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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
My 2 cents
#2481 Posted : Thursday, August 10, 2023 4:53:33 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,066
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19


From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake.
Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6
Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc.
Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here.

Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast


Stanbic is in today. Please update.
My 2 cents
#2482 Posted : Friday, August 11, 2023 5:50:46 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,066
My 2 cents wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19


From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake.
Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6
Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc.
Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here.

Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast


Stanbic is in today. Please update.


Stanbic HY PAT 6.7B
muandiwambeu
#2483 Posted : Friday, August 11, 2023 9:52:19 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
My 2 cents wrote:
My 2 cents wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19


From ABSA going downwards those projections are fake.
Absa Q1 PBT was ksh.6.5bn,how then does HY become ksh.9.6
Similarly for NCBA,Stanbic,Stanchart etc.
Looks like guesswork with no fundamentals being done here.

Ofcourse it's guesswork! Come up with your own accurate forecast and place it here we compare and contrast


Stanbic is in today. Please update.


Stanbic HY PAT 6.7B
month
Pbt
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
obiero
#2484 Posted : Sunday, August 13, 2023 7:19:46 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#2485 Posted : Monday, August 14, 2023 10:34:40 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19

@obiero - Stanbic was a rare miss for you. 50%!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#2486 Posted : Monday, August 14, 2023 7:11:17 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19

@obiero - Stanbic was a rare miss for you. 50%!

The new sheriff is doing good things there

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2487 Posted : Tuesday, August 15, 2023 9:12:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2
COOP 18
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2488 Posted : Thursday, August 17, 2023 1:59:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
mlennyma
#2489 Posted : Thursday, August 17, 2023 5:48:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19


So equity might dethrone Safaricom
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
obiero
#2490 Posted : Thursday, August 17, 2023 5:59:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19


So equity might dethrone Safaricom

88.3B FY 2023 for SCOM is a sizable way off assuming a doubling run rate the best EQBL may get will be circa 70B, but by next year it's not impossible

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2491 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 4:46:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
Negative 20%.. Operating expenses are running away with the PBT!

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Queen
#2492 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 6:55:59 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 564
Location: Britain
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
Negative 20%.. Operating expenses are running away with the PBT!


SCBK and DTB?
obiero
#2493 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 8:03:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
Queen wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
Negative 20%.. Operating expenses are running away with the PBT!


SCBK and DTB?

I don't think they have announced yet. Have they

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
xtina
#2494 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 9:36:26 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 384
obiero wrote:
Queen wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
Negative 20%.. Operating expenses are running away with the PBT!


SCBK and DTB?

I don't think they have announced yet. Have they


They have both announced this week
obiero
#2495 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 9:48:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3 - 9.6
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2496 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 9:53:58 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
xtina wrote:
obiero wrote:
Queen wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
Negative 20%.. Operating expenses are running away with the PBT!


SCBK and DTB?

I don't think they have announced yet. Have they


They have both announced this week

I have sighted SCBK, DTB nothing uploaded on their site nor NSE

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
mlennyma
#2497 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 2:04:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3 - 9.6
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19


What's wrong with KCB?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
cnn
#2498 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 5:00:09 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
obiero wrote:
xtina wrote:
obiero wrote:
Queen wrote:
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3
NCBA 8.8
I&M 7.1
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2
HF 0.19
Negative 20%.. Operating expenses are running away with the PBT!


SCBK and DTB?

I don't think they have announced yet. Have they


They have both announced this week

I have sighted SCBK, DTB nothing uploaded on their site nor NSE

DTB...6.02 B
I & M...6.98B
NCBA....12.35B
obiero
#2499 Posted : Thursday, August 24, 2023 11:29:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6
SCBK 9.3 - 9.6
NCBA 8.8 - 12.3
I&M 7.1 - 6.9
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2 - 6.0
HF 0.19

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2500 Posted : Tuesday, August 29, 2023 7:42:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
H1 2023 PBT projected - actual
EQTY 34.1 - 35.2
KCB 32.2 - 22.4
COOP 18 - 16.4
ABSA 9.6 - 12
SCBK 9.3 - 9.6
NCBA 8.8 - 12.3
I&M 7.1 - 6.9
STBC 6.6 - 9.7
DTB 5.2 - 6.0
HF 0.19

HF has really delayed.. Hope it's a bumper harvest

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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