mlennyma wrote:I would laugh if puma pays 16 or develops last minute cold feet.
At 16, I would keep my shares
coz I am confident KK will get to 16 without any help from Puma by early 2014. I can wait 18 months. And even get a dividend along the way.
1) Real estate KK owns including the huge piece in Addis. The government in ET has changed peacefully. I expect the economy to open up slowly but steadily thus seeing an influx of FDI.
2) The core business, despite the Hedge Loss, is profitable. The #1 firm in KE, RW & strong in UG. The profits will come through for shareholders.
3) There will be another suitor looking at KK. Perhaps the deal will be structured as a JV or a Strategic Investor not a Takeover. When Equity wanted to raise capital, it sold shares to Helios (25% stake) without the need for a Rights Issue.
*Puma can contribute stations/assets in Zambia/TZ to KK in exchange for 25% of KK's shareholding. This gives KK additional heft within Africa*
4) Ownership Incentive. The CEO & Senior Management have shares in KK. The largest shareholders also want the value for their stake. Neither will want to sell out cheap.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett