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Mumias Sugar and SASINI TEA AND COFFEE LTD. Your perfect growth stocks.
qw25041985
#1 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 12:54:29 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Hi all.Mumias is still my favourite stock.Ksh 13.60 was my price Target when they reported Half Year Results and is
an implied PE of 10.00 assuming zero acceleration from the First Half.
DONOT be left out.If they made >500% profit in the last half year of their financial year you can imagine the kind of dividends they are going to pay when they announce ther full year results sometime in September.I believe we are going to see a mad rush for this counter in the comin weeks as we run to their end of year results.


One of my favourite stocks is SASINI TEA AND COFFEE LTD.


As for sasini.I calculated it's target price this way ksh 15.20 (closin price as of 2.5.2010) / [Ksh 1.33 (Earnings per share) x 2 ] = Implied Forward PE is Ksh 5.714

I believe a PE of 10 is an entirely Fair and Justified Objective which
gives a Price of Ksh 26.60


NB : target price = Current stock price *{current p/e /forward p/e}


All this means is that Sasini ltd is currently trading at half its real value !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!I believe this stock has allot of energy to double once money.Once investors note this's a lowly valued share be sure to see the share price rally allot.


My advice is that you should buy this share now when its cheap.The company ,Sasini,made a profit of over 100% in the first half of its financial year.


I suggest Sasini shares for anybody who has an investment horizon of one year.DONOT invest in this share and then after a few months start worryin why its not doubling your investment.You have to wait abit longer.



THATS ALL FOLKS,happy investing. And PLEASE consult your broker before you do anything with your money.Atleast i do.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
eldersensei
#2 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 1:30:15 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/5/2010
Posts: 8
Location: planet earth
Wow, suffice to say Im a newbie. All this info you got from your broker or was it your own research?
Cease the Moment and the Moment will echo.....FOR EVER!!
cnn
#3 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 1:30:51 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,622
In both cases strip off the biological gains component and see what earnings from operations are,just about half or less of the half year earnings.I give mumias .50 cents dividend at full year.Sasini interim was .20 cents,another .20 at full year.
stocksguru7
#4 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 10:35:44 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/28/2007
Posts: 38
Good research done by you

Tell us some more
UN PACTUM UN DICTUM
Kesh!
#5 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 11:01:29 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/16/2008
Posts: 47
i don't kno how much impact the anticipation of the impending referendum will have or is having on the stagnation of the likes of mumias share price. anyone...? @vvs, @qw, @guru and others....?
qw25041985
#6 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 11:23:44 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
I believe on run up to the full year results the share price will start movin. And @ the deal suggestin that the share price will stagnate for the whole year is plain wrong. That just beats all T.A principles.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
the deal
#7 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 11:44:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@qw good research on Sasini thats how it should be done...when Mumias dips to 10 bob i will tell u lets BUY BUY BUY...at the current prices sorry bro Mumias is fully priced...i did the numbers on the other thread i wont repeat them here...the heavy rains experienced early this year affected farmers...thats a fact...the KSB recently announced a 2.6% drop in sugar production btwn Jan-Jun....with projects like TARDA Msc is a long long term buy...
the deal
#8 Posted : Monday, July 05, 2010 11:57:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
this stock made @stocksmaster famous that was the time to board...i'm sure pple like madam guru..vvs bought MSC ar 8-9 bob there...at the current prices its a long long term buy...buy it with 2011-12 in mind not 2010...i did my numbers on the other thread i wont repeat them here...but if it dips to 10 bob i wilk come here and scream BUY BUY BUY....now @qw nice work on Sasini...its a good stock but their 20 bob dividend pisses me of...
youcan'tstopusnow
#9 Posted : Tuesday, July 06, 2010 12:40:41 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Mumias has been going down the last couple of trading days. With their financial year over, we can only sit back and await the results.
guru, ulipotelea wapi?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
qw25041985
#10 Posted : Tuesday, July 06, 2010 12:53:32 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
The thin - ifnt ultra thin trading range - tells me that investors ar in no hurry to sell the shares and better things ar ahead. Good things come to those who wait. Case in point ACCS .
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
shauriyako
#11 Posted : Tuesday, July 06, 2010 2:00:20 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/17/2010
Posts: 71
Location: Kenya
@ deal
Mumias will not be anywhere near 10 bob this year unless we slaughter each other over the constitution like we did with the elections. Otherwise the low trade volume at the current prices speak for the share.
IMHO better times lie ahead for those who have boarded. I think we should revisit the share performance come release of trading for the year in September.
Got a some reasonable volume. Will be buying some more come early August.
Like qw it still remains my favourite stock - I honestly cant say otherwise when I got in at Kshs. 4.50 and thinking it couldn't get better got out at Kshs. 7.00 only to re-enter at kshs. 10.
When we wake up in the morning, we have two simple choices. Go back to sleep and dream, or wake up and chase those dreams. The choice is yours! .
the deal
#12 Posted : Tuesday, July 06, 2010 2:15:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
shauriyako wrote:
@ deal
Mumias will not be anywhere near 10 bob this year unless we slaughter each other over the constitution like we did with the elections. Otherwise the low trade volume at the current prices speak for the share.
IMHO better times lie ahead for those who have boarded. I think we should revisit the share performance come release of trading for the year in September.
Got a some reasonable volume. Will be buying some more come early August.
Like qw it still remains my favourite stock - I honestly cant say otherwise when I got in at Kshs. 4.50 and thinking it couldn't get better got out at Kshs. 7.00 only to re-enter at kshs. 10.

u got in at 10 bob so y worr???
shauriyako
#13 Posted : Tuesday, July 06, 2010 2:23:26 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/17/2010
Posts: 71
Location: Kenya
NOT WORRIED AT ALL Shame on you
When we wake up in the morning, we have two simple choices. Go back to sleep and dream, or wake up and chase those dreams. The choice is yours! .
youcan'tstopusnow
#14 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 11:47:15 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Kenya licenses new sugar producers. www.dyerandblair.com/ind...5&cntnt01returnid=82
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
guru267
#15 Posted : Friday, July 16, 2010 12:05:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Mumias has been going down in the past weeks but on very low volumes..... This indicates referendum jitters but the stock has astronomical support at 12bob so i dont see it falling below that level.... I expect a 60 cents dividend but i wouldn't mind 50cents... I still maintain that 16bob is within this stocks potential for 2010
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
qw25041985
#16 Posted : Friday, July 16, 2010 1:40:51 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
I still maintain that this stock will reach 18.00 .this stock has accumulated to much to move such a small distance as indicated by @ guru. Get me clear though, i amnt sayin that this stock will jump frm current 12.00 to 18.00 in one go but it wnt take long either and is worth the wait. End of September isnt far either and i also am expecting gud results.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
Horton
#17 Posted : Friday, July 16, 2010 7:45:24 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
MSC 18??!! hmmm thats gotta be interesting....dude...I highly doubt this..!! Wanna wager?
VituVingiSana
#18 Posted : Friday, July 16, 2010 8:42:06 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,261
Location: Nairobi
Sasini is a merali firm. Jut not for me... I prefer Williamson or Kakuzi...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#19 Posted : Friday, July 16, 2010 8:45:59 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Sasini is a merali firm. Jut not for me... I prefer Williamson or Kakuzi...

like kakuzi too but kapchorua is also starting to catch my eye.
Life is short. Live passionately.
VituVingiSana
#20 Posted : Friday, July 16, 2010 9:08:15 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,261
Location: Nairobi
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Sasini is a merali firm. Jut not for me... I prefer Williamson or Kakuzi...
like kakuzi too but kapchorua is also starting to catch my eye.
Williamson is older brother of Kapchorua
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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