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Kenya Economy Watch
My 2 cents
#2611 Posted : Monday, December 06, 2021 4:54:25 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,089
cyruskulei wrote:
It appears the market is entering recession.

Equity might touch 40.0



We have been in recession for many years now.
Realtreaty
#2612 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2022 12:35:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,386
Imagine this is how we fair in Africa smile smile smile

Our GOVT should colonize the first 3 countries and give them ease of investing in Kenya.

KQ should have multiple flights to the top 3 that is Black Nigeria, Mixed Egypt and mixed S. Africa


Rank Country Nominal GDP
(billions US$)
Nominal GDP per capita (US$)
1 Nigeria 480.48 2,272.84
2 Egypt 396.33 3,974.75
3 South Africa 329.60 6,102.17
4 Algeria 163.81 3,638.33
5 Morocco 126.04 3,470.80
6 Kenya 109.49 2,198.59
7 Ethiopia 92.76 939.51
8 Ghana 75.49 2,413.10
9 Angola 70.34 2,200.68
10 Tanzania 69.24 1,159.19
11 Ivory Coast 68.84 2,489.10
12 DRC 54.83 593.56
13 Cameroon 44.81 1,645.81
14 Uganda 43.24 1,018.44
15 Tunisia 42.73 3,555.59
16 Sudan 35.92 789.45
17 Senegal 27.58 1,602.90
18 Libya 27.30 4,068.61
19 Zimbabwe 25.79 1,664.76
20 Zambia 21.70 1,115.27
21 Burkina Faso 19.93 926.20
22 Mali 19.56 966.14
23 Gabon 18.29 8,569.22
24 Benin 18.07 1,446.83
25 Botswana 17.61 7,349.88
26 Guinea 16.72 1,168.18
27 Mozambique 15.83 429.27
28 Niger 15.64 622.23
29 Madagascar 14.10 498.68
30 Republic congo 12.74 2,655.72
31 Equatorial G 12.53 8,625.76
32 Chad 12.35 729.84
33 Namibia 12.21 4,693.46
34 Malawi 12.15 565.80
35 Mauritius 11.00 8,681.61
36 Rwanda 10.40 802.26
37 Mauritania 9.16 2,161.28
38 Togo 8.49 1,000.44
39 Somalia 5.42 350.36
40 Eswatini 4.52 3,965.43
41 Sierra Leone 4.41 541.06
42 Djibouti 3.65 3,654.5
43 Liberia 3.38 703.41
44 South Sudan 3.26 230.13
45 Burundi 3.19 261.05
46 C A Republic 2.59 525.91
47 Lesotho 2.48 1,187.51
48 Eritrea 2.25 625.97
49 The Gambia 2.04 746.33
50 Cape Verde 1.89 3,346.55
51 Guinea-Bissau 1.59 858.04
52 Seychelles 1.29 13,140.37
53 Comoros 1.28 1,390.06
54 SãoTomé & P 0.53 2,392.89

-- Total 2,692.59 2,469.66
Realtreaty
#2613 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2022 12:36:56 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,386
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_African_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
Realtreaty wrote:
Imagine this is how we fair in Africa smile smile smile

Our GOVT should colonize the first 3 countries and give them ease of investing in Kenya.

KQ should have multiple flights to the top 3 that is Black Nigeria, Mixed Egypt and mixed S. Africa


Rank Country Nominal GDP
(billions US$)
Nominal GDP per capita (US$)
1 Nigeria 480.48 2,272.84
2 Egypt 396.33 3,974.75
3 South Africa 329.60 6,102.17
4 Algeria 163.81 3,638.33
5 Morocco 126.04 3,470.80
6 Kenya 109.49 2,198.59
7 Ethiopia 92.76 939.51
8 Ghana 75.49 2,413.10
9 Angola 70.34 2,200.68
10 Tanzania 69.24 1,159.19
11 Ivory Coast 68.84 2,489.10
12 DRC 54.83 593.56
13 Cameroon 44.81 1,645.81
14 Uganda 43.24 1,018.44
15 Tunisia 42.73 3,555.59
16 Sudan 35.92 789.45
17 Senegal 27.58 1,602.90
18 Libya 27.30 4,068.61
19 Zimbabwe 25.79 1,664.76
20 Zambia 21.70 1,115.27
21 Burkina Faso 19.93 926.20
22 Mali 19.56 966.14
23 Gabon 18.29 8,569.22
24 Benin 18.07 1,446.83
25 Botswana 17.61 7,349.88
26 Guinea 16.72 1,168.18
27 Mozambique 15.83 429.27
28 Niger 15.64 622.23
29 Madagascar 14.10 498.68
30 Republic congo 12.74 2,655.72
31 Equatorial G 12.53 8,625.76
32 Chad 12.35 729.84
33 Namibia 12.21 4,693.46
34 Malawi 12.15 565.80
35 Mauritius 11.00 8,681.61
36 Rwanda 10.40 802.26
37 Mauritania 9.16 2,161.28
38 Togo 8.49 1,000.44
39 Somalia 5.42 350.36
40 Eswatini 4.52 3,965.43
41 Sierra Leone 4.41 541.06
42 Djibouti 3.65 3,654.5
43 Liberia 3.38 703.41
44 South Sudan 3.26 230.13
45 Burundi 3.19 261.05
46 C A Republic 2.59 525.91
47 Lesotho 2.48 1,187.51
48 Eritrea 2.25 625.97
49 The Gambia 2.04 746.33
50 Cape Verde 1.89 3,346.55
51 Guinea-Bissau 1.59 858.04
52 Seychelles 1.29 13,140.37
53 Comoros 1.28 1,390.06
54 SãoTomé & P 0.53 2,392.89

-- Total 2,692.59 2,469.66

Blukes
#2614 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2022 1:27:09 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 3/9/2019
Posts: 22
Location: Nakuru
Great disclosure. Nigeria got the pop.
kawi254
#2615 Posted : Tuesday, June 14, 2022 11:23:14 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2015
Posts: 468
Location: Nairobi
With the high fuel prices & inflation why isn't the world economy slowing down and correcting?
obiero
#2616 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2022 6:41:46 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,213
Location: nairobi
kawi254 wrote:
With the high fuel prices & inflation why isn't the world economy slowing down and correcting?

The world economy is slowing down

KQ ABP 4.26
kawi254
#2617 Posted : Wednesday, June 15, 2022 11:01:56 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2015
Posts: 468
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
kawi254 wrote:
With the high fuel prices & inflation why isn't the world economy slowing down and correcting?

The world economy is slowing down


My small farm fuel water pumping costs are not sustainable. I wonder how much longer farms can sustain the high costs.
wukan
#2618 Posted : Thursday, February 13, 2025 6:11:14 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,653
Been a while since I posted here

Today I listened to the CS Treasury and the policy wonks give a pep talk. Much of it focused on the past year accomplishments and self-congratulations. They even mentioned somewhere the NSE and market cap as evidence of the economy charged upd'oh! and banks are reducing the base rates. There wasn't any meaningful forward policy guidance from the treasury. Well apart from saying they want to pay pending bills to stimulate spending (d'oh! essentially going back to the tenderpreneur economy of 2014-2020)

Got me thinking and few things to point out to the policy wonks
1. The NSE/$$ move was a limited macro play and not necessarily an endorsement on the economy and the management of companies.

2. Markets have shown they are ready for risk assets, but that appetite has not been matched.

3. There is an epic battle in the markets between the forces of status quo and the disruptors. Pick a side and give forward policy guidance.

4. Forward policy guidance requires you give markets a hint on the overall strategy (if at all there is one). Keep it short to make it interesting and long to cover the essential parts.

5. Time waits for no man. You have a limited window before the markets turn on you. Provide leadership
wukan
#2619 Posted : Thursday, March 27, 2025 11:10:27 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,653
You begin to feel the window of opportunity to deliver the structural reforms is now closing. Focus is now shifting to 2027 elections

Much Know
#2620 Posted : Friday, March 28, 2025 1:10:47 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
Reality is Eurobonds and CS Mbadi sentiments are nothing compared to 2027 elections in Kenya and the dollars involved. Even regular black American folk some on welfare are flocking in thousands to kilimani/westlands apartments built by Chinese even eastlando and are all over youtube boasting how they are chewing our “most beautiful in the world” clueless genz with their benefits. Middle class Kenyans wanaskumwa dustbowl and ocha. The wealthier "wazungus" black and white are heavily investing in Kenya which beats all African countries in American to American startup investments including those KES 3k/4K burns charcoal jikos forked from our KES 250/- jikos which jua kali unfortunately did not patent, the American wazungus startups are milking billions while cheating Kenyans and throwing bait ati technology is software na iko kwa sms na apps ati "fintech". Microsoft, google, facebook investing and employing. When American ambassadors and some brits come here they refuse to go home, ceos, akina bill lay, rannberger, micheal joseph and colymore etc and even marry here. They own tatu city and I guarantee you majority residents will be American. If south africa was the largest receiver of US investment, that is definitely changing very fast to Kenya. They are building their first major infrastructure project in Africa the Mombasa Nairobi expressway to flex at the Chinese. This will not change with Trump given the sheer number of American investment and passports in Kenya and the historical partnership, i bet you he will hasten the transfer of 50% operations of UN from New York to Nairobi, i personally don’t feel he thinks they deserve all the NY prime estate, utaskia DOGE akisema wahamie Kenya tatu city very soon and remember doge hates SA governemt, and where America goes everyone follows. We are in a booming economy. Avacadoes, macadamia, coffee etc going direct to New York even in small packages. The central bank and mbadi have very little to do with the stability of the dollar, and economic growth waache uongo ya policy this monetary that, fiscal here and there. Labda these dim twitter tiktok kumbaffs watuharibie, things are looking up, we are officially the choice emerging market for US and China investment in Africa. Applause Wacha wasiwasi na weka pesa kwa soko bwana with all focus on 2027 elections! That’s how Trump became president against all the expectations of burukenges like usaid. If Russian/Croatia and Israeli/Hamas war ends, KES99 to USD instant and many more Eurobonds and others. Ile pesa itakua hapa 2027!!! Kwa jina la Yesu Pray
Ras Kienyeji Man
263 Pages«<260261262263>
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