DtheK wrote:Note the language here. It is GOU that asked for the extension of negotiations to 20th,if you know your case is weak you're not too eager to go to court/arbitration.
Also note that GOU had asked parliament for a greater amount than the Auditor quoted.
A reason for hope.
Anyway 31st May it is.
An arbitration case in London and a subsequent likely loss would not be in the best interests of the GoU which is trying to attract foreign investments or capital into its energy (oil and electricity) sector as it increases the risk factor for such investments in Uganda (some paper mentions upto almost 6% increase in cost of capital as the country gets perceived as a high risk investment where the state does not respect agreements).
A likely outcome is the goverment reverting to the original cabinet approved amount for which a loan had also already been approved of about USD 190-200Mn although this still falls short of the 234mn demand by Umeme. The Concession agreement also had a threshold of any contested amount above USD 7mn being subject to Arbitration in London. I therefore foresee a very likely London arbitration case.
It is also worth noting that it seems the Board and Management (CEO) are interested in pursuing alternative related opportunities as opposed to folding the company. The Chairman is quoted as saying:
"Zanzibar, Somalia, Sierra Leone, Nigeria, Cameroon and Tanzania – they have all come to study our model,” he said. “We may consider these offers, but first we must tidy up at home.”.......“We’ve built a very strong brand,the shareholders will decide what next — whether to wrap it up or pursue new business opportunities. Either way, Umeme’s track record remains intact.”
https://deepearthint.com...oney-at-agm-next-month/
It will be an interesting AGM as shareholders decide on way forward....wether to reinvest and take only a dividend or fold the company and cannibalize the assets, share reserves etc.
Happy Hunting