Horton wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:If DTB plans to pay $18mn in cash for HBL, then it's a huge payout in total of KES 500mn + 2bn = 2.5bn
I like firms that pay stingy dividends but don't ask shareholders for silly Scrip Dividends or Rights Issues immediately afterwards.
DTB has a chance to buy more banks in KE or regionally. Or expand into another country. Or increase its shareholding in its subsidiaries.
Tough times are coming in 2017 and you want a well-capitalized bank not one whose CARs are weak coz of paying heavy dividends. Aga Khan firms think long-term.
Buying Habib bank is hardly an achievement tooting about. I dont even know where they have a branch. Not sure how much value addition or synergy this would bring in
Who tooted about it?
11 branches, 0.34% market share, clean Balance Sheet. It's just clean-up on the majority owners' end. Note there is no cash payout which also shows the Sellers have 100% "skin in the game" unlike Ennsvalley to Unga, or Giro to I&M.
There are 2 Habibs in Kenya [Wikipedia] but cousins without common ownership. One is from Zurich [branch] and HBKL a subsidiary of Habib Pakistan.
I prefer "smaller" acquisitions [as a buyer] that can easily be absorbed, cost less than 1 year's earnings and in case it fails, doesn't severely affect the "buyer"
If Giro doesn't work out, I&M can write off the goodwill. [Total cost was less than 1 yr PBT]
If Ennsvalley has issues [see Nakumatt store closures, slow payment] then Unga can write it down without impacting the other businesses. [Total cost was about 1 yr PBT pre-acquisition]
If HBL has issues post-acquisition, then DTB can write off 1Q of profits. Peanuts.
Equity bought the DRC business for a fraction of EBL's annual PAT. They also learnt lessons from the botched UG acquisition.
KK is also acquiring stations [target is 30 in 2017] all over and if a few have issues the entire firm isn't severely handicapped. Lessons learnt from the Segman days of multiple acquisitions.
KQ on the other hand wanted to 3x [or even higher capacity] their fleet in 5 years. Ouch. Add debt by the planeload and double ouch.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett