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Bear is finally over
mufasa
#21 Posted : Wednesday, November 06, 2024 4:56:52 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
Kenya's major problem is just one... chronic corruption within Govt. If you can tame that and the rest of the sectors will follow suit. Money will reach the commoners.
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
VituVingiSana
#22 Posted : Thursday, November 07, 2024 2:18:42 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Trump won decisively.

US markets soared.

Will foreign investors want to be in Frontier Markets?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
wukan
#23 Posted : Thursday, November 07, 2024 7:57:13 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
VituVingiSana wrote:
Trump won decisively.

US markets soared.

Will foreign investors want to be in Frontier Markets?


No, they won't. The idea of "cigar butt" investing for one last puff went out of fashion. Fontier market are troubled assets and whether dollar did this or yen did that they will still be troubled assets.

It's more profitable and less stressful to invest where the action is. Fontier markets need to sort out their mess and become markets where action is happening.

See how India stopped depending on foreign investors and started pushing their market forward. That's what NSE needs, local investors propelling it forward.

mufasa
#24 Posted : Thursday, November 07, 2024 8:00:33 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
VituVingiSana wrote:
Trump won decisively.

US markets soared.

Will foreign investors want to be in Frontier Markets?

Kenya Crypto gang was all over twitter celebrating. It seems a trump win is inspiring confidence in US tech Mkts.
Pretty sure the dollar is strengthening. What's weird is Ksh. is also strengthening.
But because deals like the mombasa/Nrb express road are already in play, it won't take long before they troop back to mkts like Kenya... say Q2 2025
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
wukan
#25 Posted : Thursday, November 07, 2024 9:18:43 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
@VVS
This is how frontier markets are viewed


My 2 cents
#26 Posted : Thursday, November 07, 2024 12:24:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,089
Time will tell.
wukan
#27 Posted : Friday, November 15, 2024 9:51:08 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
Dollar strength will impact risk assets. Dollar index needs to cool down before the next leg up for NSE. Planning to add Kshs assets on next dip around Dec
Ericsson
#28 Posted : Thursday, November 28, 2024 5:49:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
wukan wrote:
Dollar strength will impact risk assets. Dollar index needs to cool down before the next leg up for NSE. Planning to add Kshs assets on next dip around Dec


With Trump as president,dollar will strengthen
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
wukan
#29 Posted : Friday, November 29, 2024 8:33:29 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
Ericsson wrote:
wukan wrote:
Dollar strength will impact risk assets. Dollar index needs to cool down before the next leg up for NSE. Planning to add Kshs assets on next dip around Dec


With Trump as president,dollar will strengthen


MAGA requires the dollar softening. Trump's treasury pick leans towards "Abenomics" so expect volatility all around.

Either way one can hedge using local dollar MMFs to short the NSE

What's more disappointing we get market signals from advanced markets because our local policymakers are just a bunch of debt junkies floating with no initiative
wukan
#30 Posted : Saturday, December 28, 2024 10:34:47 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,654
NSE 20 share index is up 32% this year. Equities was best bet for the year Applause

macro traders have seen the best year. From shorting Kshs to 160 to mopping off the weak hands in equities and squeezing GoK on bond yields.

To a better year

Kaende sana!
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