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directional forecast
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karasinga
#1341 Posted : Thursday, June 08, 2017 10:50:36 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Horton wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
[quote=Horton]@karasinga what do u have on KCB and KNRE?

Hello Horton. nice meeting you. welcome to directional forecast. Kindly check KCBand here (still valid) and KNRE update. Almost there... high confluence around 17.5

feel free to post and best wishes. Trade what you see
have you noted KNRE has spiked to 17.5? loving this... DO YOU DUE DILIGENCE. remember disclaimer. best wishes

Great thanks

@ metasploit... still valid
@ Horton. You are welcome. Hope you are enjoying the ride.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, June 08, 2017 10:56 AM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#1342 Posted : Thursday, June 08, 2017 11:05:49 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Angelica _ann wrote:
Any TA on CFCI

still valid
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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karasinga
#1343 Posted : Thursday, June 08, 2017 11:17:51 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Angelica _ann wrote:
Any TA on Panafr

@ angelic_ann et al.
Ponder overthis as update loads later...... away from my PC. In the meantime time, think in line of bullish gartely in the making.
best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, June 08, 2017 1:18 PM | Reason: Not specified
karasinga
#1344 Posted : Thursday, June 08, 2017 11:54:15 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Looks like we have a full house. 25 viewing and not posting. Some new names have also started showing up... Guys feel free to post as we learn together. hope there is value here.
best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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hisah
#1345 Posted : Thursday, June 08, 2017 7:05:24 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Mukiri wrote:
hisah wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
hisah wrote:
Spikes wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:

Also consider doing TA for ARM!!!

Hello Angelica _ann. Have a look at what I am seeing and my thought process on the chart. I concur with sparkly. Fundamental gurus are highly welcome to bring their side of the story.

hope this will help.
note: remember disclaimer
best wishes

think market marker and insiders have something here up their sleeves

due you do diligence and remember disclaimer
best wishes

A month later price action still stuck here. Dojis continue forming on the weekly and monthly chart. Accumulation?

Loaded some this week. Aggressive play. Think

Tough obstacle starts from 24 all the way to 30 handle. My expectation is the bear has overcooked the bad news so if FY comes out are burnt food the price will edge up! Any positive news will boost the resistance breakout.


Pray for positive FY news. If negative a new breakout south is most likely to demote your expectations.

@ spikes. You are right on that a false break out south is a possibility.Technically, bulls have had a laboured move north which tells me bears are still present. But on "praying".... NO NO NO. We don't hope/pray in this business. It is either there are reasons to engage or not.
@ hisah. quoting Mark douglas
"You must learn to trust your edge. The edge means there is a higher probability of one outcome than another out of 100 trades. The greater your confidence, the easier it will be to execute your trades"... you are doing well mate as long as you are following your trading plan. happy hunting

@karasinga, this is an aggressive play (risky). Not recommended as an investment move, but as a trading the news front running speculative move.

@spikes, NMG went to the pits as it crashed towards 70 handle. A nice risky play from that pit. I see the same with ARM since the bears have been struggling with lower lows since Feb. Waiting for that upside run smile

2 weeks later the news front running is playing out as expected as the first barrier at 24 handle is blown away. April 30th is almost here where is the FY news? I still expect bad news to be bought based on the monthly doji candles on the monthly chart which had the highest volume in a decade that appeared in February this year!


Let's wait and see if market makers wanna swim north against the current .

The news is out and Mr market has interesting price action. The huge gap down (on thin vol) still respected the 18 - 20 level where we got the huge vol spike in February. In a few weeks we will see if this is a shake test before 30 handle can be tested! I know this will fly against the FY news, but Mr market is one weird character smile

@Hisah, your risky ARM is almost back to where it was. What do you reckon next? And hopefully in what timeframe?

Nothing has changed as per my expectation. I can't predict the timescale for the upside move, but likely to do so in coming weeks.

Target?

30 for now.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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karasinga
#1346 Posted : Friday, June 09, 2017 5:45:44 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Any TA on Panafr

@ angelic_ann et al.
Ponder overthis as update loads later...... away from my PC. In the meantime time, think in line of bullish gartely in the making.
best wishes

It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Angelica _ann
#1347 Posted : Friday, June 09, 2017 5:47:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Any TA on Panafr

@ angelic_ann et al.
Ponder overthis as update loads later...... away from my PC. In the meantime time, think in line of bullish gartely in the making.
best wishes



Thanks man!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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karasinga
#1348 Posted : Friday, June 09, 2017 9:32:06 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Any TA on Panafr

@ angelic_ann et al.
Ponder overthis as update loads later...... away from my PC. In the meantime time, think in line of bullish gartely in the making.
best wishes



Thanks man!!!

You are most welcome Angelica _ ann.
Remember:
1. A leg south that will follow is very important. (in term of volume , momentum and PA break down)
2. Price between 24 and 20.5 will be 'pure' value.
3. Around 36 might be the next "temporary" stop.
4. Anything can happen.
5. don't be surprised if market markers whack price to scare.
6. When you make money, I won't mind a cup of coffee at java smile no kidding.
7. Lastly, disclaimer
Best wishes.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, June 09, 2017 10:07 AM | Reason: Not specified
hisah
#1349 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 1:47:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
NMG UPDATE. prior analysis here

I dont want us to be fooled by this market again. "punda ameshoka"Not talking what did I just say?...
best wishes

Price action to the T.

70-75 zone held on retest after the initial price reaction rejected further selling pressure past the 70 handle a few weeks back. This was GFC lows level which was expected to reject selling pressure with vigor. The rebound should have some legs before running out of steam around 120 handle where we have the 50-day EMA as well as the psychological resistance at the 100 handle level will be another tough challenge to contend with.

Cum dividend the counter couldn't scale above the 120 handle resistance. Today it's exdiv. Let's see if the psychological support at 100 handle will absorb the selling pressure this week.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1350 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 1:53:45 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
@karasinga please post any developments on KQ chart.
thanks

Hello Mkate_nusu
KQ is at a strategic place("on the run way") on the chart indicating sky is the limit.
Technical reasons.
1. Price in the Golden zone
2. Price has just reacted on a very strong demand zone.(check my chart)
3. Presence of a hidden divergence- denoting continuation on the prior rally
4. Very little volume during the correction.
5. Low of 4.6 might have achieved wave 2.
The list goes on and on. Enough of this... let us look at the chart

expectation
If this is wave 2 then
Wave 3 = either 1.62 x length of Wave 1(10.4)
or 2.62 x length of Wave 1(14.8)
or 4.25 x length of Wave 1(22)
The most common multiples are 1.62 and 2.62. However, if the 3rd Wave is an extended wave, then 2.62 and 4.25 ratios are more common.
Hope this is helpful.
best wishes.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

@karasinga, the chart will need a review. If the price closes below 5.50 this week, the reversal will be in progress.

The no bid scenario reminds me of the banking rate cap shock event. Market makers are busy here. Huge sell orders but a trickle getting sold Think
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Monday, June 12, 2017 2:00 PM | Reason: Not specified
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