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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
MaichBlack
#2621 Posted : Sunday, November 23, 2025 6:32:52 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,695
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Standard Chartered books have refused to balance, after payout of KES 8 dividend in H1, amidst a 21% drop in PBT. Who does that!

Meantime, Sidian posts 470% YoY growth in PBT

Finally, Family Bank will join the Exchange Bar earnings forecasts with effect from Q4 2025

Who does that? A board where the H1 eps is Kshs. 21.4/=. Makes perfect sense if you ask me. Kshs. 13.4/= per share still retained for H1 2025. More retained earnings than the combined earnings per KQ share for 10 years!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#2622 Posted : Sunday, November 23, 2025 11:07:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Standard Chartered books have refused to balance, after payout of KES 8 dividend in H1, amidst a 21% drop in PBT. Who does that!

Meantime, Sidian posts 470% YoY growth in PBT

Finally, Family Bank will join the Exchange Bar earnings forecasts with effect from Q4 2025

Who does that? A board where the H1 eps is Kshs. 21.4/=. Makes perfect sense if you ask me. Kshs. 13.4/= per share still retained for H1 2025. More retained earnings than the combined earnings per KQ share for 10 years!!!

Watch and learn

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
MaichBlack
#2623 Posted : Sunday, November 23, 2025 7:09:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,695
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Standard Chartered books have refused to balance, after payout of KES 8 dividend in H1, amidst a 21% drop in PBT. Who does that!

Meantime, Sidian posts 470% YoY growth in PBT

Finally, Family Bank will join the Exchange Bar earnings forecasts with effect from Q4 2025

Who does that? A board where the H1 eps is Kshs. 21.4/=. Makes perfect sense if you ask me. Kshs. 13.4/= per share still retained for H1 2025. More retained earnings than the combined earnings per KQ share for 10 years!!!

Watch and learn

Inverse Jim Cramer/@Obiero index pap!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#2624 Posted : Tuesday, November 25, 2025 6:32:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
obiero
#2625 Posted : Tuesday, November 25, 2025 6:34:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Standard Chartered books have refused to balance, after payout of KES 8 dividend in H1, amidst a 21% drop in PBT. Who does that!

Meantime, Sidian posts 470% YoY growth in PBT

Finally, Family Bank will join the Exchange Bar earnings forecasts with effect from Q4 2025

Who does that? A board where the H1 eps is Kshs. 21.4/=. Makes perfect sense if you ask me. Kshs. 13.4/= per share still retained for H1 2025. More retained earnings than the combined earnings per KQ share for 10 years!!!

Watch and learn

Inverse Jim Cramer/@Obiero index pap!!!

SCBK reports 41% drop in PBT. Meantime, second group of pensioners have returned to court seeking KES 30B. With all the case uncertainty you strongly believe that a full year dividend will be shared. All the best boss


https://www.citizen.digi...-pension-dispute-n370128

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
obiero
#2626 Posted : Tuesday, November 25, 2025 9:03:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Only HF remains, and they should be saying something before Friday. Expect 230% YoY PBT increase, the final big spike. Going forward, it will revert to industry spread circa 6-20% YoY

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
MaichBlack
#2627 Posted : Wednesday, November 26, 2025 4:49:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,695
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Only HF remains, and they should be saying something before Friday. Expect 230% YoY PBT increase, the final big spike. Going forward, it will revert to industry spread circa 6-20% YoY

Kesho asubuhi na mapema!!

By 9:31 am bei ya share itakuwa tofauti.
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
VituVingiSana
#2628 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 9:17:44 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,288
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Standard Chartered books have refused to balance, after payout of KES 8 dividend in H1, amidst a 21% drop in PBT. Who does that!

Meantime, Sidian posts 470% YoY growth in PBT

Finally, Family Bank will join the Exchange Bar earnings forecasts with effect from Q4 2025

Who does that? A board where the H1 eps is Kshs. 21.4/=. Makes perfect sense if you ask me. Kshs. 13.4/= per share still retained for H1 2025. More retained earnings than the combined earnings per KQ share for 10 years!!!

Watch and learn

Inverse Jim Cramer/@Obiero index pap!!!

SCBK reports 41% drop in PBT. Meantime, second group of pensioners have returned to court seeking KES 30B. With all the case uncertainty you strongly believe that a full year dividend will be shared. All the best boss


https://www.citizen.digi...pension-dispute-n370128

Let's pick this up in March 2026 when I expect SCBK will announce a (smaller) final dividend. Applause
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#2629 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 10:10:32 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Only HF remains, and they should be saying something before Friday. Expect 230% YoY PBT increase, the final big spike. Going forward, it will revert to industry spread circa 6-20% YoY

Kesho asubuhi na mapema!!

By 9:31 am bei ya share itakuwa tofauti.

This stock is trading above book value and is unable to issue dividend until negative equity is reversed by 2027. Then with the increased float from previous rights issue, numerous shares will only lead to a dividend of KES 0.20 at best, in 2028

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
obiero
#2630 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 10:14:56 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1

Standard Chartered books have refused to balance, after payout of KES 8 dividend in H1, amidst a 21% drop in PBT. Who does that!

Meantime, Sidian posts 470% YoY growth in PBT

Finally, Family Bank will join the Exchange Bar earnings forecasts with effect from Q4 2025

Who does that? A board where the H1 eps is Kshs. 21.4/=. Makes perfect sense if you ask me. Kshs. 13.4/= per share still retained for H1 2025. More retained earnings than the combined earnings per KQ share for 10 years!!!

Watch and learn

Inverse Jim Cramer/@Obiero index pap!!!

SCBK reports 41% drop in PBT. Meantime, second group of pensioners have returned to court seeking KES 30B. With all the case uncertainty you strongly believe that a full year dividend will be shared. All the best boss


https://www.citizen.digi...pension-dispute-n370128

Let's pick this up in March 2026 when I expect SCBK will announce a (smaller) final dividend. Applause

insha'Allah my mzee

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
obiero
#2631 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 11:47:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1 - 1.1

SCBK is our sick man in the room. A miracle that it's trading above KES 265

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
VituVingiSana
#2632 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 1:37:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,288
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1 - 1.1

SCBK is our sick man in the room. A miracle that it's trading above KES 265

Makes more money in 1 day while sick than KQ in a decade Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
One-off manenos. Only 3bn vs what folks were saying sijui 30bn
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
MaichBlack
#2633 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 2:06:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,695
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1 - 1.1

SCBK is our sick man in the room. A miracle that it's trading above KES 265

Makes more money in 1 day while sick than KQ in a decade Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
One-off manenos. Only 3bn vs what folks were saying sijui 30bn

How did they ever get 30 Billion? How many (single company) pension funds in Kenya are worth 30 Billion let alone owe 30 Billion!!??
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
obiero
#2634 Posted : Thursday, November 27, 2025 6:41:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,044
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
Q3 PBT projected vs actual
EQTY 61 - 65.6
KCB 59.7 - 62.0
COOP 30.1 - 30.03
ABSA 25.4 - 24.2
NCBA 20.4 - 20.4
IMH 17.1 - 17.8
SCBK 16.3 - 13.2
SBIC 12.7 - 12.8
DTB 10.4 - 11.2
HF 1.1 - 1.1

SCBK is our sick man in the room. A miracle that it's trading above KES 265

Makes more money in 1 day while sick than KQ in a decade Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
One-off manenos. Only 3bn vs what folks were saying sijui 30bn

How did they ever get 30 Billion? How many (single company) pension funds in Kenya are worth 30 Billion let alone owe 30 Billion!!??

Determined payout for the 629 is KES 7.7B while the fresh case by the non-629 could balloon to 23B as more ex staff enjoin into the matter, total KES 30.7B

KQ ABP 4.48; MTN ABP 5.20
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