One can bail out now n come back lets say 3 month from now the nse will still be the same...i expect politics to intesify in the coming months as a result most foreigners will watch from the sidelines with lack of foreign participation the nse will suffer...or the kenyan shilling will head south as a result foreigners like me will have more cash i n our pockets to invest so that will trigger our return to the nse...

@Fundaah, your post reeks of speculation! Surely there are extended periods where you have seen gains regardless of the political bickering. Sometimes it's better to switch to defensive stocks during volatile periods if you can't stand the heat, stocks which have good dividend history and are less cyclical in nature - BAT,EABL and SCB come into mind.

Anyone who bought last year averaged down pretty well or is still laughing to the bank. You know better than to exit at loss territory. So what will you invest in, land?

Average down looks good in hindsight. But when the market is going down you swear to stay off shares. Fear is twice as powerful as greed.

@vvs hehehe i kinda benefit since i keep most of my money in my standard bank nam account believe me my savings account does much better than most stocks @ the nse during political turmoil i.e pev 2007 the ksh vs rand was 15 bob so my money also rose accordingly while stocks @ the nse fell.

Is it just me or does everyone not remember stocks plummeting because of PEV in early 2008, because the fall around that time was insignificant compared to the fall starting the 3rd quarter of 2008 because of global financial crisis. Moral of the story, watch the Dow Jones very carefully.

Yes and the NSE suspended trading for some hours to stop a free-fall. The fall of PEV was more significant only that the foreigners investors held ground(safcom IPO) before the global financial crisis forced them to avoid any risky markets. It's unlikely the US will recover soon and if it does it has to inflate itself out of debt, the PIGS will continue having problems balancing the budgets so movement of capital towards higher returns in emerging and frontier markets. Moral of the story watch China very carefully.

Guru, I don't see that happening soon. January foreign investors took 72% of the trading volume. NSSF now has to invest 100% of new contributions into government securities due to changes introduced in last year budget. The institutional investors will follow the foreign investors as most are now headed by "expats"

The referendum was peaceful .