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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
VituVingiSana
#15541 Posted : Friday, June 13, 2025 10:58:49 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,187
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
Meanwhile, confirmed in today's AGM. The KES 1.5B Open Offer has been abandoned by the KQ board. Bring down your ABP via more purchases, or deal with the situation through therapy sessions

CBT-Kenya (Cognitive Behavioral Therapy-Kenya) is a psychotherapy centre in Kilimani area, Nairobi that offers counseling and therapy sessions for persons from all walks of life. https://www.cbtkenya.org...vices-nairobi-cbt-kenya/
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#15542 Posted : Friday, June 13, 2025 11:02:44 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,187
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
[quote=obiero]KQ listed on Kenya's most valuable brand https://www.instagram.co...p;igsh=eHQyY2Nkcm43YmV0[/quote]
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Ebu ask passengers who have bumped off their flights pale JKIA as we type!

That's the law of airline trade. You have to be prepared for early check in. Plus on the positive, an overbooked airline, is a healthy airline. Rather over, than under. Long live Michael Joseph

Lakini, MJ has left the building.

A good dancer must know when to leave the stage. In his case, full term has been served as per company MEMARTS. If only the PIIP would have gone through, right now KQ would be unrecognizable from an investment perspective. He did his best, in my view

Why are you still bullish post-MJ?

BTW, JJ made a loss.
It has also borrowed more money from NCBA to repay arrears.

In GoK I trust. Financially speaking. Leaving politics aside. Plus KQLC are unlikely to let their significant stake go down the drain

Good luck trusting GoK.
KQLC is not in the same boat as you. They have some guarantees which you do not.


Let me understand what you are saying. That their shares are not pari pasu? Yes, they are.
Each KQLC share has equal value to my share.

Remember, it was bank debt that was converted to equity. That conversion came with guarantees. I do not recall exactly but I think 50% of the converted debt will be paid by GoK. In other words, banks will get a minimum of 50% in case the shares go to zero .

Of what good would be a GoK guarantee considering state of economy now. Didn't GoK pay off the loan KQ defaulted on even with the current state of the economy?

Their best resolve is to aid KQ to prosper. Yes, but their interests are semi-protected unlike yours if KQ goes completely belly-up

Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#15543 Posted : Friday, June 13, 2025 11:23:34 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,696
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
[quote=obiero]KQ listed on Kenya's most valuable brand https://www.instagram.co...p;igsh=eHQyY2Nkcm43YmV0[/quote]
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Ebu ask passengers who have bumped off their flights pale JKIA as we type!

That's the law of airline trade. You have to be prepared for early check in. Plus on the positive, an overbooked airline, is a healthy airline. Rather over, than under. Long live Michael Joseph

Lakini, MJ has left the building.

A good dancer must know when to leave the stage. In his case, full term has been served as per company MEMARTS. If only the PIIP would have gone through, right now KQ would be unrecognizable from an investment perspective. He did his best, in my view

Why are you still bullish post-MJ?

BTW, JJ made a loss.
It has also borrowed more money from NCBA to repay arrears.

In GoK I trust. Financially speaking. Leaving politics aside. Plus KQLC are unlikely to let their significant stake go down the drain

Good luck trusting GoK.
KQLC is not in the same boat as you. They have some guarantees which you do not.


Let me understand what you are saying. That their shares are not pari pasu? Yes, they are.
Each KQLC share has equal value to my share.

Remember, it was bank debt that was converted to equity. That conversion came with guarantees. I do not recall exactly but I think 50% of the converted debt will be paid by GoK. In other words, banks will get a minimum of 50% in case the shares go to zero .

Of what good would be a GoK guarantee considering state of economy now. Didn't GoK pay off the loan KQ defaulted on even with the current state of the economy?

Their best resolve is to aid KQ to prosper. Yes, but their interests are semi-protected unlike yours if KQ goes completely belly-up


KQLC held 10,681,190,192 KQ shares pre consolidated resulting in 2,670,297,548 post consolidation, with ownership percentage of 38%. That means KES 22.7B investment using KES 8.52 OMC (ordinary mandatory convert) used in 2017 when the debt to equity swap was performed. You imagine that the banks will be ready to forfeit KES 11.3B https://corporate.kenya-...d-business-transactions/

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; KQ 544,100 ABP 7.15; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
VituVingiSana
#15544 Posted : Friday, June 13, 2025 12:49:41 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,187
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
[quote=obiero]KQ listed on Kenya's most valuable brand https://www.instagram.co...p;igsh=eHQyY2Nkcm43YmV0[/quote]
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Ebu ask passengers who have bumped off their flights pale JKIA as we type!

That's the law of airline trade. You have to be prepared for early check in. Plus on the positive, an overbooked airline, is a healthy airline. Rather over, than under. Long live Michael Joseph

Lakini, MJ has left the building.

A good dancer must know when to leave the stage. In his case, full term has been served as per company MEMARTS. If only the PIIP would have gone through, right now KQ would be unrecognizable from an investment perspective. He did his best, in my view

Why are you still bullish post-MJ?

BTW, JJ made a loss.
It has also borrowed more money from NCBA to repay arrears.

In GoK I trust. Financially speaking. Leaving politics aside. Plus KQLC are unlikely to let their significant stake go down the drain

Good luck trusting GoK.
KQLC is not in the same boat as you. They have some guarantees which you do not.


Let me understand what you are saying. That their shares are not pari pasu? Yes, they are.
Each KQLC share has equal value to my share.

Remember, it was bank debt that was converted to equity. That conversion came with guarantees. I do not recall exactly but I think 50% of the converted debt will be paid by GoK. In other words, banks will get a minimum of 50% in case the shares go to zero .

Of what good would be a GoK guarantee considering state of economy now. Didn't GoK pay off the loan KQ defaulted on even with the current state of the economy?

Their best resolve is to aid KQ to prosper. Yes, but their interests are semi-protected unlike yours if KQ goes completely belly-up


KQLC held 10,681,190,192 KQ shares pre consolidated resulting in 2,670,297,548 post consolidation, with ownership percentage of 38%. That means KES 22.7B investment using KES 8.52 OMC (ordinary mandatory convert) used in 2017 when the debt to equity swap was performed. You imagine that the banks will be ready to forfeit KES 11.3B https://corporate.kenya-...-business-transactions/

11.5bn today > 23bn who knows when?
Yes, there are banks who would rather take the haircut and move on. We see that all the time with intractable NPLs.

Any bank that had accepted a 50% haircut in 2017 would have made 100%+ by May 2025 by investing in a 10-year IFB in 2017.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#15545 Posted : Friday, June 13, 2025 7:10:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,696
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
[quote=obiero]KQ listed on Kenya's most valuable brand https://www.instagram.co...p;igsh=eHQyY2Nkcm43YmV0[/quote]
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Ebu ask passengers who have bumped off their flights pale JKIA as we type!

That's the law of airline trade. You have to be prepared for early check in. Plus on the positive, an overbooked airline, is a healthy airline. Rather over, than under. Long live Michael Joseph

Lakini, MJ has left the building.

A good dancer must know when to leave the stage. In his case, full term has been served as per company MEMARTS. If only the PIIP would have gone through, right now KQ would be unrecognizable from an investment perspective. He did his best, in my view

Why are you still bullish post-MJ?

BTW, JJ made a loss.
It has also borrowed more money from NCBA to repay arrears.

In GoK I trust. Financially speaking. Leaving politics aside. Plus KQLC are unlikely to let their significant stake go down the drain

Good luck trusting GoK.
KQLC is not in the same boat as you. They have some guarantees which you do not.


Let me understand what you are saying. That their shares are not pari pasu? Yes, they are.
Each KQLC share has equal value to my share.

Remember, it was bank debt that was converted to equity. That conversion came with guarantees. I do not recall exactly but I think 50% of the converted debt will be paid by GoK. In other words, banks will get a minimum of 50% in case the shares go to zero .

Of what good would be a GoK guarantee considering state of economy now. Didn't GoK pay off the loan KQ defaulted on even with the current state of the economy?

Their best resolve is to aid KQ to prosper. Yes, but their interests are semi-protected unlike yours if KQ goes completely belly-up


KQLC held 10,681,190,192 KQ shares pre consolidated resulting in 2,670,297,548 post consolidation, with ownership percentage of 38%. That means KES 22.7B investment using KES 8.52 OMC (ordinary mandatory convert) used in 2017 when the debt to equity swap was performed. You imagine that the banks will be ready to forfeit KES 11.3B https://corporate.kenya-...-business-transactions/

11.5bn today > 23bn who knows when?
Yes, there are banks who would rather take the haircut and move on. We see that all the time with intractable NPLs.

Any bank that had accepted a 50% haircut in 2017 would have made 100%+ by May 2025 by investing in a 10-year IFB in 2017.

I hear you. Let's wait and see

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; KQ 544,100 ABP 7.15; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
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