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Playing the market ..2026
MaichBlack
#101 Posted : Wednesday, August 19, 2026 3:32:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,996
obiero wrote:
1. KQ. NBV KES (31.16). (Start Price: Ksh 3.30; SOLD at KES 6.80. Awaiting dip to KES 3.80 for fresh entry after announcement of significant H1 loss by Aug 20, 2026



2. JUB. NBV KES 783 (Start Price: Ksh 345; Current Price KES 420. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 420 by Dec 31st 2026); SELL partially to secure the current 21% capital gain.

Dominance in corporate insurance business. Strong sales in run up to the 2027 general election


3. DTB. NBV KES 310 (Start Price: Ksh 117; Current KES 156. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 200 by Dec 31st 2026); About 70% Upside, excluding dividend gain.
HOLD

Grossly undervalued tier 1 banking stock.


4. IMH. NBV 60.4 (Start Price: Ksh 44.90; SOLD at KES 70 above known fair value


5. TPSEA. NBV KES 60.99 (Start Price: Ksh 15.75; Current KES 15.65. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 90% Upside

Recovering tourism industry should restore lost glory, but 2027 has some dark clouds that could hinder.

6. KEGN. NBV KES 42 (Start price KES 9.17; Current KES 11.20 Target/ONO Exit Price KES 17 by 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 84% Upside

Watch and learn

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Enyewe people who don't know you can fall for your theatrics!! You posted when you bought!! Kshs. 5.58/= per share!!

MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
Just did the unthinkable. Meanwhile, looking at a one week horizon to possibly dispose COOP holding of KES 4.3m to load up on KQ. @VVS continue to place me in your prayers, especially noting that I owe you KES 10,000

@Obiero - You sold in August. Prices were 18/= - 20/=! Stop day dreaming!!

You want me to upload my CDS statement? And then again, what was my ABP for COOP since you are heavily invested on my trades? In trading, one only needs to obtain their target exit price, I am not @VVS, Ben Graham, Charlie Munger nor Warren Buffet. Go through wazua and you will note that I have held and flipped multiple counters in KE, UG, RW and Nigeria. SCOM, KNRE, KEGN, KCB, IMH, COOP, BKG, HF, NCBA, BLR.RW, MTN.UG, SBIC.UG, WTK, ZENITH.NGR. None sold below 10% gain, and several above 90% ROI, max being 235%. Finally, since this is the right thread, you will note that I have been averaging down on KQ from previous highs of KES 21 to current ABP of KES 4.26, where my current position represents a dip of only 9% to its last traded price. Dont count my money 😆

@Obiero - You sold Coop last year August when it was going for 18/= at a total of 4.3m/=. Today the share is at 38.50. Add 2.5 total divends and you get 41/=. Your shares would now be worth 41 / 18 × 4.3m = 9.79 m if you did NOTHING!!!

And to imagine you took that money to KQ which was trading at 5.58/= at the time then the price dropped drastically after they announced a 12.1 billion half year net loss end of August just makes the issue waaaay worse. The 4.3m probably became 3m instead of 9.79m!!!

You say you are not @VVS, Charlie Munger, Warren Buffet et. al... Clearly! No argument there!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
MaichBlack
#102 Posted : Wednesday, August 19, 2026 3:39:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,996
obiero wrote:
1. KQ. NBV KES (31.16). (Start Price: Ksh 3.30; SOLD at KES 6.80. Awaiting dip to KES 3.80 for fresh entry after announcement of significant H1 loss by Aug 20, 2026



2. JUB. NBV KES 783 (Start Price: Ksh 345; Current Price KES 420. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 420 by Dec 31st 2026); SELL partially to secure the current 21% capital gain.

Dominance in corporate insurance business. Strong sales in run up to the 2027 general election


3. DTB. NBV KES 310 (Start Price: Ksh 117; Current KES 156. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 200 by Dec 31st 2026); About 70% Upside, excluding dividend gain.
HOLD

Grossly undervalued tier 1 banking stock.


4. IMH. NBV 60.4 (Start Price: Ksh 44.90; SOLD at KES 70 above known fair value


5. TPSEA. NBV KES 60.99 (Start Price: Ksh 15.75; Current KES 15.65. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 90% Upside

Recovering tourism industry should restore lost glory, but 2027 has some dark clouds that could hinder.

6. KEGN. NBV KES 42 (Start price KES 9.17; Current KES 11.20 Target/ONO Exit Price KES 17 by 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 84% Upside

Watch and learn

You really need to stop these theatrics of posting random prices you pick from historical figures!!

Post your actual buying and selling prices! Not theatrics!

For example, when you bought 80,000 KQ shares at 5.58/= from the 4.3m you got after selling your COOP shares at 18/= per share, you posted. The price tanked after you were in!!! Alafu udanganye watu you bought at 3.30/=!!?? Wapi lini? You posted when you bought and prices are known.

After tanking and then recovering, you bailed out at below 5.50/= and started pushing everyone else to get out at 5.50/= again all this is on record!! Then you just pull 6.80 from... just to make mathematics look good!!!

Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you

Use actual figures!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#103 Posted : Wednesday, August 19, 2026 4:00:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,440
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
1. KQ. NBV KES (31.16). (Start Price: Ksh 3.30; SOLD at KES 6.80. Awaiting dip to KES 3.80 for fresh entry after announcement of significant H1 loss by Aug 20, 2026



2. JUB. NBV KES 783 (Start Price: Ksh 345; Current Price KES 420. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 420 by Dec 31st 2026); SELL partially to secure the current 21% capital gain.

Dominance in corporate insurance business. Strong sales in run up to the 2027 general election


3. DTB. NBV KES 310 (Start Price: Ksh 117; Current KES 156. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 200 by Dec 31st 2026); About 70% Upside, excluding dividend gain.
HOLD

Grossly undervalued tier 1 banking stock.


4. IMH. NBV 60.4 (Start Price: Ksh 44.90; SOLD at KES 70 above known fair value


5. TPSEA. NBV KES 60.99 (Start Price: Ksh 15.75; Current KES 15.65. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 90% Upside

Recovering tourism industry should restore lost glory, but 2027 has some dark clouds that could hinder.

6. KEGN. NBV KES 42 (Start price KES 9.17; Current KES 11.20 Target/ONO Exit Price KES 17 by 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 84% Upside

Watch and learn

You really need to stop these theatrics of posting random prices you pick from historical figures!!

Post your actual buying and selling prices! Not theatrics!

For example, when you bought 80,000 KQ shares at 5.58/= from the 4.3m you got after selling your COOP shares at 18/= per share, you posted. The price tanked after you were in!!! Alafu udanganye watu you bought at 3.30/=!!?? Wapi lini? You posted when you bought and prices are known.

After tanking and then recovering, you bailed out at below 5.50/= and started pushing everyone else to get out at 5.50/= again all this is on record!! Then you just pull 6.80 from... just to make mathematics look good!!!

Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you

Use actual figures!!

You are a comedian in my books. Which random figures are you going on about. Figures to look good for who? To assist you with your continued obsession, I have introduced my ABP on my signature. Upon selling, I will post my sale price for any bulk trade, for your peace of mind
COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
obiero
#104 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2026 10:27:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,440
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
IMH as of 2pm
Low 65.50
High 69.00
Traded Vol 750,000+

@maich - We be minting!

Hehe. When exactly did you join IMH. Hopefully you aren't also a latecomer

@VVS was in IMH long before it became "fashionable".

Kwani unakuwaga Wazua gani @Obiero?

On this one I believe you. You would know his holdings as it seems like you follow everyone's trades while yours remain largely unknown

Are you blind @Obiero???

I post my trade here. I quoted the IMH one today again for you!!! See the "Playing The Market 2025" thread.

Unlike you, I am not blind. I see what people post and the companies they love. Especially if they talk and analyse them a lot. Like for you, even my friend and neighbour Otieno kmows how much you love KQ (Live and die with KQ!!) He is 4 years old!!!

Not sure what you are ranting about since I hold IMH since Jan 2026, and I listed my buy price. Sold partly at KES 60 with no regret. Check my current shareholding listing. On KQ, everyone here knows when I sold KQ and at what price. Don't reason like a mad man

The wazua clown keeps saying I sold all IMH at KES 60, he does not know anything about target selling, but I will teach the young man
COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
MaichBlack
#105 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2026 10:34:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,996
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
IMH cools off at KES 60

Next Day Updates: IMH uncools off at KES 66/=.

Volume brother. Don't expose yourself

Look at the real time data (bids and offers) and understand it. Don't expose yourself @Obiero.

As we speak, demand quantity is 1,131,859 and bid price is 65/=.

Shares on offer are only 157,811 with no one willing to sell at 65/=

I hope you understand this @Obiero and I don't have to explain furthet!!!

You are quite deluded boss, but time will heal. No one is willing to buy is the better view. In my assessment, IMH has reached fair value

Your view is not required here. It is the (real time) data.

When I posted, the DEMAND was 1,131,859 with a bid price price of 65/=. I hope you know what that means in basic terms.

The supply was 157,811 with all offer prices above 65/=. I hope you also know what that means.

If you seriously don't understand the above, then we should not be having this conversation!!

It is not about feelings and opinions. Real actual data!

You are entitled to your own opinions but not your own facts!!

69/= prints!!!

People need to learn the basics!

Even mama mboga cannot survive in business if she does not understand supply and demand and its obvious effect on price.

Data, not personal opinions!

Kaende kaende!!

Vapor volumes persists. Pump and dump in full effect. Best of luck newbie

Sell this thing today or latest tomorrow, fair value has been well and truly achieved. What if it goes to KES 90 or KES 100+, you ask. I am a trader, so that will no longer be my concern. Div yield now headed to 5% p.a range. A good dancer knows when to leave the stage. In victory you must learn to know when enough is enough

Good morning @Obiero.

75/= prints!!

Ignoring @Obiero making Kenyans rich since 1902!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
MaichBlack
#106 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2026 10:37:37 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,996
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
IMH as of 2pm
Low 65.50
High 69.00
Traded Vol 750,000+

@maich - We be minting!

Hehe. When exactly did you join IMH. Hopefully you aren't also a latecomer

@VVS was in IMH long before it became "fashionable".

Kwani unakuwaga Wazua gani @Obiero?

On this one I believe you. You would know his holdings as it seems like you follow everyone's trades while yours remain largely unknown

Are you blind @Obiero???

I post my trade here. I quoted the IMH one today again for you!!! See the "Playing The Market 2025" thread.

Unlike you, I am not blind. I see what people post and the companies they love. Especially if they talk and analyse them a lot. Like for you, even my friend and neighbour Otieno kmows how much you love KQ (Live and die with KQ!!) He is 4 years old!!!

Not sure what you are ranting about since I hold IMH since Jan 2026, and I listed my buy price. Sold partly at KES 60 with no regret. Check my current shareholding listing. On KQ, everyone here knows when I sold KQ and at what price. Don't reason like a mad man

Post #65

@Obiero selling IMH @60/= but now using the fictitious value of 70/= to make his maths look good!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#107 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2026 10:39:21 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,440
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
IMH cools off at KES 60

Next Day Updates: IMH uncools off at KES 66/=.

Volume brother. Don't expose yourself

Look at the real time data (bids and offers) and understand it. Don't expose yourself @Obiero.

As we speak, demand quantity is 1,131,859 and bid price is 65/=.

Shares on offer are only 157,811 with no one willing to sell at 65/=

I hope you understand this @Obiero and I don't have to explain furthet!!!

You are quite deluded boss, but time will heal. No one is willing to buy is the better view. In my assessment, IMH has reached fair value

Your view is not required here. It is the (real time) data.

When I posted, the DEMAND was 1,131,859 with a bid price price of 65/=. I hope you know what that means in basic terms.

The supply was 157,811 with all offer prices above 65/=. I hope you also know what that means.

If you seriously don't understand the above, then we should not be having this conversation!!

It is not about feelings and opinions. Real actual data!

You are entitled to your own opinions but not your own facts!!

69/= prints!!!

People need to learn the basics!

Even mama mboga cannot survive in business if she does not understand supply and demand and its obvious effect on price.

Data, not personal opinions!

Kaende kaende!!

Vapor volumes persists. Pump and dump in full effect. Best of luck newbie

Sell this thing today or latest tomorrow, fair value has been well and truly achieved. What if it goes to KES 90 or KES 100+, you ask. I am a trader, so that will no longer be my concern. Div yield now headed to 5% p.a range. A good dancer knows when to leave the stage. In victory you must learn to know when enough is enough

Good morning @Obiero.

75/= prints!!

Ignoring @Obiero making Kenyans rich since 1902!!

Obiero made his money on IMH and left. An unreasonable person who has never traded in any meaningful way, will make it seems to himself that buying at KES 45 and selling partially at KES 60 was a loss! A real clown. @young himself quotes @stocksmaater saying KES 55 was IMH fair value. Im in COOP, KEGN, MTNU
COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
MaichBlack
#108 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2026 10:42:54 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,996
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
Please remember, tamaa iliuwa fisi. It is prudent that you consider offload of some of the stocks on nearest offer, ONO

1. KQ. NBV KES (31.16). (Start Price: Ksh 3.30; Current Price KES 7.58. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 8.52 by Dec 31st 2026); About 150% Upside

Speculative. Primary appreciation factor is the anticipated KES 69B capital injection by a strategic investor. A high risk play, where the share could face a fresh suspension



2. JUB. NBV KES 783 (Start Price: Ksh 345; Current Price KES 398. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 420 by Dec 31st 2026); About 21% Upside

Dominance in corporate insurance business. Strong sales in run up to the 2027 general election


3. DTB. NBV KES 310 (Start Price: Ksh 117; Current KES 150. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 200 by Dec 31st 2026); About 70% Upside, excluding dividend gain

Grossly undervalued tier 1 banking stock.


4. IMH. NBV 60.4 (Start Price: Ksh 44.90; Current KES 51 Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 54 by Dec 31st 2026); About 20% Upside, excluding dividend gain

Emerging giant with steep ROI. Over 20% YoY PBT growth projection in near to mid term


5. TPSEA. NBV KES 60.99 (Start Price: Ksh 15.75; Current KES 16.85. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 90% Upside

Recovering tourism industry should restore lost glory.

You have made a significant gain. It is safe to exit IMH. Thank me later

When this was posted a week ago, we were at 60/= Now at 66.25/=. Clearly the advise was not good for either traders or investors.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I hope you did NOT listen to @Obiero though given your skepticism with his pronouncements you probably did not.

He is a pedestrian in this game. Atleast you, there's a history on your weird investment pattern

Listening to @Obiero, making people poor since 1902!!!

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#109 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2026 10:52:05 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,440
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
Please remember, tamaa iliuwa fisi. It is prudent that you consider offload of some of the stocks on nearest offer, ONO

1. KQ. NBV KES (31.16). (Start Price: Ksh 3.30; Current Price KES 7.58. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 8.52 by Dec 31st 2026); About 150% Upside

Speculative. Primary appreciation factor is the anticipated KES 69B capital injection by a strategic investor. A high risk play, where the share could face a fresh suspension



2. JUB. NBV KES 783 (Start Price: Ksh 345; Current Price KES 398. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 420 by Dec 31st 2026); About 21% Upside

Dominance in corporate insurance business. Strong sales in run up to the 2027 general election


3. DTB. NBV KES 310 (Start Price: Ksh 117; Current KES 150. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 200 by Dec 31st 2026); About 70% Upside, excluding dividend gain

Grossly undervalued tier 1 banking stock.


4. IMH. NBV 60.4 (Start Price: Ksh 44.90; Current KES 51 Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 54 by Dec 31st 2026); About 20% Upside, excluding dividend gain

Emerging giant with steep ROI. Over 20% YoY PBT growth projection in near to mid term.



5. TPSEA. NBV KES 60.99 (Start Price: Ksh 15.75; Current KES 16.85. Target/ONO Exit Price range Ksh 30 by Dec 31st 2026); About 90% Upside

Recovering tourism industry should restore lost glory.

You have made a significant gain. It is safe to exit IMH. Thank me later

When this was posted a week ago, we were at 60/= Now at 66.25/=. Clearly the advise was not good for either traders or investors.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I hope you did NOT listen to @Obiero though given your skepticism with his pronouncements you probably did not.

He is a pedestrian in this game. Atleast you, there's a history on your weird investment pattern

Listening to @Obiero, making people poor since 1902!!!

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Hehe. You really make my days lively. Where would I be, without you
COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
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