' said Jason Yang, director at China Eagle Asset Management Ltd.

Aluminum producer Chalco, the best performing blue-chip, rose 4.9% to HK$5.99 after losing 9.5% over the past four sessions, boosted by the company's decision to push back the deadline for its planned CNY10 billion share placement by a year to August 2011.

'The extension of the deadline could help ease selling pressure on Chalco, but weakening demand and higher raw material costs are still the key concerns and will continue to weigh on Chalco's profitability,' said Patrick Yiu, managing director of CASH Asset Management.

Yang said the Hang Seng Index is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12 times, sightly below its historical average of around 14 times. 'But there's a lack of positive leads to support strong growing momentum.'

Gains in China also helped boost the Hong Kong market, traders said. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks both A and B shares, ended up 1.9%, or 45.47 points, at 2409.42.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#137 Posted : Thursday, July 08, 2010 3:36:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria

Hong Kong shares ended higher Thursday, tracking gains in Wall Street overnight, with financial firms and energy companies leading the rise.

The blue-chip Hang Seng Index rose 193.49 points, or 1.0%, to 20,050.56 after trading between 20,002.01 and 20,236.18.

Market volume totaled HK$45.48 billion, up from HK$42.50 billion Wednesday.

Analysts said the index could test 20,300 points in the near term due to optimistic expectations about upcoming U.S. earnings reports.

'Trading sentiment will gain support from the positive earnings outlook of some U.S. corporates, and I think this may give a boost to the local bourse,' said Conita Hung, director at Delta Asia Financial Group.

Alvin Cheung, associate director at Prudential Brokerage, said it is too early to say whether the rally will persist.

'The key question is whether the trading volume will improve when the market is rallying,' he said. 'If market volume can reach HK$60 billion-HK$70 billion, signs of a market uptrend will be confirmed,' Cheung said.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.82% to 10018.28 Wednesday, its third-biggest one-day gain of the year. Financial firms, including J.P. Morgan Chase and Bank of America, led the climb, boosted by a rosy earnings forecast from State Street and as details on euro-zone bank stress tests removed some uncertainty.

Financial firms led Thursday's gains in Hong Kong, tracking the gains in their U.S. peers.

Banking heavyweight HSBC rose 2.5% to HK$73.00, Standard Chartered surged 4.5% to HK$202.00 and insurer China Life rose 1.0% to HK$34.40.

China Merchants Bank ended up 1.4% at HK$18.62 after it said its first-half net profit likely rose more than 50% from a year earlier

Energy companies gained because of higher crude oil prices. Cnooc advanced 1.3% to HK$12.86 and PetroChina rose 0.4% to HK$8.56.

At 0838 GMT, August crude oil futures were up US$0.38 at US$74.45 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

China Gas rose 1.7% to HK$4.28 after the Chinese piped gas distributor said Wednesday its net profit for its last fiscal year jumped to HK$875.64 million from HK$103.68 million partly because of higher gas sales.

'The better-than-expected results should trigger a re-rating of the stock,' UOB KayHian analyst Wang Aochao said.

'We believe it will continue to outperform the market given its defensive nature and strong growth outlook,' Wang said.

Bucking the broader market's rise, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. fell 10.2% to HK$0.53 after it confirmed Thursday it plans to sell up to HK$1.56 billion worth of new shares to its largest shareholder, Datang Telecom Technology & Industry Holdings, and other independent investors on the open market to fund a capacity expansion.



The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#138 Posted : Tuesday, July 13, 2010 5:13:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


Hong Kong shares fell Tuesday, tracking declines on China's bourses after Beijing reiterated its determination to rein in the red-hot property market, with Chinese property companies leading the decline.

The blue-chip Hang Seng Index fell 36.37 points, or 0.2%, to 20,431.06 after gaining 3.1% over the previous three sessions. It traded between 20,378.99 and 20,529.41 during the session.

Market volume totaled HK$47.28 billion, down from HK$54.30 billion Monday.

Analysts said the domestic stock market will likely be volatile, adding they expect the Hang Seng Index to trade between 19,500 and 21,000 in a near term as investors eye first-half and second-quarter China macroeconomic data due Thursday.

Alvin Cheung, associate director at Prudential Brokerage, said he expects the local index to face resistance at 21,000 in the near term.

'The local bourse is taking a breather after its latest gains, with sluggish trade also affecting regional markets,' Cheung said.

China's shares fell Tuesday after the government denied a Securities Times report Monday that cited unnamed sources as saying China had loosened some controls on mortgage lending in first-tier cities.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks both A and B shares, ended down 1.6%, or 40.43 points, at 2450.29. The Shenzhen Composite Index fell 1.4%, or 13.86 points, to 979.77.

In response to the state-run newspaper's report, China's Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development said late Monday it would strictly carry out differentiated mortgage policies to support reasonable housing consumption by households, while also resolutely curbing investment and speculative property purchases.

Mainland developers fell Tuesday on concerns over further central government intervention in the Chinese property market.

Country Garden fell 0.9% to HK$2.30, Guangzhou R&F Properties dropped 1.3% to HK$10.96, and Agile Property ended down 1.2% at HK$8.98.

'With the central government reiterating that tightening measures need to be implemented, any loosening of mortgage lending is unlikely in the next three months, particularly when prices haven't come down significantly as yet,' JPMorgan analyst Lucia Kwong said.

Zijin Mining slid 12.2% to HK$4.90 after China's biggest gold producer said Monday it suspended operations at one of its copper plants in eastern China after acidic waste water leaked from the plant following continuous heavy rainfall and killed tons of fish in the nearby Ting River.

The company said it immediately suspended production at the plant, but didn't provide an estimate of potential losses from the incident or disclose when operations could resume.

'We expect, for each month of production disruption, Zijin's FY2010 copper output to be affected by 1.7% and earnings by 0.9%,' Credit Suisse analyst Trina Chen said.

Bucking the downward trend, Cathay Pacific Airways rose 0.6% to HK$15.60 after the carrier said it carried 27.5% more passengers in June than in the same month a year earlier, as international air traffic continued to rise in tandem with the global economic recovery. -By Yvonne Lee, Dow Jones Newswires; 852-2802-7002; yvonne.lee@dowjones.com

The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
PKoli
#139 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 4:37:37 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
@Mzee Young,

Interesting posts and experience. I totally concur, it pays to diversify. On a difernt note, you should take up your KCB rights!
young
#140 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 4:55:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,075
Location: Lagos, Nigeria


The blue-chip Hang Seng Index fell 305.19 points, or 1.5%, to 20,255.62 after trading between 20,226.26 and 20,665.62 during the session.

Market volume rose to HK$55.64 billion from HK$54.81 billion Wednesday.

Analysts said they expect the index to trade in a range of 19,800 and 21,000 points for the rest of the month.

'The Hong Kong market just followed weakness in China,' said Ben Kwong, associate director at KGI Asia.

'Investors focused on two things today: the slowing growth trend in China even though inflation was not that alarming; and AgBank's debut, which was also slightly disappointing,' he said.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index ended down 1.9% at 2424.30, dragged lower by Agricultural Bank of China's weak debut and economic data, which showed weaker-than-expected gross domestic product growth. Lower-than-expected growth in June's consumer price index eased near-term rate hike concerns but wasn't enough to reverse the benchmark index's losses.

China's second-quarter gross domestic product rose 10.3% from a year earlier, slowing from the first quarter's 11.9% growth and falling below market expectations of a 10.5% increase.

The country's consumer price index rose 2.9% in June, easing from May's 3.1% rise and well below economists' expectations of a 3.3% increase.

Agricultural Bank of China, the last of China's big four state banks to float shares, ended 0.8% higher at CNY2.70 from its CNY2.68 initial public offering price. Analysts had expected the bank to rise by 5% to 10% on its debut in Shanghai.

Banks led the decline in Hong Kong, with ICBC finishing 2.4% lower at HK$5.74, Bank of China dropping 2.4% to HK$4.04, and Bank of Communications shedding 1.9% to HK$8.50.

'AgBank's weak debut has led to falls in H-share banks; I think the local market will extend weakness as the H-share debut of AgBank is not expected to be appealing either,' said Alvin Cheung, associate director at Prudential Brokerage
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
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