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Stocksmaster.............1st Quarter Strategy
sentinel prime
#101 Posted : Friday, January 04, 2013 7:10:40 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 11/12/2012
Posts: 92
stocksmaster wrote:
the deal wrote:
Bull being fattened before slaughter I think...but things going horribly wrong at the moment for cash investorssmile


I prefer to hold cash...........time to multiply cash will come. It is times like this that i let my gut instinct (enteric nervous system) rule. The cow does indeed look fat enough for slaughter........

Happy Hunting.


I like the way this feels.

the rally is mainly due to fed easing...and the foreigners are in buying mode.stock markets rise due to easy money ...add the January effect and we have enough reason.

always remember in behavioral finance stockd rise in pessimism and fall in optimism.

the VIX index has remained pretty flat the whole of 2012 at about 20s showing that investors are not a worried lot.Things are easy like sunday morning. The cliff doesn't seem to worry the bulls and the short sellers are being squeezed with remarkable efficiency.

VIX reading has recently plunged by record levels,showing complacency and optimism .....big things are about to happen...
S.Mutaga III
#102 Posted : Friday, January 04, 2013 8:11:28 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
Every season has its own unique opportunities.Every time investors say ''this time its different''...whereas things turn out the same always. Money is at stake and my gut feeling tells me that as soon as companies announce their full year results especially banks and books close, were heading south...its does no harm holding cash.Meanwhile,I am searching for an investment that can be done with little sums of money e.g 5,000 that is not related to the stock market or forex
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
sparkly
#103 Posted : Friday, January 04, 2013 11:39:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
While we are at it... What are the chances that 2013 could give us a "Black Swan event"? For the uninitiated, a black swan event is a low probability, high impact occurence. For instance, instead of the nse ranging between 3100-5000, it could shoot to 10,000 or collapse altogether!
Life is short. Live passionately.
mwekez@ji
#104 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 12:14:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Week 1: smile

>Advance/Decline ratio 38/8 - strong buying sentiment

>Four counters hit 52-week high in first week of trade

http://www.businessdailyafrica....18/-/dthe4n/-/index.html

.... karibu week 2
Cde Monomotapa
#105 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 1:19:26 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
My approach is simple so as to not jam my thoughts is separate the known from the unknown. Thus, leveraging on a likely broad peaceful election (pocket violence allowed), thereafter deal with the unknown propaganda. That way I can make more bucks & be better placed to respond to allegations/propaganda & or 'sky is falling' type stuff later.
Cde Monomotapa
#106 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 1:22:55 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
^While at it, is to await to be entertained by the U.S debt ceiling circus (& sneaking in more austerity measures) in late Feb, early March.
sentinel prime
#107 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 1:43:24 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 11/12/2012
Posts: 92
the Fed has hinted this week that it might stop QE...interest rates are rising.

The S&P is at 5 years high.

be flexible in your thinking ....look for a top as the maverick hedge funds pile on the shorts...

as it stands now I can bet on a correction of a 10-15% magnitude...but if the thing takes off its silly not to ride the bucking bronco even here at the NSE.

I like Livermore's statement that there is neither bull nor bear to the stock market, but the right side.

you never want to be the dude that cries bear! bear! when the market is rising ....but you have to be damn paranoid with the VIX at 14 ...there is data to show a sharp sell off usually ensues after the fear index plunges below 20.

Mukiri
#108 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 2:07:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
sentinel prime wrote:
the Fed has hinted this week that it might stop QE...interest rates are rising.

The S&P is at 5 years high.

be flexible in your thinking ....look for a top as the maverick hedge funds pile on the shorts...

as it stands now I can bet on a correction of a 10-15% magnitude...but if the thing takes off its silly not to ride the bucking bronco even here at the NSE.

I like Livermore's statement that there is neither bull nor bear to the stock market, but the right side.

you never want to be the dude that cries bear! bear! when the market is rising ....but you have to be damn paranoid with the VIX at 14 ...there is data to show a sharp sell off usually ensues after the fear index plunges below 20.



Sad In simple english please

Proverbs 19:21
guru267
#109 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 4:45:52 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
sentinel prime wrote:
the Fed has hinted this week that it might stop QE...interest rates are rising.

The S&P is at 5 years high.

be flexible in your thinking ....look for a top as the maverick hedge funds pile on the shorts...

as it stands now I can bet on a correction of a 10-15% magnitude...but if the thing takes off its silly not to ride the bucking bronco even here at the NSE.

I like Livermore's statement that there is neither bull nor bear to the stock market, but the right side.

you never want to be the dude that cries bear! bear! when the market is rising ....but you have to be damn paranoid with the VIX at 14 ...there is data to show a sharp sell off usually ensues after the fear index plunges below 20.



My thoughts exactly smile
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
murchr
#110 Posted : Saturday, January 05, 2013 4:52:47 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
A quick one...where are the majority of foreigners from EU, US, REST OF AFRICA OR ASIA?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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