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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#2121 Posted : Monday, December 17, 2012 4:18:30 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Is EURUSD about to produce a triple top?



Critical levels here - either a huge breakout or a huge breakdown. But not likely to happen now with the thin trading volumes.

The dollar index (DXY) momentum is slowing and turning bearish. The weekly US bonds index is also neutral as per bollinger bands. Breakout means the USD rallies and stocks selloff while the opposite applies. By January we will know which side influences the trend.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2122 Posted : Monday, December 17, 2012 4:20:59 PM
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Next year the yen is going to get it in the chin as per chart patterns across multiple crosses. I expect the yen to be a short the 1st half of 2013 before reaching overtended selling extremes.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2123 Posted : Tuesday, December 18, 2012 5:50:06 PM
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hisah wrote:
Next year the yen is going to get it in the chin as per chart patterns across multiple crosses. I expect the yen to be a short the 1st half of 2013 before reaching overtended selling extremes.


Japan’s NO EXIT Strategy - http://www.businessinsid...o-exit-strategy-2012-12
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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dave.kim
#2124 Posted : Tuesday, December 18, 2012 10:59:06 PM
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Joined: 6/25/2010
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hisah wrote:
Is EURUSD about to produce a triple top?


looks like it was a cup n handle
Rule No.1 is never lose money. Rule No.2 is never forget rule number one
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hisah
#2125 Posted : Thursday, January 17, 2013 6:42:41 AM
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USDZAR - pending breakout.



GBPCHF - pending breakout of falling trendline channel hinting trend reversal soon.



$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Mkimwa
#2126 Posted : Thursday, January 17, 2013 7:03:12 AM
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hisah wrote:


GBPCHF - pending breakout of falling trendline channel hinting trend reversal soon.





why not a continuation of the trend?
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hisah
#2127 Posted : Thursday, January 17, 2013 11:14:17 AM
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Mkimwa wrote:
hisah wrote:


GBPCHF - pending breakout of falling trendline channel hinting trend reversal soon.





why not a continuation of the trend?

The chart shows no new lower lows. The current price is also testing the falling trendline before the breakout.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ceinz
#2128 Posted : Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:35:09 AM
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Joined: 5/7/2009
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Location: Sea of Transquility
Twelve of The Biggest Trading Losses in History
http://newtraderu.com/?p=3072
“small step for man”
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James Jailer
#2129 Posted : Sunday, January 20, 2013 2:35:36 PM
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Joined: 5/6/2012
Posts: 8
The past one week has been depressing for me as far as CHF pairs are concerned. Take GBPCHF pair for example; I was forced to adopt a pseudo Martingale strategy because the bloody pair kept on going up whilst my analysis pointed to the opposite direction. Friday's close helped to calm my nerves somewhat but next week will inform a decision, whether to keep or close my positions. Hoping for a windfall. Happy pipping all.
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hisah
#2130 Posted : Friday, January 25, 2013 9:55:10 PM
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Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Mkimwa wrote:
hisah wrote:


GBPCHF - pending breakout of falling trendline channel hinting trend reversal soon.





why not a continuation of the trend?

The chart shows no new lower lows. The current price is also testing the falling trendline before the breakout.

A week later CHF bulls prove they're still in control as GBPCHF breaks the Dec 2012 low confirming bear trend continuation. @Mkimwa hope you are still in your bear trade. My breakout trade didn't trigger, but got triggered on USDZAR on breakout @8.85.


Mean while USDZAR broke out and test 9.00. Further weakens expected on the rand.

USDJPY has now surpassed 91.00 confirming that 100 is the next big figure target. Further weakens expected on the yen.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Mukiri
#2131 Posted : Friday, January 25, 2013 11:43:53 PM
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Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
How I wish I knew this gameSad High risks and quick money are in my DNA.. pole pole tu

Proverbs 19:21
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kaifastus
#2132 Posted : Saturday, January 26, 2013 12:13:05 AM
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Joined: 8/17/2011
Posts: 207
Location: humu humu
Mukiri wrote:
How I wish I knew this gameSad High risks and quick money are in my DNA.. pole pole tu

oh you woudnt wish that my friend..its a casino, sometimes even polished investors lose large sums!
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hisah
#2133 Posted : Saturday, January 26, 2013 7:09:50 AM
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kaifastus wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
How I wish I knew this gameSad High risks and quick money are in my DNA.. pole pole tu

oh you woudnt wish that my friend..its a casino, sometimes even polished investors lose large sums!

High stake volatility casino. Many investors burn due to risk management indiscipline. And it takes years to produce consistent results. If you cant stand seeing your investment get wiped out, stick to equity.
Another high stakes casino is binary options.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ceinz
#2134 Posted : Saturday, January 26, 2013 7:58:28 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
kaifastus wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
How I wish I knew this gameSad High risks and quick money are in my DNA.. pole pole tu

oh you woudnt wish that my friend..its a casino, sometimes even polished investors lose large sums!

High stake volatility casino. Many investors burn due to risk management indiscipline. And it takes years to produce consistent results. If you cant stand seeing your investment get wiped out, stick to equity.
Another high stakes casino is binary options.


Feel welcome, but drop that gambler mentality.Be prepared to learn. As already pointed out it will take time b4 u start getting consistent returns.
“small step for man”
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Ceinz
#2135 Posted : Saturday, January 26, 2013 8:39:32 AM
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Spot Gold.

Long around 1650, sl 1620. Target 1 1830. Target 2 1900.

This is a weekly chart. Patience required.


“small step for man”
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dave.kim
#2136 Posted : Saturday, January 26, 2013 9:00:25 PM
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Joined: 6/25/2010
Posts: 176
Ceinz wrote:
Spot Gold.

Long around 1650, sl 1620. Target 1 1830. Target 2 1900.

This is a weekly chart. Patience required.



@Ceinz i doubt this qualifies as a cup n handle. Been holding a gold long since August though. I got in at your weekly support but the swap is killing me!!
Rule No.1 is never lose money. Rule No.2 is never forget rule number one
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Ceinz
#2137 Posted : Saturday, January 26, 2013 9:21:27 PM
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Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
dave.kim wrote:

@Ceinz i doubt this qualifies as a cup n handle. Been holding a gold long since August though. I got in at your weekly support but the swap is killing me!!


Whaa! August? ur good. Sorry for the swaps. This is just my long term look, though I know I cant hold a trade for that long. Im looking at longing at the current level once a bull move is confirmed and hold till around 1720 where I anticipate a significant retrace and buy the dip. pole pole hivyo till the ultimate target.
“small step for man”
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hisah
#2138 Posted : Friday, February 01, 2013 6:33:10 AM
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Out of the USDZAR long position with a measly profit. Breakout move above 9.00 not working as planned. Sidelined for now.

@ceinz,dave - PMs have traded sideways for too long while global equities race back to pre GFC levels as $, € and ¥ are flooded globally! This printing spree should be boosting PMs just like equities, but nothing doing d'oh! Stinks of manipulation, which is no longer a conspiracy theory...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ceinz
#2139 Posted : Friday, February 01, 2013 7:34:33 AM
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Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Out of the USDZAR long position with a measly profit. Breakout move above 9.00 not working as planned. Sidelined for now.

@ceinz,dave - PMs have traded sideways for too long while global equities race back to pre GFC levels as $, € and ¥ are flooded globally! This printing spree should be boosting PMs just like equities, but nothing doing d'oh! Stinks of manipulation, which is no longer a conspiracy theory...


Crazy moves being posted on euro and yen and yes they are sure going back to pre GFC levels. Yes quite funny that PMs don't show any reactions as expected. Anyway instead of sitting and waiting my focus will now shift to weekly pullbacks on eur/jpy.
“small step for man”
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Ceinz
#2140 Posted : Friday, February 01, 2013 5:26:00 PM
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Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
Out of the USDZAR long position with a measly profit. Breakout move above 9.00 not working as planned. Sidelined for now.

@ceinz,dave - PMs have traded sideways for too long while global equities race back to pre GFC levels as $, € and ¥ are flooded globally! This printing spree should be boosting PMs just like equities, but nothing doing d'oh! Stinks of manipulation, which is no longer a conspiracy theory...


Crazy moves being posted on euro and yen and yes they are sure going back to pre GFC levels. Yes quite funny that PMs don't show any reactions as expected. Anyway instead of sitting and waiting my focus will now shift to weekly pullbacks on eur/jpy.


Gold finally showing some life after NFP.
“small step for man”
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