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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
mnandii
#3521 Posted : Tuesday, July 07, 2020 3:22:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


We have maintained that the NSE 20 share index should fall below 1900 [targets down lie at 1700 or below]. Seems there's a small triangle formation at about 1950s before the downtrend resumes
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Angelica _ann
#3522 Posted : Tuesday, July 07, 2020 6:17:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


I believe my bullish forecast on KQ has worked wonders. And most people are quite surprised by the recent rise despite KQ posting major losses.

All we had to do to catch a bottom was to count ABC! See, quite easy.

Now the small Downward retracement is making people jittery, some will even sell at a loss. I say, stay PUT. See how strong the turn UP for KQ was? I expect it to rise further UP.
When (If) it moves above Ksh 5.50 then our bullishness will even be more firmed. KQ will likely defy the rest of the market and rise above Ksh 13.00.

On the other hand, a disclaimer is necessary. If KQ falls below Ksh 0.829 then we'll have to abandon this forecast. THIS however, judging by the structure of the recent rise and the Elliott Wave counts, is a remote possibility.

CONCLUSION: Do not sell KQ. Buy more.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly This is another forecast to be marked.
"Rise above 13/-" Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Forget 13/-, let's wait for 5.50


smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
mnandii
#3523 Posted : Tuesday, July 07, 2020 8:30:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


I believe my bullish forecast on KQ has worked wonders. And most people are quite surprised by the recent rise despite KQ posting major losses.

All we had to do to catch a bottom was to count ABC! See, quite easy.

Now the small Downward retracement is making people jittery, some will even sell at a loss. I say, stay PUT. See how strong the turn UP for KQ was? I expect it to rise further UP.
When (If) it moves above Ksh 5.50 then our bullishness will even be more firmed. KQ will likely defy the rest of the market and rise above Ksh 13.00.

On the other hand, a disclaimer is necessary. If KQ falls below Ksh 0.829 then we'll have to abandon this forecast. THIS however, judging by the structure of the recent rise and the Elliott Wave counts, is a remote possibility.

CONCLUSION: Do not sell KQ. Buy more.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly This is another forecast to be marked.
"Rise above 13/-" Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Forget 13/-, let's wait for 5.50


smile

d'oh!
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3524 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 8:33:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
VituVingiSana
#3525 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 8:53:42 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.
14/-? In 2020? Bring it on!!! I will sell some of my shares to buy Saf at 14 in 2020.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Angelica _ann
#3526 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 9:24:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.
14/-? In 2020? Bring it on!!! I will sell some of my shares to buy Saf at 14 in 2020.


'we'are waiting smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
VituVingiSana
#3527 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 9:58:41 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
@AA I see you aren't buying into these waves either.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mnandii
#3528 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 10:55:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.
14/-? In 2020? Bring it on!!! I will sell some of my shares to buy Saf at 14 in 2020.


smile
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3529 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 11:00:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.
14/-? In 2020? Bring it on!!! I will sell some of my shares to buy Saf at 14 in 2020.


'we'are waiting smile


Good
Drool
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3530 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 11:08:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Member flirting with March 2020 Corona lows while Mpesa Bank just topped and headed down. All this while the Dow as at a 3 month high with S&P 500 above 3k..INTERESTING!!!


Been long coming. On member, March corona low of 32.15 taken out.
@SufficientlyP
littledove
#3531 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 11:16:47 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Member flirting with March 2020 Corona lows while Mpesa Bank just topped and headed down. All this while the Dow as at a 3 month high with S&P 500 above 3k..INTERESTING!!!


Been long coming. On member, March corona low of 32.15 taken out.

large supply @32 for member, 30 coming
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
Angelica _ann
#3532 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 11:30:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
VituVingiSana wrote:
@AA I see you aren't buying into these waves either.


They normally come true, though after some (serious) lag time. smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#3533 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2020 1:52:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.
14/-? In 2020? Bring it on!!! I will sell some of my shares to buy Saf at 14 in 2020.


'we'are waiting smile


💯💯
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#3534 Posted : Friday, July 10, 2020 9:02:55 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,684
Location: NAIROBI
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.

Does this factor share price is currently trading at cum dividend.
Or the drop to 14 will be when it goes ex dividend
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mnandii
#3535 Posted : Tuesday, July 14, 2020 6:42:42 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
sparkly wrote:
Good analysis. I expect a move lower but not to the lows of 2576.


@sparkly in 2014

link

Today we are below 1900.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mufasa
#3536 Posted : Wednesday, July 15, 2020 10:23:24 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 202
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
@AA I see you aren't buying into these waves either.


They normally come true, though after some (serious) lag time. smile


So true, over time many non-specific predictions will come true. But to make money, accuracy is needed.

Two predictions that @mnadii made on KPLC and EABL (KPLC to rise, EABL to fall), I wannna watch this if it will happen within the next 6 months.

Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
mnandii
#3537 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2020 11:18:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mufasa wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
@AA I see you aren't buying into these waves either.


They normally come true, though after some (serious) lag time. smile


So true, over time many non-specific predictions will come true. But to make money, accuracy is needed.

Two predictions that @mnadii made on KPLC and EABL (KPLC to rise, EABL to fall), I wannna watch this if it will happen within the next 6 months.



Shame on you

My Elliott predictions are specific.
Could you people even bother to just critically appraise the predictions in this thread? Sad
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3538 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2020 11:20:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Ericsson wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Been waiting for that move down in Safaricom which many have never believed possible. Well, its started. Expect quick moves below 24.00 toward 14.00 bob soon.

Does this factor share price is currently trading at cum dividend.
Or the drop to 14 will be when it goes ex dividend


No.
Mass psychology determines the direction of the share price. I've written alot about this within this thread.


Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3539 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2020 11:22:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
littledove wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Member flirting with March 2020 Corona lows while Mpesa Bank just topped and headed down. All this while the Dow as at a 3 month high with S&P 500 above 3k..INTERESTING!!!


Been long coming. On member, March corona low of 32.15 taken out.

large supply @32 for member, 30 coming

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3540 Posted : Saturday, July 18, 2020 11:24:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


I believe my bullish forecast on KQ has worked wonders. And most people are quite surprised by the recent rise despite KQ posting major losses.

All we had to do to catch a bottom was to count ABC! See, quite easy.

Now the small Downward retracement is making people jittery, some will even sell at a loss. I say, stay PUT. See how strong the turn UP for KQ was? I expect it to rise further UP.
When (If) it moves above Ksh 5.50 then our bullishness will even be more firmed. KQ will likely defy the rest of the market and rise above Ksh 13.00.

On the other hand, a disclaimer is necessary. If KQ falls below Ksh 0.829 then we'll have to abandon this forecast. THIS however, judging by the structure of the recent rise and the Elliott Wave counts, is a remote possibility.

CONCLUSION: Do not sell KQ. Buy more.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly This is another forecast to be marked.
"Rise above 13/-" Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Forget 13/-, let's wait for 5.50


smile

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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