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Too many HELLOS, Time to quit stocks!
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hisah
#181 Posted : Monday, July 20, 2015 9:28:49 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Muthawamunene wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Smells like a burnt hello. But kudos ur on the right path

Of course its a burnt hello.

Congrats! Applause Applause

Takes a lot of courage to accept mistakes. You're on the right path. Applause
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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sparkly
#182 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2015 7:28:33 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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hisah
#183 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2015 8:00:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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dunkang
#184 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2015 8:02:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,818
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
Sanjiv Bhasin wrote:
The simple adage to be followed is fear is greater than greed and in this carnage shorting is the key.

Nilesh Dedhia wrote:
Just take a break and let the storm settle. We are urging clients to avoid bottom fishing
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

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sparkly
#185 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2015 8:12:07 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.

NSE lags the global market by 3 months, expect massive selloff in November. Let's go shopping in November smile In my list will be KCB, Mpesa, EABL.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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Pesa Nane
#186 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2015 3:45:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.

Shout out please! Pray
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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snipermnoma
#187 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2015 6:03:10 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.

NSE lags the global market by 3 months, expect massive selloff in November. Let's go shopping in November smile In my list will be KCB, Mpesa, EABL.


@sparkly Interesting insight on the NSE 3 month lag. Historically this may be the case but is there a possibility that lag time has decreased over time? NSE has been sliding since the high set in March, while the Dow's last high was in May.
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sparkly
#188 Posted : Wednesday, August 26, 2015 3:58:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.

NSE lags the global market by 3 months, expect massive selloff in November. Let's go shopping in November smile In my list will be KCB, Mpesa, EABL.


@sparkly Interesting insight on the NSE 3 month lag. Historically this may be the case but is there a possibility that lag time has decreased over time? NSE has been sliding since the high set in March, while the Dow's last high was in May.


@Sniper anything is possible. Are you able to post NYSE/ DJIA vs NSE 20? FT seems to have deactivated access to the NSE chart for non-subscribers.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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snipermnoma
#189 Posted : Wednesday, August 26, 2015 6:49:57 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
sparkly wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.

NSE lags the global market by 3 months, expect massive selloff in November. Let's go shopping in November smile In my list will be KCB, Mpesa, EABL.


@sparkly Interesting insight on the NSE 3 month lag. Historically this may be the case but is there a possibility that lag time has decreased over time? NSE has been sliding since the high set in March, while the Dow's last high was in May.


@Sniper anything is possible. Are you able to post NYSE/ DJIA vs NSE 20? FT seems to have deactivated access to the NSE chart for non-subscribers.


Here we go...from bloomberg. Orange is NSE 20 blue is DJIA. Timeframe 1yr.
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sparkly
#190 Posted : Wednesday, August 26, 2015 7:24:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.

NSE lags the global market by 3 months, expect massive selloff in November. Let's go shopping in November smile In my list will be KCB, Mpesa, EABL.


@sparkly Interesting insight on the NSE 3 month lag. Historically this may be the case but is there a possibility that lag time has decreased over time? NSE has been sliding since the high set in March, while the Dow's last high was in May.


@Sniper anything is possible. Are you able to post NYSE/ DJIA vs NSE 20? FT seems to have deactivated access to the NSE chart for non-subscribers.


Here we go...from bloomberg. Orange is NSE 20 blue is DJIA. Timeframe 1yr.


@Sniper ahsante. Yes the situation seems to have changed this time around. NSE seems to be leading the developed markets.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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sparkly
#191 Posted : Friday, October 09, 2015 5:59:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Hello?
Life is short. Live passionately.
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Aguytrying
#192 Posted : Friday, October 09, 2015 8:24:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
sparkly wrote:
Hello?


My friend you were crucified here a year ago. Not many hellos talking now.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Boris Boyka
#193 Posted : Friday, October 09, 2015 9:11:32 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Hello?


My friend you were crucified here a year ago. Not many hellos talking now.

Hellos graduated. Anyway 2015 is indeed a tough year and tougher times are still ahead.NSE is small and flooded. Economic times are hard.smile
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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sparkly
#194 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 8:59:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Boris Boyka wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Hello?


My friend you were crucified here a year ago. Not many hellos talking now.

Hellos graduated. Anyway 2015 is indeed a tough year and tougher times are still ahead.NSE is small and flooded. Economic times are hard.smile


Nobody is taking of buying anymore. The bear has been vicious and even I am surprised by its viciousness.
The big caps are yet to feel the full force of the bear's claws.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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sparkly
#195 Posted : Tuesday, October 20, 2015 5:11:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Signs that you should sell a stock
Life is short. Live passionately.
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sparkly
#196 Posted : Monday, November 16, 2015 10:04:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.


@Hisah do your smell the fear in the market? Stanlib REIT uptake not convincing, investors vowing to stay away from Kengen Rights, elder @obiero tapping out of KQ...
Life is short. Live passionately.
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hisah
#197 Posted : Monday, November 16, 2015 10:22:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Things are hot in global markets

www.bloomberg.com/news/a...truggle-to-describe-rout

Caution giving way to FEAR.

The headlines are not spooky as such. But we will get there when the term ugly will be a common market description. Then fear sentiment will be breaking its max meter as capitulation takes over. It feels bottomless during that time and a seasoned participant has doubts about getting back in the game.

When it gets to that zone that's when I take a proper dive back in the game.


@Hisah do your smell the fear in the market? Stanlib REIT uptake not convincing, investors vowing to stay away from Kengen Rights, elder @obiero tapping out of KQ...

Yes. And a new twist now in the mix with Imperial bank testing the trust of investors as sentiments sour. The scandals and shock losses are becoming a potent cocktail. I'm waiting for stanlib to list in this pessimistic environment with an eye on how institutionals subscribed.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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sparkly
#198 Posted : Friday, January 01, 2016 9:37:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
1 January 2016 time to review the thread.

In January 2014, I po predicted that 2014 would be the last good year for stocks.

Advised people to sell before the year 2015, which would be a negative return year for stocks.

Advised people to stay liquid or invest their money elsewhere.

As expected, doubting Thomases were sceptical. The believers believed.

What happened in 2015:

1. NSE Index tanked below 4000.
2. KES/USD shot to 107
3. Poor corporate earnings. 17? profit warnings.
4. T-bills returned as much as 24% at some point.

Bottom line - 2014/5 was time to sell stocks, and be invested in cash/cash equivalents.

The prophesy unravelled right in front of our eyes.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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Runner
#199 Posted : Friday, January 01, 2016 10:05:31 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 3/31/2014
Posts: 24
sparkly wrote:
1 January 2016 time to review the thread.

In January 2014, I po predicted that 2014 would be the last good year for stocks.

Advised people to sell before the year 2015, which would be a negative return year for stocks.

Advised people to stay liquid or invest their money elsewhere.

As expected, doubting Thomases were sceptical. The believers believed.

What happened in 2015:

1. NSE Index tanked below 4000.
2. KES/USD shot to 107
3. Poor corporate earnings. 17? profit warnings.
4. T-bills returned as much as 24% at some point.

Bottom line - 2014/5 was time to sell stocks, and be invested in cash/cash equivalents.

The prophesy unravelled right in front of our eyes.



What is the prediction for 2016?
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Spikes
#200 Posted : Friday, January 01, 2016 10:14:05 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
I think 2016 will be soooo volatile either way money shall be made or lost!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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