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411 on dividend and AGM
Ericsson
#1241 Posted : Sunday, July 10, 2022 8:01:05 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
FY 2022 Dividend Estimates
Some eg Centum (YE Mar 22) will likely be paid in 2022.
Some eg C&G (YE Sep 22) may pay in late 2022 or early 2023
Others eg SCBK and BAT (YE Dec 22) will pay an interim in 2022 and the final in 2023.

BAT 55 (5+50)
SCBK 20 (5+15)
C&G 2 (post-bonus)
CARB 1.50 (incl Special Dividend)
Longhorn 0.25
Centum 1.20
ABSA 1.25 (0.25+1)
Equity 5
KenyaRe 0.20
I&M 1.75
DTB 5

I will update the above as results are released.

Centum by 31 July
1H for banks + BAT by 31 Aug
Carbacid by 31 Oct
C&G by 31 Dec
KenyaRe 1H by 30 Sep
Longhorn by 30 Sep

Please add to this list dates of results release and estimates of dividends for other firms.
Also if you think my estimates are off, please indicate why and what.


Centum I don't see them paying dividend this year.The Sidian sale transaction happened after close of FY22.
The full year results to be released in July will be a widened loss compared to HY.

Equity at best ksh.3.50-4,working with 30% dividend payout.
On Centum, I disagree, the blowback will be huge if they do not pay a dividend for FY22. The DPP is at least 1.20 and they didn't follow through last year. The share price touched 9.40 today.

On Equity, they will want to beat FY21 but I agree there is a lot of pressure on retaining funds. That said DRC is mostly a $ market and that will translate well into KES profits. Will they have leeway to distribute is another matter.



Centum giving dividend of ksh.1.2 when they release Full year results later this month is over ambitious.Ksh.1.2 translates to ksh.800mn.
I don't see where Centum will get this money.
If there will be any dividend at best it will be ksh.0.3
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#1242 Posted : Monday, July 11, 2022 11:19:52 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
FY 2022 Dividend Estimates
Some eg Centum (YE Mar 22) will likely be paid in 2022.
Some eg C&G (YE Sep 22) may pay in late 2022 or early 2023
Others eg SCBK and BAT (YE Dec 22) will pay an interim in 2022 and the final in 2023.

BAT 55 (5+50)
SCBK 20 (5+15)
C&G 2 (post-bonus)
CARB 1.50 (incl Special Dividend)
Longhorn 0.25
Centum 1.20
ABSA 1.25 (0.25+1)
Equity 5
KenyaRe 0.20
I&M 1.75
DTB 5

I will update the above as results are released.

Centum by 31 July
1H for banks + BAT by 31 Aug
Carbacid by 31 Oct
C&G by 31 Dec
KenyaRe 1H by 30 Sep
Longhorn by 30 Sep

Please add to this list dates of results release and estimates of dividends for other firms.
Also if you think my estimates are off, please indicate why and what.


Centum I don't see them paying dividend this year.The Sidian sale transaction happened after close of FY22.
The full year results to be released in July will be a widened loss compared to HY.

Equity at best ksh.3.50-4,working with 30% dividend payout.
On Centum, I disagree, the blowback will be huge if they do not pay a dividend for FY22. The DPP is at least 1.20 and they didn't follow through last year. The share price touched 9.40 today.

On Equity, they will want to beat FY21 but I agree there is a lot of pressure on retaining funds. That said DRC is mostly a $ market and that will translate well into KES profits. Will they have leeway to distribute is another matter.



Centum giving dividend of ksh.1.2 when they release Full year results later this month is over ambitious.Ksh.1.2 translates to ksh.800mn.
I don't see where Centum will get this money.
If there will be any dividend at best it will be ksh.0.3
Let's wait. Less than 20 days left before results are out.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
watesh
#1243 Posted : Monday, July 11, 2022 10:10:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 992
Location: Kenya
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
FY 2022 Dividend Estimates
Some eg Centum (YE Mar 22) will likely be paid in 2022.
Some eg C&G (YE Sep 22) may pay in late 2022 or early 2023
Others eg SCBK and BAT (YE Dec 22) will pay an interim in 2022 and the final in 2023.

BAT 55 (5+50)
SCBK 20 (5+15)
C&G 2 (post-bonus)
CARB 1.50 (incl Special Dividend)
Longhorn 0.25
Centum 1.20
ABSA 1.25 (0.25+1)
Equity 5
KenyaRe 0.20
I&M 1.75
DTB 5

I will update the above as results are released.

Centum by 31 July
1H for banks + BAT by 31 Aug
Carbacid by 31 Oct
C&G by 31 Dec
KenyaRe 1H by 30 Sep
Longhorn by 30 Sep

Please add to this list dates of results release and estimates of dividends for other firms.
Also if you think my estimates are off, please indicate why and what.


Centum I don't see them paying dividend this year.The Sidian sale transaction happened after close of FY22.
The full year results to be released in July will be a widened loss compared to HY.

Equity at best ksh.3.50-4,working with 30% dividend payout.
On Centum, I disagree, the blowback will be huge if they do not pay a dividend for FY22. The DPP is at least 1.20 and they didn't follow through last year. The share price touched 9.40 today.

On Equity, they will want to beat FY21 but I agree there is a lot of pressure on retaining funds. That said DRC is mostly a $ market and that will translate well into KES profits. Will they have leeway to distribute is another matter.



Centum giving dividend of ksh.1.2 when they release Full year results later this month is over ambitious.Ksh.1.2 translates to ksh.800mn.
I don't see where Centum will get this money.
If there will be any dividend at best it will be ksh.0.3
Let's wait. Less than 20 days left before results are out.


For Centum it's 30% of investment income. As at half-year investment income was at Ksh1 bn so dividend allocation is Ksh300m. So far roughly we are at 0.45 per share. Centum Re will be the big determinant if we get past that 1 bob mark.
VituVingiSana
#1244 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2022 7:36:50 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
watesh wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
FY 2022 Dividend Estimates
Some eg Centum (YE Mar 22) will likely be paid in 2022.
Some eg C&G (YE Sep 22) may pay in late 2022 or early 2023
Others eg SCBK and BAT (YE Dec 22) will pay an interim in 2022 and the final in 2023.

BAT 55 (5+50)
SCBK 20 (5+15)
C&G 2 (post-bonus)
CARB 1.50 (incl Special Dividend)
Longhorn 0.25
Centum 1.20
ABSA 1.25 (0.25+1)
Equity 5
KenyaRe 0.20
I&M 1.75
DTB 5

I will update the above as results are released.

Centum by 31 July
1H for banks + BAT by 31 Aug
Carbacid by 31 Oct
C&G by 31 Dec
KenyaRe 1H by 30 Sep
Longhorn by 30 Sep

Please add to this list dates of results release and estimates of dividends for other firms.
Also if you think my estimates are off, please indicate why and what.


Centum I don't see them paying dividend this year.The Sidian sale transaction happened after close of FY22.
The full year results to be released in July will be a widened loss compared to HY.

Equity at best ksh.3.50-4,working with 30% dividend payout.
On Centum, I disagree, the blowback will be huge if they do not pay a dividend for FY22. The DPP is at least 1.20 and they didn't follow through last year. The share price touched 9.40 today.

On Equity, they will want to beat FY21 but I agree there is a lot of pressure on retaining funds. That said DRC is mostly a $ market and that will translate well into KES profits. Will they have leeway to distribute is another matter.



Centum giving dividend of ksh.1.2 when they release Full year results later this month is over ambitious.Ksh.1.2 translates to ksh.800mn.
I don't see where Centum will get this money.
If there will be any dividend at best it will be ksh.0.3
Let's wait. Less than 20 days left before results are out.


For Centum it's 30% of investment income. As at half-year investment income was at Ksh1 bn so dividend allocation is Ksh300m. So far roughly we are at 0.45 per share. Centum Re will be the big determinant if we get past that 1 bob mark.
I know they didn't come through with 1.20 last year but paid 0.30 though not bad given many firms didn't pay at all!

There's more to the Dividend Policy than what you quoted.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
watesh
#1245 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2022 8:22:16 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 992
Location: Kenya
VituVingiSana wrote:
watesh wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
FY 2022 Dividend Estimates
Some eg Centum (YE Mar 22) will likely be paid in 2022.
Some eg C&G (YE Sep 22) may pay in late 2022 or early 2023
Others eg SCBK and BAT (YE Dec 22) will pay an interim in 2022 and the final in 2023.

BAT 55 (5+50)
SCBK 20 (5+15)
C&G 2 (post-bonus)
CARB 1.50 (incl Special Dividend)
Longhorn 0.25
Centum 1.20
ABSA 1.25 (0.25+1)
Equity 5
KenyaRe 0.20
I&M 1.75
DTB 5

I will update the above as results are released.

Centum by 31 July
1H for banks + BAT by 31 Aug
Carbacid by 31 Oct
C&G by 31 Dec
KenyaRe 1H by 30 Sep
Longhorn by 30 Sep

Please add to this list dates of results release and estimates of dividends for other firms.
Also if you think my estimates are off, please indicate why and what.


Centum I don't see them paying dividend this year.The Sidian sale transaction happened after close of FY22.
The full year results to be released in July will be a widened loss compared to HY.

Equity at best ksh.3.50-4,working with 30% dividend payout.
On Centum, I disagree, the blowback will be huge if they do not pay a dividend for FY22. The DPP is at least 1.20 and they didn't follow through last year. The share price touched 9.40 today.

On Equity, they will want to beat FY21 but I agree there is a lot of pressure on retaining funds. That said DRC is mostly a $ market and that will translate well into KES profits. Will they have leeway to distribute is another matter.



Centum giving dividend of ksh.1.2 when they release Full year results later this month is over ambitious.Ksh.1.2 translates to ksh.800mn.
I don't see where Centum will get this money.
If there will be any dividend at best it will be ksh.0.3
Let's wait. Less than 20 days left before results are out.


For Centum it's 30% of investment income. As at half-year investment income was at Ksh1 bn so dividend allocation is Ksh300m. So far roughly we are at 0.45 per share. Centum Re will be the big determinant if we get past that 1 bob mark.
I know they didn't come through with 1.20 last year but paid 0.30 though not bad given many firms didn't pay at all!

There's more to the Dividend Policy than what you quoted.


Its just a simple as that. Things like capital gains, shareholder loan repayments and proceeds from disposal are not put into consideration in the dividend pot.
Ericsson
#1246 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2022 8:03:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
BAT 2022
Interim dividend ksh.5
Book closure 12 August 2022
Payment date 16 September 2022
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#1247 Posted : Wednesday, July 20, 2022 12:31:21 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
BAT 2022
Interim dividend ksh.5
Book closure 12 August 2022
Payment date 16 September 2022

If BAT matches the performance of 2H2021 (and no reason why it cannot) then another 50 for the final for a total of 55
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kenyan2019
#1248 Posted : Monday, July 25, 2022 2:22:54 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/30/2018
Posts: 94
Any update on Total Kenya?
VituVingiSana
#1249 Posted : Tuesday, July 26, 2022 7:52:27 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
watesh wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
watesh wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
FY 2022 Dividend Estimates
Some eg Centum (YE Mar 22) will likely be paid in 2022.
Some eg C&G (YE Sep 22) may pay in late 2022 or early 2023
Others eg SCBK and BAT (YE Dec 22) will pay an interim in 2022 and the final in 2023.

BAT 55 (5+50)
SCBK 20 (5+15)
C&G 2 (post-bonus)
CARB 1.50 (incl Special Dividend)
Longhorn 0.25
Centum 1.20
ABSA 1.25 (0.25+1)
Equity 5
KenyaRe 0.20
I&M 1.75
DTB 5

I will update the above as results are released.

Centum by 31 July
1H for banks + BAT by 31 Aug
Carbacid by 31 Oct
C&G by 31 Dec
KenyaRe 1H by 30 Sep
Longhorn by 30 Sep

Please add to this list dates of results release and estimates of dividends for other firms.
Also if you think my estimates are off, please indicate why and what.


Centum I don't see them paying dividend this year.The Sidian sale transaction happened after close of FY22.
The full year results to be released in July will be a widened loss compared to HY.

Equity at best ksh.3.50-4,working with 30% dividend payout.
On Centum, I disagree, the blowback will be huge if they do not pay a dividend for FY22. The DPP is at least 1.20 and they didn't follow through last year. The share price touched 9.40 today.

On Equity, they will want to beat FY21 but I agree there is a lot of pressure on retaining funds. That said DRC is mostly a $ market and that will translate well into KES profits. Will they have leeway to distribute is another matter.



Centum giving dividend of ksh.1.2 when they release Full year results later this month is over ambitious.Ksh.1.2 translates to ksh.800mn.
I don't see where Centum will get this money.
If there will be any dividend at best it will be ksh.0.3
Let's wait. Less than 20 days left before results are out.


For Centum it's 30% of investment income. As at half-year investment income was at Ksh1 bn so dividend allocation is Ksh300m. So far roughly we are at 0.45 per share. Centum Re will be the big determinant if we get past that 1 bob mark.
I know they didn't come through with 1.20 last year but paid 0.30 though not bad given many firms didn't pay at all!

There's more to the Dividend Policy than what you quoted.


Its just a simple as that. Things like capital gains, shareholder loan repayments and proceeds from disposal are not put into consideration in the dividend pot.


I was wrong.

Under Centum 4.0, the Board's policy communicated to shareholders was a "dividend pay-out to the higher of 30% of cash annuity income (excluding capital gains) and the previous year’s dividend pay-out" therefore I expected at least KES 1.20/share given 1.20 was what was paid for FY20 but instead FY21 was 0.30 now 0.578
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
My 2 cents
#1250 Posted : Tuesday, July 26, 2022 3:26:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,089
Was Centum's pivot away from the cooling real estate sector too late? Will they be kicking themselves for not being more stock aggressive during the NSE bear market 2015 - 20??
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