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4-12% per transaction?
Extrapreneur
#11 Posted : Tuesday, July 27, 2010 10:38:11 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 7/26/2010
Posts: 25
Location: Nairobi
Gordon Gekko wrote:
Trx costs irrelevant/negligible?

The transaction costs in the local setting are negligible but I'm yet to try the two country scenario.
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mukiha
#12 Posted : Tuesday, July 27, 2010 11:19:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
Extrapreneur wrote:
PS: I did make money and continue to do so. I regret posting it here though; the pessimism is legendary. All the best to you all who are willing to test the limits and boundaries of what is already known.

Why then did you post it as a question?

Without revealing the amounts involved, could you give us the details of the transactions - dates, exchange rates, commissions etc?

@Wazua; what happened to the initial post on this thread?

It now starts mid-way and so it doesn't make much sense any more!
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
wazua
#13 Posted : Tuesday, July 27, 2010 4:25:07 PM
Rank: Administration

Joined: 11/19/2009
Posts: 679
Dear @Extrapreneur

Much as we agree with your assertion some of the feedback in response to your thread was counter productive, we've restored posts as users had taken time to read, analyse, and respond.

Kindly allow us to welcome you to Wazua, as we urge you not to be disheartened by 1 or 2 mindless responses. Judging by your initial posts, our community will benefit from your presence.

Thank you for joining the community.


StatMeister
#14 Posted : Tuesday, July 27, 2010 5:20:39 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/23/2010
Posts: 868
Location: La Islas Galápagos
@stocks are a sum game (sum > 0), actually the sum is the total market return (including dividends)

FX sounds much like a zero sum (every coin made by one person has been lost by another).

Right now you are convinced you will continue making money while someone else (e.g. the banks) will continue losing the money . . .

In finance, it's called FX trading, but in English its called gambling
A bad day fishing is better than a good day at work
Stealth
#15 Posted : Wednesday, July 28, 2010 8:39:31 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/3/2010
Posts: 145
Location: East Africa
@ Extra ignore the negative posts. Enlighten the rest of us. I tend to think that the bank charges for the transfers wud erode any gains made in the conversions. Don't the banks charge?
Extrapreneur
#16 Posted : Thursday, July 29, 2010 12:34:53 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 7/26/2010
Posts: 25
Location: Nairobi
Stealth wrote:
@ Extra ignore the negative posts. Enlighten the rest of us. I tend to think that the bank charges for the transfers wud erode any gains made in the conversions. Don't the banks charge?

Thanks Stealth. Well, there are bank charges, that is true, but a wire transfer is about KES450 or something close to that. In addition, we are talking about an average of 4% profit. If you worked with say a quarter of a million, that would be 10,000 per round trade. If you made about two trades in a week, that would be 80,000 per month. One other thing, the premise behind this theory is simply that a dollar is cheaper in Kenya than it is in Uganda, or any other country with a weaker economy than Kenya's, for that matter. That is why using indicative rates from Uganda against those in Kenya does not work. It is similar to taking all rates from say, XE.com, where this theory accrues a net difference of close to zero if not a negative value.
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Stealth
#17 Posted : Thursday, July 29, 2010 2:59:51 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/3/2010
Posts: 145
Location: East Africa
Extrapreneur wrote:
Thanks Stealth. Well, there are bank charges, that is true, but a wire transfer is about KES450 or something close to that. In addition, we are talking about an average of 4% profit. If you worked with say a quarter of a million, that would be 10,000 per round trade. If you made about two trades in a week, that would be 80,000 per month. One other thing, the premise behind this theory is simply that a dollar is cheaper in Kenya than it is in Uganda, or any other country with a weaker economy than Kenya's, for that matter. That is why using indicative rates from Uganda against those in Kenya does not work. It is similar to taking all rates from say, XE.com, where this theory accrues a net difference of close to zero if not a negative value.


Does this mean that one cud get better rates from independent bureax, then deposit the money in an appropriate bank account and effect the necessary transfers?

Stealth
#18 Posted : Friday, July 30, 2010 12:36:45 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/3/2010
Posts: 145
Location: East Africa
Does it mean that one cud get
better rates from independent
bureax, then deposit the money in
an appropriate bank account and
effect the necessary transfers?
VituVingiSana
#19 Posted : Friday, July 30, 2010 2:03:06 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
@extrapreneur - I am skeptical this would work on a long-term basis... This might have been a one-off due to various movements in currency.

1) The spreads that every bank makes on $-KES ; UGX-KES ; $-UGX [Vary but can be 1%-10%]
2) Transaction costs [450/- is very good. Which bank? I paid KES 2,500 to wire funds to Uganda]

The banks with branches in Uganda might be the best to use DTBK, UBA, Equity, KCB... I am not sure about the rest...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
jerry
#20 Posted : Wednesday, August 04, 2010 8:00:29 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
We seem to have ignored the negotiation bit. May be if you are dealing with large volumes of cash it becomes easier for the 'theory' to be practical.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
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