MaichBlack wrote:mkeiy wrote:PBT for KCB 5.6Bn vs Equity's 5.4Bn.
With Equity getting a telco license,does it mean they might overtake Kcb in profitability in 18 months' time?
The telco direction Equity is taking is as much a risk as it is an oportunity!!!
It will require quite an outlay to develop the infrastructure. If it works it will graually reduce their cost/income ratio and hence higher profitability. If it fails... They will have sunk in money which will not bring significant returns hence reduced profitability.
Convincing people to switch [Especially from Safcom] will the biggest task. Also, don't expect Safcom to take it laying down. Safcom has fought some serious battles to get where they are. Equity has also fought some serious battles [probably harder] to get where they are. This is going to be one serious gloves off heavy weight battle. Two battle hardened companies...
@MaichBlack ....I like this analysis. I am beginning to think that buying Equity will be a hedge against Safaricom going forward. If both do well you gain, if Equity's strategy fails, Safaricom wins and if Equity's strategy succeeds Safaricom might take a beating....but at this time I am bullish on Equity, I think they will succeed but it may take time. Will its profitability overtake KCB? It could.
Q1
KCB PAT 28.63% Equity 20.68% growth.
KCB subsidiary PAT 1.11% Equity 33.22%.
KCB NII 12.84% Equity 2.05% telco might help Equity grow faster here (think micro loans)
KCB Non II 19.48% Equity 23.88% telco might help Equity grow faster here (think money transfer revenues)
KCB Loans 10.35% Equity 28.48% growth but KCB has 54billion more in loans
KCB deposits 9.12% Equity 18.28%