A little more info:
Most (if not all OMCs) have refused to use KPRL as a refiner after 30th June 2013. The refinery will not have clients yet they owe 7bn (or more) to the OMCs according to Deloitte. As expected, KPRL has rejected the findings of the report.
KK took the Shs 1.2bn in product as an offset against the Shs 3.1bn. So KK needs to wait another 19 days & then the KPRL issue goes away i.e. they need not buy from KPRL. KK will be short Shs 1.9bn but they have gone to court to demand that amount.
In the meantime, KK can use Shimanzi to import what they need. They can also pay other OMCs for hospitality agreements & buy products from other OMCs at a fee. KK will have to shift exports to EAC away from Kenya to Tanzania but with the new Terminal in Dar that is not a problem.
So exports to Rwanda & parts of Uganda can be supplied via Dar not Mombasa. Eastern Uganda (supplied through Kenya) is a tough market for them due to untaxed imports so it might not be bothered.
That leaves Kenya where KK's market share will drop but the profitability can increase when it doesn't have to buy from KPRL. And this matter will come to a head in 19 days. The big question is whether KK will go dry in 19 days?
“All marketers have not signed the off-take agreements for next month,” said a chief executive of one of the major nine companies that control 86.4 per cent shareOil Industry Supply Coordination Committee, wrote a joint letter to the Government demanding efficiencies at the refinery. They also demanded compensation of Sh7 billion arising from operational inefficiencies at the facility following an audit report by Deloitte that has nonetheless been disowned by KPRL.“The costs get even higher as Kenya Revenue Authority only manages to honour Sh12 billion out of (an estimated) Sh19 billion in VAT refunds,” said another CEO.On May 21, for instance, over 96,000 of the 233,000 cubic meters of fuel at Kenya Pipeline Company’s storage facility at Kipevu was found to have been lying there for more than 21 days. “Why license firms when they don’t have evacuation capacity.”Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett