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EABL profit warning
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Surealligator
#1 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 9:43:20 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
EABL has said generous dividends to its shareholders will be a thing of the past as the company has and is going to spend most of its retained earnings on buying half of and revamping Serengeti Brewery. The reduced earnings will go on till 2014 if not 2016

Another key factor will be the re-entry of SAB Castle Brewery into Kenya, this time in a sure footed manner after previous harassment by EABL. SAB is harassing EABL in Southern Sudan and doing a good mash work on EABL in Uganda.

Add Mututho laws to the equation and EABL shareholders will have a low return on their investment in the medium term.

Recommendation: Sell now, buy in 2013.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
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Horton
#2 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 9:53:38 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
It isn't a "profit warning", it's just reduced dividends. However results are consistent but not inflation beating and at a price of 212 and pe of 20+, I'm gonna sell my shares as it's profits grows on single digits.
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2012
#3 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 10:02:22 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
Profit warning??? What are you talking about???

BBI will solve it :)
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madebe
#4 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 10:03:16 AM
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Location: nairobi
ok. base it on fact. walisema wapi ati dividends will reduce? where is the report?
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sheep
#5 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 10:46:49 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
mmeona another bluechip @BAMBURI has broken badly today now at 196...glad I sold after suffering @200 for so long...EABL must obey the law of the markets and go down!
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
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Surealligator
#6 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 11:10:25 AM
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Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
madebe wrote:
ok. base it on fact. walisema wapi ati dividends will reduce? where is the report?


@Madebe

but depress its earnings eating into shareholders take home in the next couple of years.

On the other hand, Adebu cannot be as combative as Mahinda was. Top it with change of guard at the company where Adebu brought in some not aggressive and Adebu friendly management.

http://www.businessdaily.../-/14lk0uo/-/index.html
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
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Surealligator
#7 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 11:15:19 AM
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Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
@ Madebe

Also, check your E-mails and mail boxes for a shareholder appraisal letter from EABL
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
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KulaRaha
#8 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 11:17:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Please please please keep selling with all your theories and blah blah, please please sell!!!

I need to buy.....
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
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2012
#9 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 11:28:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
This is still a very good deal even without dividend since they do not have to borrow money and after 2014 which is not far btw it will be fullu fullu muenjoyo for the shareholders.

BBI will solve it :)
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Impunity
#10 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 11:45:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,330
Location: Masada
Fundaah
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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sparkly
#11 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 11:48:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Those who are saying "sell" will be saying "i wish i bought in 2010" when this giant keg starts rolling. What better stock can you get than a GROWING eabl at the right PRICE?
Life is short. Live passionately.
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guru267
#12 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 12:19:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
EABL is a good income play though i really want to see how it will grow its earnings with a saturating market and increased competition...

Currently i'll do this from the sidelines
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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BGL
#13 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 12:21:32 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
Surealligator wrote:
EABL has said generous dividends to its shareholders will be a thing of the past as the company has and is going to spend most of its retained earnings on buying half of and revamping Serengeti Brewery. The reduced earnings will go on till 2014 if not 2016

Another key factor will be the re-entry of SAB Castle Brewery into Kenya, this time in a sure footed manner after previous harassment by EABL. SAB is harassing EABL in Southern Sudan and doing a good mash work on EABL in Uganda.

Add Mututho laws to the equation and EABL shareholders will have a low return on their investment in the medium term.

Recommendation: Sell now, buy in 2013.


Those are opinions...i repeat..OPINIONS of whoever wrote the article. EABL did not say that.
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
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Sober
#14 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 9:23:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
This is nothing close to a profit warning. Infact it shows the company is so stable that it's preparing for a rough ride.
Just a reminder that i make a lot more in capital gains as compared to the meagre dividends.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
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The fast & furious
#15 Posted : Monday, November 01, 2010 11:15:40 AM
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Joined: 9/24/2009
Posts: 112
Sober wrote:
This is nothing close to a profit warning. Infact it shows the company is so stable that it's preparing for a rough ride.
Just a reminder that i make a lot more in capital gains as compared to the meagre dividends.


@Sober, I suspect you need to sober up to the fact that eabl is now on a free fall at the stock market. It is down to 202 now. This alligator effect is killing us now. He should be burned from using the word profit warning again. He knows too much. I have lost 80k today on Eabl, wish I had taken the lizard seriously last ween.
The signature of God runs in all things. Only fools fail to see it and believe in Him. However, others see it even where non exists - now you see where the false pastor comes in.
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ndumesidubu
#16 Posted : Monday, November 01, 2010 11:58:49 AM
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Joined: 10/31/2010
Posts: 11
Location: nairobi
fast n furious...i dont believe that the price reaction is any cause for alarm, the reassignment of earnings i believe is a short term move and in the right direction, dividend cuts is a bad signal punishable by the markt only if it is not accompanied by a strategic investment like they are making at serengeti, this move on the contrary is poosive, a signal of growth n repositioning and will drive up shareholder value in the mid to long term, so we should anticipate gains as soon as the initial reaction wanes i do not foresee a downturn in revenue and threfore we will continue to see an incr in cap gains which will be rewarded by the market in form of price gain.
"Individuals who cannot master their emotions are ill-suited to profit from the investment process."
Benjamin Graham
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KulaRaha
#17 Posted : Wednesday, November 10, 2010 2:34:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
The fast & furious wrote:
Sober wrote:
This is nothing close to a profit warning. Infact it shows the company is so stable that it's preparing for a rough ride.
Just a reminder that i make a lot more in capital gains as compared to the meagre dividends.


@Sober, I suspect you need to sober up to the fact that eabl is now on a free fall at the stock market. It is down to 202 now. This alligator effect is killing us now. He should be burned from using the word profit warning again. He knows too much. I have lost 80k today on Eabl, wish I had taken the lizard seriously last ween.


Hope all you sellers sold.....while us buyers kept buying...218 today....
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
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Sober
#18 Posted : Wednesday, November 10, 2010 4:16:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
And what is the price today?
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
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Surealligator
#19 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 10:54:21 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
Eabl is up almost 10% this year. Is there something am missing here or I should be afraid when every share is gaining momentum with no fundamentals in place.

Bars have cut waiters by half, opens at 5pm and closes at 11pm on week days... and still EABL shares rally?

EABL is now trading at 225.
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
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ngapat
#20 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 11:28:08 AM
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Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 896
Guys are carrying beer to their houses after 11pm
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
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