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NSE 2027 in view of Ol Kalou violence and chaos
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heri
#1 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2026 6:48:01 PM
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Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 872
Location: nairobi
Asking for those of us accused of being worriers. Looking at the violence and chaos in a what is merely a by-election in Ol Kalou, what does it portend for 2027 general elections where stakes will be a million times higher. Also taking into account the admission by 'leaders' that every 'leader' is working with goons? How will NSE look like heading to next year?
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  | | Edit by moderator: Saturday, July 18, 2026 9:45 AM | Reason: title case
obiero
#2 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2026 7:47:07 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,378
Location: nairobi
heri wrote:
Asking for those of us accused of being worriers. Looking at the violence and chaos in a what is merely a by-election in Ol Kalou, what does it portend for 2027 general elections where stakes will be a million times higher. Also taking into account the admission by 'leaders' that every 'leader' is working with goons? How will NSE look like heading to next year?

Any win with minimal violence will likely have little impact to the NSE. However an opposition win without violence will likely trigger a bull run
COOP, KEGN, MTNU
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MaichBlack
#3 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2026 12:09:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,955
heri wrote:
Asking for those of us accused of being worriers. Looking at the violence and chaos in a what is merely a by-election in Ol Kalou, what does it portend for 2027 general elections where stakes will be a million times higher. Also taking into account the admission by 'leaders' that every 'leader' is working with goons? How will NSE look like heading to next year?

On this one @heri you are allowed to be a worrier lookin @ the characters we are dealing with, their track record(s)/ history, the stakes, the mood of Kenyans with respect to the characters we are dealing with and their probability of them doing what "is expected"/being "good boys and girls" etc.
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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  | | Edit by user: Saturday, July 18, 2026 4:00 PM | Reason: Not specified
VituVingiSana
#4 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2026 12:11:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,409
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
heri wrote:
Asking for those of us accused of being worriers. Looking at the violence and chaos in a what is merely a by-election in Ol Kalou, what does it portend for 2027 general elections where stakes will be a million times higher. Also taking into account the admission by 'leaders' that every 'leader' is working with goons? How will NSE look like heading to next year?

Any win with minimal violence will likely have little impact to the NSE. However an opposition win without violence will likely trigger a bull run

I am in rare agreement with you on However an opposition win without violence will likely trigger a bull run
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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MaichBlack
#5 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2026 12:15:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,955
The risk is very real when you have characters who would literally burn the country because of power. To them no cost is too high if the end result is power!

We need to be worried! Very worried!!

But we hope and pray for a peaceful electoral process.
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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muganda
#6 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2026 12:36:52 PM
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Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,909
All I'm watching is USDKes. It will be the bellwether for stormy waters at the exchange.
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obiero
#7 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2026 4:07:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,378
Location: nairobi
muganda wrote:
All I'm watching is USDKes. It will be the bellwether for stormy waters at the exchange.

The USD KES is affected by far more factors than the political environment within Kenya
COOP, KEGN, MTNU
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